Mirassol v Sao Paulo prediction
Team pages: Mirassol · Sao Paulo
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 20:30 BST.
The match
Mirassol host Sao Paulo in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Mirassol or Sao Paulo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
Four of Mirassol’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in nine of Mirassol’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Mirassol have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Mirassol have scored 36 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Mirassol have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Five of Sao Paulo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Sao Paulo’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Sao Paulo have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.50. Sao Paulo have scored 35 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Sao Paulo have conceded 35 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Mirassol (14th) and Sao Paulo (10th) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Mirassol the stronger side, 64 rating points above Sao Paulo (Mirassol 1618, Sao Paulo 1555, after at least 69 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol.
Team news
Predicted Mirassol XI (4-2-3-1): Walter, Reinaldo, W. Machado, I. Formiga, J. Victor, Denilson, Eduardo, N. Moura, C. Kim, Shaylon, B. Santos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Formiga (5.4 per match over 35 appearances, four goals and six assists) and Negueba (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Mirassol’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Mirassol (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Formiga averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 2901 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Negueba averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 983 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Sao Paulo XI (3-4-3): Rafael, R. Arboleda, Sabino, R. Toloi, M. Antônio, I. Borduchi, P. Maia, Danielzinho, Artur, J. Calleri, Luciano — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Domingos Duarte (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) and Artur (3.8 per match over 31 appearances, four goals and five assists) have been Sao Paulo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sao Paulo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Domingos Duarte averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 676 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances. Artur averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 2683 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · José Maria de Campos Maia
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Mirassol 2 · draws 0 · Sao Paulo 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Mirassol 2W 2D 1L · Sao Paulo 2W 1D 2L
TACTIX runs Mirassol v Sao Paulo (Serie A – Brazil) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Mirassol for / against | Line | Sao Paulo for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.88 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.5 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Mirassol
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias n 4 | 69.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — |
| Wallisson n 8 | 34.6 | 2.3 | 3.2 | — |
| Andre Luis n 8 | 37.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Alesson n 8 | 54 | 1.7 | 2.1 | — |
| Chico Kim n 8 | 45.9 | 1.7 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Carioca n 8 | 51.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Bruno Santos n 8 | 67.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Eduardo n 8 | 66.9 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Alesson n 8 | 54 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Andre Luis n 8 | 37.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo n 8 | 66.9 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Edson Carioca n 8 | 51.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Andre Luis n 8 | 37.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Igor Formiga n 8 | 89.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Bruno Santos n 8 | 67.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Wallisson n 8 | 34.6 | 4.9 |
| Lucas Oliveira n 8 | 59.6 | 2.8 |
| Igor Formiga n 8 | 89.4 | 2.6 |
| Gustavo Silva n 8 | 49.9 | 2.5 |
| Edson Carioca n 8 | 51.3 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Walter n 8 | 85.6 | 3.7 |
| Alex Muralha n 8 | 82.8 | 2.7 |
Sao Paulo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djhordney Ferreira n 8 | 39.4 | 3.7 | 2.3 | — |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 46.3 | 2.4 | 1 | — |
| Wendell n 8 | 67.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | — |
| Iago Borduchi n 8 | 71.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Pablo Maia n 8 | 57.8 | 2.1 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Santana n 8 | 47.1 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Luciano n 8 | 79.1 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Artur n 8 | 76.8 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Ryan Francisco n 8 | 33.6 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Jonathan Calleri n 8 | 72 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano n 8 | 79.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Jonathan Calleri n 8 | 72 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Iago Borduchi n 8 | 71.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Artur n 8 | 76.8 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Ryan Francisco n 8 | 33.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Djhordney Ferreira n 8 | 39.4 | 3.1 |
| Iago Borduchi n 8 | 71.8 | 2.5 |
| Danielzinho n 8 | 40.5 | 2.5 |
| Wendell n 8 | 67.3 | 2.3 |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 46.3 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Coronel n 8 | 90.6 | 3.8 |
| Rafael n 8 | 80.8 | 1.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Mirassol v Sao Paulo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-26 Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol
- 2025-10-19 Mirassol 3–0 Sao Paulo
- 2025-05-24 Sao Paulo 0–2 Mirassol
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Mirassol v Sao Paulo?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Mirassol v Sao Paulo is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Sao Paulo?
- In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 2, Sao Paulo won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Mirassol and Sao Paulo?
- Recent form — Mirassol 2W 2D 1L; Sao Paulo 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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