Monza v Lecce prediction
Team pages: Monza · Lecce · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v Lecce, Serie A on Sun, 14 Feb 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Monza host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday 14 February (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Monza have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Lecce are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Monza, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
11 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Monza have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.29. Monza have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monza have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lecce have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.22. Lecce have scored nine goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.
Monza (14th) and Lecce (12th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lecce the stronger side, 46 rating points above Monza (Lecce 1577, Monza 1531, after at least 121 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished Lecce 3–2 Monza.
Team news
Predicted Monza XI (3-4-2-1): D. Thiam, E. Kouadio, A. Carboni, L. Lucchesi, S. Birindelli, R. Mangas, E. Akinsanmiro, M. Folorunsho, M. Ondoa, M. Mout, G. Varela — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Varela (6.4 per match over seven appearances, eight goals and one assist) and Eddy Kouadio (4.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Monza’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monza (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo Varela averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 590 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Eddy Kouadio averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 792 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, J. Siebert, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, K. N’Dri, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Gabriel (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Gabriel averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 511 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Head-to-head (last 6): Monza 0 · draws 3 · Lecce 3 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Monza 2W 1D 2L · Lecce 2W 0D 3L
Monza v Lecce (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Monza for / against | Line | Lecce for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Monza
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bakoune n 8 | 37.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| C. Ngonge n 8 | 46.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| L. Lucchesi n 8 | 69.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 47.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| A. Carboni n 8 | 83.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dany Mota n 8 | 49.4 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 47.5 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Y. Maye n 4 | 32.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| A. Colpani n 8 | 45.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Jay Robinson n 8 | 53.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Varela n 8 | 82.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Dany Mota n 8 | 49.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 47.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Ricardo Mangas n 8 | 77.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Jay Robinson n 8 | 53.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bakoune n 8 | 37.1 | 4.5 |
| M. Mout n 6 | 39.5 | 3.4 |
| E. Kouadio n 8 | 87.8 | 3.1 |
| Y. Maye n 4 | 32.8 | 2.7 |
| Jay Robinson n 8 | 53.4 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Törnqvist n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| S. Pizzignacco n 8 | 89.1 | 2 |
| D. Thiam n 8 | 91.1 | 1.5 |
Lecce
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 2.9 | 2.3 | — |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Pierotti n 8 | 65.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| O. Gandelman n 8 | 24.3 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Geubbels n 8 | 64.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| K. N’Dri n 8 | 49.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| M. Kaba n 8 | 40.4 | 2 | 1.7 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Paco Esteban n 5 | 31 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Berisha n 8 | 57.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| I. Ilić n 8 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| A. Ahmed Fatah n 8 | 43.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Olaf Gorter n 6 | 32.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kialonda Gaspar n 8 | 65.1 | 3.3 |
| Danilo Veiga n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 58.6 | 2.9 |
| J. Siebert n 8 | 71.5 | 2.7 |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 59.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Monza v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-13 Lecce 3–2 Monza
- 2025-02-16 Monza 0–0 Lecce
- 2024-12-15 Lecce 2–1 Monza
- 2024-04-27 Lecce 1–1 Monza
- 2023-09-17 Monza 1–1 Lecce
- 2023-05-28 Monza 0–1 Lecce
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Lecce?
- In their last 6 meetings, Monza won 0, Lecce won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Monza and Lecce?
- Recent form — Monza 2W 1D 2L; Lecce 2W 0D 3L.
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Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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