Lazio v Lecce prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Olimpico

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lazio v Lecce, Serie A on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lazio host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday 22 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Lazio are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Lazio have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Lazio’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Lazio’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Lazio have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.75. Lazio have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lazio have conceded four goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lecce have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.22. Lecce have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Lazio (second) and Lecce (12th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lazio the stronger side, 289 rating points above Lecce (Lazio 1866, Lecce 1577, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, finished Lecce 0–0 Lazio.

Team news

Lazio have one name on the availability list: Patric (out, Sprained Ankle) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-22. Predicted Lazio XI (4-3-3): C. Mandas, O. Provstgaard, R. Floriani Mussolini, N. Tavares, D. Doekhi, K. Taylor, D. Frattesi, R. Belahyane, M. Zaccagni, G. Isaksen, T. Noslin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nuno Tavares (5.0 per match over seven appearances, one goal and three assists) and Mattia Zaccagni (4.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Lazio’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lazio (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nuno Tavares averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 517 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last nine appearances. Mattia Zaccagni averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 712 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, J. Siebert, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, K. N’Dri, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Gabriel (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Gabriel averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 511 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Olimpico
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lazio 3 · draws 1 · Lecce 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lazio 4W 1D 0L · Lecce 2W 0D 3L

Lazio v Lecce (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5 / 6.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.88 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLazio for / againstLineLecce for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Lazio
Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Lazzari n 811.8
2.93/0
2.93/0
—
A. Pinamonti n 832.6
2.46/1
1.74/1
—
M. Cancellieri n 864.3
2.17/4
2.15/4
—
L. Pellegrini n 872.5
27/4
0.52/1
—
A. Guðmundsson n 844.5
1.84/2
1.85/1
—
Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Isaksen n 852.8
35/4
0.94/0
M. Cancellieri n 864.3
2.38/3
1.15/1
A. Pinamonti n 832.6
2.14/1
1.42/1
M. Zaccagni n 889
27/5
15/2
T. Noslin n 853.5
1.96/3
1.34/2
Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Dia n 825.8
1.32/1
00/0
T. Noslin n 853.5
0.42/0
0.62/1
A. Pinamonti n 832.6
0.72/0
0.31/0
Nuno Tavares n 863.1
0.21/0
0.53/0
F. Dele-Bashiru n 854.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Lazzari n 811.8
2.93/0
R. Belahyane n 875.5
2.47/5
M. Cancellieri n 864.3
2.37/4
D. Frattesi n 865.8
2.27/4
R. Floriani Mussolini n 878.5
2.17/5
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Mandas n 890
4.17/6
Lecce
Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paco Esteban n 531
2.93/2
2.33/1
—
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.15/4
0.62/1
—
S. Pierotti n 865.9
1.97/3
0.21/0
—
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
1.93/3
0.21/0
—
O. Gandelman n 824.3
1.93/1
00/0
—
Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Geubbels n 864.3
3.27/5
1.66/2
K. N’Dri n 849.5
2.34/3
1.12/1
M. Kaba n 840.4
24/2
1.74/1
M. Berisha n 857.8
1.96/3
0.84/0
Paco Esteban n 531
1.72/1
0.61/0
Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Berisha n 857.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
I. Ilić n 844.4
00/0
0.51/1
A. Ahmed Fatah n 843.9
0.52/0
00/0
Olaf Gorter n 632.3
0.51/0
00/0
Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kialonda Gaspar n 865.1
3.36/6
Danilo Veiga n 890
38/6
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.97/4
J. Siebert n 871.5
2.77/6
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
2.77/4
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
4.47/6

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lazio v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LazioWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
LecceLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lazio 3 · 1 draw · Lecce 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Lecce 0–0 Lazio
  • 2025-11-23 Lazio 2–0 Lecce
  • 2025-05-25 Lazio 0–1 Lecce
  • 2024-12-21 Lecce 1–2 Lazio
  • 2024-01-14 Lazio 1–0 Lecce
  • 2023-08-20 Lecce 2–1 Lazio
League standing · 2026/27
Lazio#2 pos19 pts7 pl+10 GD
Lecce#12 pos9 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Lazio scored2
Lecce scored1.29
Lazio conceded0.57
Lecce conceded1.71

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Lecce?
In their last 6 meetings, Lazio won 3, Lecce won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lazio and Lecce?
Recent form — Lazio 4W 1D 0L; Lecce 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →