Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras prediction
Team pages: Atletico Paranaense · Palmeiras · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 BST.
The match
Atletico Paranaense host Palmeiras in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 23:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Atletico Paranaense have scored in nine consecutive matches. Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last four matches.
Palmeiras have conceded 22 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far).
Form and the table
Nine of Atletico Paranaense’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Atletico Paranaense’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Atletico Paranaense have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.00. Atletico Paranaense have scored 49 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Atletico Paranaense have conceded 35 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last three matches. Five of Palmeiras’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Palmeiras’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Palmeiras have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.00. Palmeiras have scored 52 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far).
Atletico Paranaense (third) and Palmeiras (second) are 10 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Palmeiras the stronger side, 42 rating points above Atletico Paranaense (Palmeiras 1779, Atletico Paranaense 1737, after at least 334 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense.
Team news
Predicted Atletico Paranaense XI (3-4-2-1): Mycael, A. Dias, F. Aguirre, Dantas, S. Mendoza, Jadson, L. Gustavo, Gilberto, G. Benavidez, L. Esquivel, K. Viveros — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Viveros (4.6 per match over 32 appearances, 21 goals and four assists) and Mycael (4.1 per match over six appearances) have been Atletico Paranaense’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Paranaense (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Viveros averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2973 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Mycael averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 546 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last six appearances.
Predicted Palmeiras XI (4-2-3-1): C. Miguel, G. Gomez, Murilo, A. Giay, A. Barboza, A. Pereira, M. Freitas, L. Evangelista, A. Gabriel, J. Arias, J. Lopez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Lopez (4.9 per match over 42 appearances, 16 goals and eight assists) and Allan Elias (4.5 per match over 31 appearances, five goals and six assists) have been Palmeiras’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Palmeiras (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Lopez averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 3318 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Allan Elias averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2383 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Arena da Baixada
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico Paranaense 1 · draws 1 · Palmeiras 4 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Atletico Paranaense 2W 2D 1L · Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L
As of 14 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atletico Paranaense for / against | Line | Palmeiras for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 18.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 20.25 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 7.13 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.75 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 6 | 14.8 | 6.1 | 2 | — |
| Renan Peixoto n 8 | 32.9 | 5.5 | 0.7 | — |
| K. Viveros n 8 | 71.5 | 2.7 | 3.8 | — |
| Leo n 8 | 76.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Felipinho n 8 | 56.1 | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 6 | 14.8 | 4 | 2 |
| Renan Peixoto n 8 | 32.9 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| Leozinho n 8 | 52.6 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| K. Viveros n 8 | 71.5 | 2.7 | 2 |
| João Cruz n 8 | 69.4 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. A. Calderon Vargas n 8 | 47.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| K. Viveros n 8 | 71.5 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto n 6 | 14.8 | 1 | 0 |
| Dudu Kogitzki n 8 | 27.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| João Cruz n 8 | 69.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Zapelli n 8 | 18.8 | 3.6 |
| L. Esquivel n 8 | 76.5 | 2.5 |
| Dantas n 8 | 78.1 | 2 |
| J. Portilla n 8 | 45 | 2 |
| Jadson n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 |
Palmeiras
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Pacheco n 8 | 18.4 | 3.7 | 0 | — |
| Larson n 8 | 15.8 | 3.6 | 2.1 | — |
| Vitor Roque n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 | 4.5 | — |
| Felipe Anderson n 8 | 31.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | — |
| A. Barboza n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heittor n 5 | 13 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| Vitor Roque n 8 | 59.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| J. Lopez n 8 | 71.5 | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| R. Sosa n 8 | 24.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 |
| Mauricio n 8 | 46.4 | 3.2 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulinho n 8 | 27 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Giay n 8 | 71.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Vitor Roque n 8 | 59.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| J. Lopez n 8 | 71.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Khellven n 8 | 35.8 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Felipe Anderson n 8 | 31.6 | 3.6 |
| A. Giay n 8 | 71.3 | 3.2 |
| Arthur Gabriel n 8 | 60.4 | 3 |
| Khellven n 8 | 35.8 | 2.8 |
| Lucas Evangelista n 8 | 80.9 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel n 8 | 90.6 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-19 Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense
- 2024-09-01 Atletico Paranaense 0–2 Palmeiras
- 2024-05-12 Palmeiras 0–2 Atletico Paranaense
- 2023-11-05 Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico Paranaense
- 2023-07-02 Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Palmeiras
- 2022-10-26 Atletico Paranaense 1–3 Palmeiras
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras is Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.10 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Paranaense and Palmeiras?
- In their last 6 meetings, Atletico Paranaense won 1, Palmeiras won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atletico Paranaense and Palmeiras?
- Recent form — Atletico Paranaense 2W 2D 1L; Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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