Atalanta v Parma prediction
Team pages: Atalanta · Parma · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Parma, Serie A on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Atalanta host Parma in Serie A on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Parma have scored four goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Eight of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Atalanta have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.75. Atalanta have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atalanta have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.
Five of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Parma’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Parma have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.67. Parma have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Atalanta (11th) and Parma (19th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atalanta the stronger side, 173 rating points above Parma (Atalanta 1587, Parma 1414, after at least 197 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, finished Atalanta 4–0 Parma.
Team news
Atalanta have one name on the availability list: I. Hien (out, Muscle Bruise) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-21. Predicted Atalanta XI (4-3-3): M. Carnesecchi, G. Scalvini, R. Bellanova, O. Kossounou, D. Zappacosta, Éderson, L. Samardžić, G. Gaetano, C. De Ketelaere, N. Krstović, G. Scamacca — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lazar Samardžić (3.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and Marco Carnesecchi (3.3 per match over 10 appearances) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lazar Samardžić averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 694 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Marco Carnesecchi averages 4.2 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Parma XI (3-4-2-1): E. Corvi, M. Troilo, E. Del Prato, D. Carlos, M. Keita, E. Valeri, S. Britschgi, A. Bernabé, V. Sierro, C. Ordoñez, E. Touré — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mariano Troilo (3.5 per match over eight appearances) and Emanuele Valeri (3.3 per match over nine appearances) have been Parma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Parma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mariano Troilo averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 715 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Emanuele Valeri averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 732 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · New Balance Arena
- Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 4 · draws 1 · Parma 1 · 4.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Atalanta 2W 0D 3L · Parma 1W 1D 3L
Atalanta v Parma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atalanta for / against | Line | Parma for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.13 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.5 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atalanta
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cassa n 4 | 11.3 | 6 | 2 | — |
| E. Elmas n 8 | 76.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| Éderson n 8 | 77.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 66.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| N. Zalewski n 8 | 57.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| C. De Ketelaere n 8 | 72.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 2.3 |
| G. Gaetano n 8 | 64.1 | 1.8 |
| G. Scalvini n 8 | 79 | 1.6 |
| O. Kossounou n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Parma
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Diallo n 4 | 23.3 | 3.9 | 2.9 | — |
| Abdou Konate n 4 | 51.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Vincent Sierro n 8 | 60.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| A. N'Diaye n 8 | 63.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| D. Drobnic n 4 | 78.8 | 1.7 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Romero n 8 | 50.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| S. Lontani n 8 | 58.6 | 2.5 | 1 |
| E. Touré n 8 | 71.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| G. Fabbian n 8 | 47.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| M. Frigan n 8 | 28 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Almqvist n 8 | 18.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| S. Lontani n 8 | 58.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| David Romero n 8 | 50.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| N. Elphege n 8 | 41.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| E. Touré n 8 | 71.4 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Abdou Konate n 4 | 51.3 | 2.6 |
| C. Ordoñez n 8 | 60.6 | 2.2 |
| Mandela Keita n 8 | 73.5 | 2 |
| A. N'Diaye n 8 | 63.8 | 1.8 |
| P. Almqvist n 8 | 18.4 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Corvi n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| G. Daffara n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atalanta v Parma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-25 Atalanta 4–0 Parma
- 2025-08-30 Parma 1–1 Atalanta
- 2025-05-25 Atalanta 2–3 Parma
- 2024-11-23 Parma 1–3 Atalanta
- 2021-05-09 Parma 2–5 Atalanta
- 2021-01-06 Atalanta 3–0 Parma
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Parma?
- In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 4, Parma won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atalanta and Parma?
- Recent form — Atalanta 2W 0D 3L; Parma 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.