Monza v Fiorentina prediction
Team pages: Monza · Fiorentina · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v Fiorentina, Serie A on Sun, 22 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Monza host Fiorentina in Serie A on Sunday 22 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Fiorentina have conceded 17 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Monza have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Fiorentina have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
11 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Monza have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.29. Monza have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monza have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.
Nine of Fiorentina’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Fiorentina’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Fiorentina have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.17. Fiorentina have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Fiorentina are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Monza (14th) and Fiorentina (18th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Monza the stronger side, 84 rating points above Fiorentina (Monza 1531, Fiorentina 1447, after at least 121 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 13 January 2025, finished Monza 2–1 Fiorentina.
Team news
Predicted Monza XI (3-4-2-1): D. Thiam, E. Kouadio, A. Carboni, L. Lucchesi, S. Birindelli, R. Mangas, E. Akinsanmiro, M. Folorunsho, M. Ondoa, M. Mout, G. Varela — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Varela (6.4 per match over seven appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Eddy Kouadio (4.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Monza’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monza (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo Varela averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 590 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Eddy Kouadio averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 792 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.
Fiorentina have one name on the availability list: R. Sottil (out, Back Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-21. Predicted Fiorentina XI (4-2-3-1): D. de Gea, R. Drăgușin, Á. Jiménez, Viery, Valde, C. Ndour, N. Fagioli, A. Atta, F. Mastantuono, C. Inao Oulaï, M. Pellegrino — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Franco Mastantuono (4.9 per match over nine appearances, three goals) and Cher Ndour (3.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Fiorentina’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fiorentina (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Franco Mastantuono averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 798 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cher Ndour averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 937 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Head-to-head (last 6): Monza 2 · draws 2 · Fiorentina 2 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Monza 2W 1D 2L · Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L
Monza v Fiorentina (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Monza for / against | Line | Fiorentina for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Monza
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bakoune n 8 | 37.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| C. Ngonge n 8 | 46.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| L. Lucchesi n 8 | 69.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 47.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| A. Carboni n 8 | 83.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dany Mota n 8 | 49.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 47.5 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Y. Maye n 4 | 32.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| A. Colpani n 8 | 45.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Jay Robinson n 8 | 53.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Varela n 8 | 82.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Dany Mota n 8 | 49.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 47.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Ricardo Mangas n 8 | 77.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Jay Robinson n 8 | 53.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bakoune n 8 | 37.1 | 4.5 |
| M. Mout n 6 | 39.5 | 3.4 |
| E. Kouadio n 8 | 87.8 | 3.1 |
| Y. Maye n 4 | 32.8 | 2.7 |
| Jay Robinson n 8 | 53.4 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Törnqvist n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| S. Pizzignacco n 8 | 89.1 | 2 |
| D. Thiam n 8 | 91.1 | 1.5 |
Fiorentina
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pongračić n 8 | 49.4 | 2.1 | 0.2 | — |
| Viery n 8 | 62.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| C. Inao Oulaï n 8 | 49.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | — |
| A. Guðmundsson n 8 | 44.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Beto n 8 | 26.5 | 1.7 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kean n 8 | 56.9 | 3 | 2 |
| Beto n 8 | 26.5 | 3 | 0.4 |
| Franco Mastantuono n 8 | 65.3 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| A. Njie n 8 | 56.4 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Pote n 8 | 38.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Mastantuono n 8 | 65.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Pote n 8 | 38.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Mateo Pellegrino n 8 | 68.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Álex Jiménez n 8 | 68.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| M. Brescianini n 8 | 45.6 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Viery n 8 | 62.3 | 3.3 |
| Franco Mastantuono n 8 | 65.3 | 2.8 |
| N. Fagioli n 8 | 80.4 | 2.4 |
| Álex Jiménez n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 |
| C. Inao Oulaï n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| David de Gea n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Monza v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-01-13 Monza 2–1 Fiorentina
- 2024-09-01 Fiorentina 2–2 Monza
- 2024-05-13 Fiorentina 2–1 Monza
- 2023-12-22 Monza 0–1 Fiorentina
- 2023-04-23 Monza 3–2 Fiorentina
- 2023-01-04 Fiorentina 1–1 Monza
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Fiorentina?
- In their last 6 meetings, Monza won 2, Fiorentina won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Monza and Fiorentina?
- Recent form — Monza 2W 1D 2L; Fiorentina 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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