Bahia v Santos result

Full-time · Bahia 2–0 Santos

Serie A – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bahia · Santos · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bahia 2–0 Santos — Bahia won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bahia beat Santos 2–0 in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 24 August. Bahia are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bahia led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bahia: Luciano Juba (12’, assisted by Everton Ribeiro) and L. Rodríguez (60’, assisted by Everton Ribeiro).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luciano Juba’s goal on 12 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bahia 0.64, Santos 0.37, from 12 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil showed three yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bahia: Ademir (-5’) and Nicolás Acevedo (64’); Santos: Benjamín Rollheiser (76’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Everton Ribeiro (Bahia) 9.0, Luciano Juba (Bahia) 7.7 and L. Rodríguez (Bahia) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bahia or Santos (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Bahia next travel to Santos on 25 October 2026.

Santos next host Bahia on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bahia: Santos v Bahia, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Bahia 2–0 Santos · Serie A – Brazil
  • Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bahia 0 · draws 4 · Santos 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bahia 2W 3D 0L · Santos 2W 1D 2L

Bahia 2–0 Santos (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.13
Corners
against 4.13 / 8 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 7.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.5
Cards
against 2.5 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
2.17 home / 2.08 away
over 24 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBahia for / againstLineSantos for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 8 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 17.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 7.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.63 for · 16.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 3.38 against n 8

Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 24.83 fouls over 24 matches (2.17 to the home side, 2.08 to the away side).

Bahia
Bahia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tiago Souza n 822.3
34/1
32/2
—
Michel Araújo n 839.8
2.55/2
1.73/2
—
Nicolás Acevedo n 832.4
2.43/3
2.14/1
João Schmidt
Jean Lucas n 880.6
1.55/3
1.46/2
T. Rincón
Caio Alexandre n 869.1
1.56/3
3.16/5
—
Bahia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Rodríguez n 835.6
4.16/4
2.85/3
Rodrigo Nestor n 843.6
2.66/3
1.54/2
Erick Pulga n 878
2.38/5
0.32/0
Willian Jose n 852.3
1.96/3
0.94/0
Michel Araújo n 839.8
1.74/2
0.62/0
Bahia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Rodríguez n 835.6
0.92/1
00/0
Willian Jose n 852.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
Kayky n 844.4
00/0
0.52/0
Rodrigo Nestor n 843.6
0.52/0
00/0
Tiago Souza n 822.3
00/0
0.51/0
Bahia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nicolás Acevedo n 832.4
4.96/5
Ademir n 865
2.65/4
Rodrigo Nestor n 843.6
2.66/4
Tiago Souza n 822.3
2.53/1
Luciano Juba n 876.9
2.38/4
Bahia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marcos Felipe n 890
2.65/4
Ronaldo n 883.5
2.46/2
Santos
Santos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Schmidt n 855
2.77/2
0.84/0
Nicolás Acevedo
T. Rincón n 860.6
2.26/3
0.21/0
Jean Lucas
G. Caballero n 652.7
23/2
2.85/3
—
Gonzalo Escobar n 850.9
1.84/3
0.42/0
—
Neymar n 888.1
1.77/4
3.88/8
—
Santos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Neymar n 888.1
2.66/6
1.34/3
Álvaro Barreal n 872.8
2.27/3
0.94/2
G. Caballero n 652.7
1.73/2
0.62/0
Deivid Washington n 846.4
1.74/2
0.72/1
Robinho Júnior n 317.3
1.71/0
00/0
Santos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Caballero n 652.7
0.62/0
0.31/0
Guilherme n 874
0.53/0
0.32/0
Álvaro Barreal n 872.8
0.53/0
00/0
Tiquinho Soares n 846.5
00/0
0.52/0
Neymar n 888.1
0.42/1
00/0
Santos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zé Rafael n 861.8
4.28/7
Robinho Júnior n 317.3
3.52/0
Souza n 872.6
2.98/5
Gabriel Bontempo n 846.1
2.43/2
G. Caballero n 652.7
2.33/2
Santos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Brazão n 890
5.18/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BahiaSantos
54%Possession46%
0.64Expected goals (xG)0.37
12Shots8
4Shots on target3
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box2
3Corners0
1Offsides1
12Fouls17
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves2
505Passes415
84%Pass accuracy84%

Bahia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ronaldo9000000007.2
Santiago Arias9000101107
David Duarte9000000107.2
Santiago Ramos Mingo9000100007.5
Luciano Juba9010111208.2
Jean Lucas9000000307
Nicolás Acevedo72001102Y7
Everton Ribeiro7202003208.3
Kayky6500001106.6
Willian Jose4500000006.7
Ademir8000000Y6.3
Cauly sub8200100007
L. Rodríguez sub4510220107.3
Tiago Souza sub2500100006.9
Rezende sub1800000106.3
Rodrigo Nestor sub1800001106.6

Santos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Brazão9000000006.2
Luis Fellipe9000100106.3
Luan Peres9000000006.7
T. Rincón9000000206.7
Benjamín Rollheiser90002200Y6.7
Álvaro Barreal9000001207.3
Gonzalo Escobar8600000407
João Schmidt8600000406.9
Mayke7400002006.3
Tiquinho Soares7400002206.9
Gabriel Bontempo5600000106.3
G. Caballero sub3400110206.9
Igor Vinícius sub1600000006.3
Deivid Washington sub1600100006.6
Souza sub900001106.9
Hyan sub900000206.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bahia v Santos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BahiaWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
SantosLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bahia 0 · 4 draws · Santos 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-04-06 Santos 2–2 Bahia
  • 2023-09-18 Bahia 1–2 Santos
  • 2023-05-31 Bahia 1–1 Santos
  • 2023-05-17 Santos 0–0 Bahia
  • 2023-05-10 Santos 3–0 Bahia
  • 2021-09-12 Santos 0–0 Bahia
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Bahia#7 pos60 pts38 pl+4 GD
Santos#12 pos47 pts38 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Bahia scored1.32
Santos scored1.18
Bahia conceded1.21
Santos conceded1.32

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bahia v Santos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bahia v Santos was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Santos?
In their last 6 meetings, Bahia won 0, Santos won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bahia and Santos?
Recent form — Bahia 2W 3D 0L; Santos 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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