Cagliari v Bologna prediction

The match

Cagliari host Bologna in Serie A on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Cagliari or Bologna (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Cagliari have scored in five consecutive matches. Cagliari are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Form and the table

Six of Cagliari’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Cagliari’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Cagliari have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.78 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.00. Cagliari have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cagliari have conceded three goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Six of Bologna’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Bologna’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Bologna have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.57. Bologna have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bologna have conceded 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cagliari (fifth) and Bologna (14th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cagliari the stronger side, 172 rating points above Bologna (Cagliari 1744, Bologna 1572, after at least 310 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bologna are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Cagliari. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Bologna 0–0 Cagliari.

Team news

Cagliari have one name on the availability list: Riyad Idrissi (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted Cagliari XI (4-3-2-1): E. Caprile, A. Obert, Z. Pedro, J. Rodríguez, A. Deiola, A. Romano, H. Winks, M. Adopo, D. Maldini, J. Fazzini, P. Mendy — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Daniel Maldini (4.1 per match over eight appearances, four goals) and Elia Caprile (4.1 per match over seven appearances) have been Cagliari’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cagliari (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daniel Maldini averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 636 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Elia Caprile averages 4.4 saves per 90 over 640 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Bologna XI (4-2-3-1): Ł. Skorupski, T. Heggem, A. Theate, E. Helland, E. Holm, L. Ferguson, T. Pobega, N. Cambiaghi, F. Bernardeschi, N. Zortea, R. Piccoli — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Miranda (4.2 per match over six appearances, two assists) and Lewis Ferguson (3.5 per match over seven appearances) have been Bologna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bologna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Miranda averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 486 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Lewis Ferguson averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1475 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.