Mirassol v Internacional prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Mirassol vs Internacional, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 00:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Mirassol host Internacional in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 00:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Mirassol or Internacional (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Five of Mirassol’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in 10 of Mirassol’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Mirassol have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57. Mirassol have scored 34 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Mirassol have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Six of Internacional’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Internacional’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Internacional have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.63. Internacional have scored 33 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Internacional have conceded 38 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Mirassol (15th) and Internacional (17th) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Mirassol the stronger side, 53 rating points above Internacional (Mirassol 1577, Internacional 1524, after at least 68 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Mirassol are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Internacional, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Internacional 1–2 Mirassol.

Team news

Predicted Mirassol XI (4-2-3-1): Walter, W. Machado, Reinaldo, I. Formiga, J. Victor, Denilson, N. Moura, Eduardo, C. Kim, Alesson, B. Santos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Formiga (5.3 per match over 34 appearances, four goals and six assists) and Negueba (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Mirassol’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Mirassol (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Formiga averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 2811 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Negueba averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 983 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Internacional XI (3-4-2-1): M. Cunha, G. Mercado, B. Gomes, G. Maripán, Vitinho, R. Villagra, B. Henrique, P. Paula, T. Maia, A. Bernabei, A. Patrick — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Alexandro Bernabei (4.0 per match over 32 appearances, seven goals and two assists) and Alan Patrick (3.6 per match over 31 appearances, six goals and six assists) have been Internacional’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Internacional (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Alexandro Bernabei averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 2827 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Alan Patrick averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 2243 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Referee: Bruno Arleu
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Mirassol 2 · draws 1 · Internacional 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mirassol 2W 2D 1L · Internacional 2W 1D 2L

TACTIX runs Mirassol v Internacional (Serie A – Brazil) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 15 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.38
Corners
against 6.75 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMirassol for / againstLineInternacional for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 16.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
18.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
Mirassol
Mirassol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Elias n 469.5
2.32/2
0.61/1
—
Wallisson n 841.9
2.15/2
35/4
—
Denilson n 880.6
26/4
0.85/1
—
Andre Luis n 839
24/2
1.44/1
—
Chico Kim n 845.9
1.74/3
25/3
—
Mirassol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Edson Carioca n 848.5
2.34/3
1.24/1
Eduardo n 862.8
2.26/3
1.15/1
Bruno Santos n 868
1.86/3
0.74/0
Japa n 846.8
1.74/2
0.72/1
Andre Luis n 839
1.74/2
0.31/0
Mirassol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eduardo n 862.8
0.73/1
00/0
Igor Formiga n 889.4
00/0
0.53/1
Edson Carioca n 848.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Bruno Santos n 868
0.32/0
00/0
Andre Luis n 839
0.31/0
00/0
Mirassol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wallisson n 841.9
35/3
Igor Formiga n 889.4
2.98/5
Lucas Oliveira n 859.6
2.87/5
Gustavo Silva n 849.9
2.54/3
Chico Kim n 845.9
2.25/2
Mirassol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Walter n 885.8
3.76/4
Alex Muralha n 882.8
2.74/4
Internacional
Internacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alerrandro n 837.9
3.65/4
1.52/2
—
Braian Aguirre n 851.4
3.38/4
0.42/0
—
A. Sanabria n 833.3
2.75/1
24/2
—
Calebe n 821.8
2.64/1
3.15/1
—
Ronaldo n 832
2.53/2
0.41/0
—
Internacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alerrandro n 837.9
2.44/3
00/0
Vitinho n 880.9
2.27/4
14/2
Braian Aguirre n 851.4
2.26/4
0.72/1
Bruno Henrique n 848.5
2.16/2
0.73/0
Alan Patrick n 873
24/3
0.63/1
Internacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alan Patrick n 873
0.32/0
0.53/0
Bruno Henrique n 848.5
0.52/0
0.21/0
Vitinho n 880.9
0.64/0
00/0
Thiago Maia n 849.6
00/0
0.52/0
Allex n 824.5
0.51/0
00/0
Internacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Matheus Bahia n 853.1
3.86/4
Paulinho Paula n 845.3
36/4
Bruno Gomes n 888.9
2.97/7
Allex n 824.5
2.82/1
Jose Juninho n 830.6
2.64/2
Internacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthoni n 883
2.66/3
Matheus Cunha n 890.3
2.16/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mirassol v Internacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MirassolWDWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
InternacionalLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Mirassol 2 · 1 draw · Internacional 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-19 Internacional 1–2 Mirassol
  • 2025-10-15 Mirassol 3–1 Internacional
  • 2025-05-18 Internacional 1–1 Mirassol
League standing · 2026
Mirassol#15 pos33 pts30 pl-10 GD
Internacional#17 pos32 pts30 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Mirassol scored1.13
Internacional scored1.1
Mirassol conceded1.47
Internacional conceded1.27

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Mirassol vs Internacional?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mirassol v Internacional is Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Internacional?
In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 2, Internacional won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mirassol and Internacional?
Recent form — Mirassol 2W 2D 1L; Internacional 2W 1D 2L.

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