Gremio v Bahia prediction
Team pages: Gremio · Bahia · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gremio vs Bahia, Serie A – Brazil on Wed, 18 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Gremio host Bahia in Serie A – Brazil on Wednesday 18 November (kick-off 21:00 UK).
The key numbers
Gremio are winless in their last six matches.
Form and the table
Six of Gremio’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Gremio’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Gremio have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 0.88. Gremio have scored 32 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Gremio have conceded 40 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Bahia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Bahia’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Bahia have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50. Bahia have scored 44 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Bahia have conceded 36 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Gremio (18th) and Bahia (sixth) are 18 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bahia the stronger side, 236 rating points above Gremio (Bahia 1675, Gremio 1440, after at least 334 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Bahia 1–1 Gremio.
Team news
Predicted Gremio XI (4-1-4-1): Weverton, D. Caito, G. Martins, W. Kannemann, C. Paulista, M. Villasanti, F. Krovinović, E. Noriega, D. Barbosa, Tetê, C. Vinícius — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Pavón (4.2 per match over 39 appearances, four goals and five assists) and Wallace (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Gremio’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gremio (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Pavón averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 3030 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances. Wallace averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1357 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Bahia XI (4-3-3): Ronaldo, D. Duarte, L. Juba, R. Gómez, S. Mingo, R. Nestor, N. Acevedo, J. Lucas, A. Véliz, E. Pulga, C. Olivera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luciano Juba (4.1 per match over 30 appearances, 10 goals and one assist) and Nicolás Acevedo (3.5 per match over 30 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Bahia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bahia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luciano Juba averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 2553 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Nicolás Acevedo averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 2555 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Arena do Grêmio
- Head-to-head (last 6): Gremio 2 · draws 1 · Bahia 3 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Gremio 0W 3D 2L · Bahia 3W 0D 2L
TACTIX runs Gremio v Bahia (Serie A – Brazil) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Gremio for / against | Line | Bahia for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 21.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.5 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.75 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Gremio
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zortéa n 5 | 20.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Erick Noriega n 8 | 69 | 3.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 38.8 | 2.3 | 4.4 | — |
| Walter Kannemann n 8 | 71.4 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| João Pedro n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Enamorado n 8 | 28.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Tetê n 8 | 36.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Zortéa n 5 | 20.6 | 1.7 | 0 |
| F. Krovinović n 8 | 82.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Carlos Vinícius n 8 | 76.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Martins n 8 | 66.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Cristian Pavón n 8 | 74.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| José Enamorado n 8 | 28.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Carlos Vinícius n 8 | 76.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| F. Amuzu n 8 | 68.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marlon n 8 | 84.9 | 3.4 |
| Zortéa n 5 | 20.6 | 2.6 |
| Juan Nardoni n 8 | 41.4 | 1.9 |
| Tetê n 8 | 36.8 | 1.8 |
| Mathias Villasanti n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Weverton n 8 | 90 | 5.8 |
Bahia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michel Araújo n 8 | 19.5 | 4 | 1.7 | — |
| Nicolás Acevedo n 8 | 82.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| Çağatay Yılmaz n 7 | 30.4 | 2.1 | 4.6 | — |
| Román Gómez n 8 | 68.9 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Jean Lucas n 8 | 57 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruan Pablo n 8 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Alejo Véliz n 8 | 87.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Mateo Sanabria n 8 | 27.6 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Erick Pulga n 8 | 81.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor n 8 | 79.9 | 2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Lucas n 8 | 57 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Michel Araújo n 8 | 19.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Alejo Véliz n 8 | 87.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Erick Pulga n 8 | 81.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Luciano Juba n 8 | 87.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Erick n 8 | 55.3 | 2.9 |
| Ruan Pablo n 8 | 11.8 | 2.9 |
| Everton Ribeiro n 8 | 29.5 | 2.7 |
| Nicolás Acevedo n 8 | 82.8 | 2.4 |
| Marcos Victor n 8 | 52.6 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo n 8 | 90.9 | 3.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Gremio v Bahia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-17 Bahia 1–1 Gremio
- 2025-10-19 Bahia 4–0 Gremio
- 2025-05-25 Gremio 1–0 Bahia
- 2024-08-17 Gremio 0–2 Bahia
- 2024-04-28 Bahia 1–0 Gremio
- 2023-11-04 Gremio 1–0 Bahia
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Bahia?
- In their last 6 meetings, Gremio won 2, Bahia won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Gremio and Bahia?
- Recent form — Gremio 0W 3D 2L; Bahia 3W 0D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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