Lecce v Cagliari prediction
Team pages: Lecce · Cagliari · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Cagliari, Serie A on Sun, 02 May 2027 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Lecce host Cagliari in Serie A on Sunday 2 May (kick-off 17:30 UK).
Form and the table
Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Lecce have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Lecce have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Cagliari have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29. Cagliari have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cagliari have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Lecce (12th) and Cagliari (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cagliari the stronger side, 13 rating points above Lecce (Cagliari 1590, Lecce 1577, after at least 197 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 7 September 2026, finished Cagliari 1–0 Lecce.
Team news
Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, J. Siebert, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, K. N’Dri, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Gabriel (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Gabriel averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 511 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Cagliari XI (4-3-1-2): E. Caprile, A. Obert, Z. Pedro, J. Rodríguez, A. Deiola, A. Romano, H. Winks, M. Adopo, D. Maldini, P. Mendy, A. Fadera — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Elia Caprile (4.1 per match over eight appearances) and Daniel Maldini (3.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals) have been Cagliari’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cagliari (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Elia Caprile averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 730 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances. Daniel Maldini averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 703 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Via del Mare
- Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 2 · draws 1 · Cagliari 3 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Lecce 2W 0D 3L · Cagliari 3W 1D 1L
Lecce v Cagliari (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lecce for / against | Line | Cagliari for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 18.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Lecce
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 2.9 | 2.3 | — |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Pierotti n 8 | 65.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| O. Gandelman n 8 | 24.3 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Geubbels n 8 | 64.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| K. N’Dri n 8 | 49.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| M. Kaba n 8 | 40.4 | 2 | 1.7 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| I. Ilić n 8 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| A. Ahmed Fatah n 8 | 43.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Olaf Gorter n 6 | 32.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kialonda Gaspar n 8 | 65.1 | 3.3 |
| Danilo Veiga n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.9 |
| J. Siebert n 8 | 71.5 | 2.7 |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
Cagliari
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 2.3 | 2 | — |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 2 | 2.7 | — |
| J. Liteta n 7 | 52.1 | 1.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Kevin Carlos n 8 | 20.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Kevin Carlos n 8 | 20.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| M'Bala Nzola n 8 | 43.9 | 1.8 | 1 |
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maldini n 8 | 58.1 | 0.8 | 0 |
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| M'Bala Nzola n 8 | 43.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 82.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 4.1 |
| J. Liteta n 7 | 52.1 | 2.5 |
| A. Obert n 8 | 88.3 | 2.3 |
| A. Romano n 8 | 75.6 | 2.1 |
| A. Deiola n 8 | 62.9 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile n 8 | 91.3 | 4.1 |
| B. Radunović n 8 | 84.4 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Lecce v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-07 Cagliari 1–0 Lecce
- 2026-02-16 Cagliari 0–2 Lecce
- 2025-09-19 Lecce 1–2 Cagliari
- 2025-01-19 Cagliari 4–1 Lecce
- 2024-08-31 Lecce 1–0 Cagliari
- 2024-05-05 Cagliari 1–1 Lecce
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Cagliari?
- In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 2, Cagliari won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Lecce and Cagliari?
- Recent form — Lecce 2W 0D 3L; Cagliari 3W 1D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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