Atalanta v Genoa prediction
Team pages: Atalanta · Genoa · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Genoa, Serie A on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Atalanta host Genoa in Serie A on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Atalanta are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Genoa, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Eight of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Atalanta have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.75. Atalanta have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atalanta have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.
Six of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Genoa’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Genoa have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.43 and conceding 1.00. Genoa have scored five goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Genoa have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Atalanta (11th) and Genoa (17th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atalanta the stronger side, 166 rating points above Genoa (Atalanta 1633, Genoa 1467, after at least 311 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Atalanta 0–0 Genoa.
Team news
Predicted Atalanta XI (4-3-3): M. Carnesecchi, G. Scalvini, R. Bellanova, O. Kossounou, D. Zappacosta, Éderson, L. Samardžić, G. Gaetano, C. De Ketelaere, N. Krstović, G. Scamacca — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lazar Samardžić (3.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and Marco Carnesecchi (3.3 per match over 10 appearances) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lazar Samardžić averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 694 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Marco Carnesecchi averages 4.2 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Genoa XI (3-4-2-1): J. Bijlow, L. Østigård, A. Marcandalli, J. Vásquez, M. Ellertsson, M. Frendrup, D. Sow, B. Norton-Cuffy, A. Amorim, S. Wiafe, M. Osmajić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Morten Frendrup (4.4 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and Junior Messias (4.2 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Genoa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Genoa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Morten Frendrup averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 713 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Junior Messias averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 372 minutes, with a shot in five of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · New Balance Arena
- Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 5 · draws 1 · Genoa 0 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Atalanta 2W 0D 3L · Genoa 2W 1D 2L
Atalanta v Genoa (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atalanta for / against | Line | Genoa for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.13 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atalanta
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cassa n 4 | 11.3 | 6 | 2 | — |
| E. Elmas n 8 | 76.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| Éderson n 8 | 77.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 66.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| N. Zalewski n 8 | 57.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| C. De Ketelaere n 8 | 72.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 2.3 |
| G. Gaetano n 8 | 64.1 | 1.8 |
| G. Scalvini n 8 | 79 | 1.6 |
| O. Kossounou n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Genoa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wiafe n 8 | 51.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | — |
| L. Colombo n 8 | 63.3 | 1.8 | 2 | — |
| M. Ellertsson n 8 | 86.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Sow n 8 | 57 | 1.4 | 2.2 | — |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 8 | 31.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vítinha n 8 | 47.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| H. Traorè n 8 | 48.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| S. El Shaarawy n 8 | 37.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Franz-Ethan Meichtry n 8 | 31.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| T. Baldanzi n 8 | 66.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Colombo n 8 | 63.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| M. Osmajić n 8 | 84.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| D. Puczka n 5 | 46.2 | 0 | 0.4 |
| J. Vásquez n 8 | 71.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| K. Ehizibue n 8 | 69 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Messias n 8 | 46.5 | 4.1 |
| C. Drameh n 8 | 54.4 | 3.1 |
| Alexsandro Amorim n 8 | 46.5 | 3.1 |
| D. Puczka n 5 | 46.2 | 3.1 |
| M. Ellertsson n 8 | 86.9 | 3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atalanta v Genoa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-02 Atalanta 0–0 Genoa
- 2025-12-21 Genoa 0–1 Atalanta
- 2025-12-03 Atalanta 4–0 Genoa
- 2025-05-17 Genoa 2–3 Atalanta
- 2024-10-05 Atalanta 5–1 Genoa
- 2024-02-11 Genoa 1–4 Atalanta
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Genoa?
- In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 5, Genoa won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atalanta and Genoa?
- Recent form — Atalanta 2W 0D 3L; Genoa 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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