Gremio v Cruzeiro prediction
Team pages: Gremio · Cruzeiro · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Gremio vs Cruzeiro, Serie A – Brazil on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
Gremio host Cruzeiro in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Gremio or Cruzeiro (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Gremio are winless in their last six matches.
Cruzeiro have scored in 14 consecutive matches.
Cruzeiro are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Gremio.
Form and the table
Six of Gremio’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Gremio’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Gremio have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 0.88. Gremio have scored 32 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Gremio have conceded 40 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.
10 of Cruzeiro’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Cruzeiro’s last 15 results (80%). Away from home, Cruzeiro have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.88. Cruzeiro have scored 46 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Cruzeiro have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Gremio (18th) and Cruzeiro (sixth) are 17 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cruzeiro the stronger side, 237 rating points above Gremio (Cruzeiro 1677, Gremio 1440, after at least 258 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio.
Team news
Predicted Gremio XI (4-1-4-1): Weverton, Wallace, D. Caito, G. Martins, W. Kannemann, M. Villasanti, F. Krovinović, E. Noriega, D. Barbosa, Tetê, C. Vinícius — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Pavón (4.2 per match over 39 appearances, four goals and five assists) and Wallace (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Gremio’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gremio (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Pavón averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 3030 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances. Wallace averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1357 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Cruzeiro XI (4-2-3-1): O. Costa, J. Marcelo, J. Jesus, Fagner, G. Rojas, M. Pereira, Gerson, M. Henrique, K. Arroyo, L. Romero, K. Jorge — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Matheus Pereira (4.5 per match over 41 appearances, 13 goals and seven assists) and Kaiki (4.0 per match over 24 appearances, three assists) have been Cruzeiro’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Cruzeiro (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Matheus Pereira averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 3469 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Kaiki averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 2400 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Arena do Grêmio
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Gremio 1 · draws 1 · Cruzeiro 4 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Gremio 0W 3D 2L · Cruzeiro 3W 0D 2L
TACTIX runs Gremio v Cruzeiro (Serie A – Brazil) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Gremio for / against | Line | Cruzeiro for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 21.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.5 for · 20.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.5 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Gremio
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zortéa n 5 | 20.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Erick Noriega n 8 | 69 | 3.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 38.8 | 2.3 | 4.4 | — |
| Walter Kannemann n 8 | 71.4 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| João Pedro n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Enamorado n 8 | 28.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Tetê n 8 | 36.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Zortéa n 5 | 20.6 | 1.7 | 0 |
| F. Krovinović n 8 | 82.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Carlos Vinícius n 8 | 76.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Martins n 8 | 66.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Cristian Pavón n 8 | 74.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| José Enamorado n 8 | 28.1 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Carlos Vinícius n 8 | 76.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| F. Amuzu n 8 | 68.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marlon n 8 | 84.9 | 3.4 |
| Zortéa n 5 | 20.6 | 2.6 |
| Juan Nardoni n 8 | 41.4 | 1.9 |
| Tetê n 8 | 36.8 | 1.8 |
| Mathias Villasanti n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Weverton n 8 | 90 | 5.8 |
Cruzeiro
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Gabriel e Costa Cesco n 8 | 32.9 | 3.1 | 0.7 | — |
| Felipe Morais n 8 | 47.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | — |
| Lucas Silva n 8 | 17 | 2.6 | 2 | — |
| William Furtado n 8 | 68.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Zé Lucas n 8 | 41 | 1.9 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Morais n 8 | 47.3 | 4 | 1.7 |
| Matheus Pereira n 8 | 79.1 | 3 | 1.3 |
| Keny Arroyo n 8 | 74.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Kaio Jorge n 8 | 84 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Bruno Rodrigues n 8 | 34.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pereira n 8 | 79.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Kaio Jorge n 8 | 84 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| L. Rodríguez n 8 | 31.3 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Lucas Villalba n 8 | 63.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Keny Arroyo n 8 | 74.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fagner n 8 | 71.4 | 3.3 |
| Lucas Silva n 8 | 17 | 3.3 |
| Jonathan Jesus n 8 | 78.5 | 3 |
| Lucas Romero n 8 | 77.8 | 3 |
| Zé Lucas n 8 | 41 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Otávio Costa n 8 | 90 | 5.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Gremio v Cruzeiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-18 Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio
- 2025-11-05 Gremio 0–1 Cruzeiro
- 2025-07-13 Cruzeiro 4–1 Gremio
- 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro 1–1 Gremio
- 2024-07-10 Gremio 0–2 Cruzeiro
- 2023-08-27 Gremio 3–0 Cruzeiro
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Gremio v Cruzeiro is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Cruzeiro?
- In their last 6 meetings, Gremio won 1, Cruzeiro won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Gremio and Cruzeiro?
- Recent form — Gremio 0W 3D 2L; Cruzeiro 3W 0D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.