Atalanta v Inter prediction

Serie A · · New Balance Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Inter, Serie A on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Atalanta host Inter in Serie A on Sunday 22 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Inter have scored 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Atalanta, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Atalanta have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.75. Atalanta have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atalanta have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.

11 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Inter have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.25. Inter have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Atalanta (11th) and Inter (first) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 382 rating points above Atalanta (Inter 2016, Atalanta 1633, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Inter 1–1 Atalanta.

Team news

Predicted Atalanta XI (4-3-3): M. Carnesecchi, G. Scalvini, R. Bellanova, O. Kossounou, D. Zappacosta, Éderson, L. Samardžić, G. Gaetano, C. De Ketelaere, N. Krstović, G. Scamacca — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lazar Samardžić (3.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and Marco Carnesecchi (3.3 per match over 10 appearances) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lazar Samardžić averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 694 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Marco Carnesecchi averages 4.2 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, Y. Bisseck, N. Barella, A. Diouf, F. Dimarco, P. Zieliński, P. Sučić, F. Esposito, M. Thuram — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.8 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 0.5 tackles per 90 over 348 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · New Balance Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 0 · draws 1 · Inter 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atalanta 2W 0D 3L · Inter 3W 1D 1L

Atalanta v Inter (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 6.5
Corners
against 5 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 8.13
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAtalanta for / againstLineInter for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
14.13 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
23.75 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
8.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
8.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Atalanta
Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Cassa n 411.3
62/1
21/0
—
E. Elmas n 876.9
1.86/3
0.32/0
—
F. Kessie n 874
1.88/3
0.52/1
—
G. Raspadori n 849.4
1.66/1
1.84/3
—
Éderson n 877.5
1.56/3
1.56/3
—
Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Krstović n 876.4
3.87/6
2.17/5
Gianluca Scamacca n 838.5
3.24/3
1.84/2
G. Raspadori n 849.4
2.36/4
1.13/2
J. Rowe n 866.8
1.97/3
15/1
L. Samardžić n 853.6
1.96/3
0.21/0
Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Krstović n 876.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
Gianluca Scamacca n 838.5
0.93/0
00/0
G. Raspadori n 849.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
N. Zalewski n 857.5
00/0
0.63/0
C. De Ketelaere n 872.4
00/0
0.53/0
Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Samardžić n 853.6
2.36/3
G. Gaetano n 864.1
1.86/2
G. Scalvini n 879
1.66/3
O. Kossounou n 890
1.57/4
F. Kessie n 874
1.55/2
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
3.98/8
Inter
Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Thuram n 862
2.26/4
1.63/3
—
F. Esposito n 847.4
2.13/3
3.38/4
—
A. Bonny n 821.4
2.13/1
2.14/0
—
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
1.96/3
1.13/2
—
B. Pavard n 866.5
1.76/4
0.72/2
—
Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
4.77/7
2.66/4
M. Thuram n 862
3.68/7
1.56/1
A. Bonny n 821.4
2.63/2
2.63/2
F. Dimarco n 867
2.46/4
0.73/1
H. Mkhitaryan n 851.5
2.45/3
1.34/1
Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lautaro Martínez n 870.1
1.35/3
0.52/1
A. Bonny n 821.4
1.63/0
00/0
M. Thuram n 862
0.74/0
0.42/0
Carlos Augusto n 866
0.53/0
0.32/0
F. Esposito n 847.4
0.52/0
0.21/0
Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bonny n 821.4
4.75/2
D. Spence n 846
4.26/4
H. Çalhanoğlu n 853.3
2.77/4
Y. Bisseck n 879.9
2.16/5
M. Akanji n 890
27/4
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
3.17/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atalanta v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AtalantaLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
InterWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atalanta 0 · 1 draw · Inter 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Inter 1–1 Atalanta
  • 2025-12-28 Atalanta 0–1 Inter
  • 2025-03-16 Atalanta 0–2 Inter
  • 2025-01-02 Inter 2–0 Atalanta
  • 2024-08-30 Inter 4–0 Atalanta
  • 2024-02-28 Inter 4–0 Atalanta
League standing · 2026/27
Atalanta#11 pos9 pts7 pl-1 GD
Inter#1 pos19 pts7 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Atalanta scored1.43
Inter scored3
Atalanta conceded1.57
Inter conceded1.29

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Inter?
In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 0, Inter won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atalanta and Inter?
Recent form — Atalanta 2W 0D 3L; Inter 3W 1D 1L.

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