Napoli v Lecce prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Napoli v Lecce, Serie A on Sun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Napoli host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday 6 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Napoli are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Napoli have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Napoli have scored 10 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Napoli have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Lecce have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.22. Lecce have scored nine goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Napoli (ninth) and Lecce (11th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Napoli the stronger side, 122 rating points above Lecce (Napoli 1699, Lecce 1577, after at least 197 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Napoli 2–1 Lecce.

Team news

Predicted Napoli XI (3-4-2-1): A. Meret, A. Rrahmani, R. Marín, G. Di Lorenzo, S. Lobotka, K. De Bruyne, S. McTominay, B. Gilmour, A. Zambo Anguissa, A. Vergara, R. Højlund — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Amir Rrahmani (4.0 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) and Kevin De Bruyne (3.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Napoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Napoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Amir Rrahmani averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 810 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances. Kevin De Bruyne averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 1448 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, J. Siebert, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, K. N’Dri, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Gabriel (4.4 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (4.0 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiago Gabriel averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 511 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Napoli 5 · draws 1 · Lecce 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Napoli 2W 1D 2L · Lecce 2W 0D 3L

Napoli v Lecce (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 6.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNapoli for / againstLineLecce for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 17.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Napoli
Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Lucca n 823.6
3.87/1
0.51/0
—
Rafa Marín n 886.6
1.76/4
0.65/0
—
K. De Bruyne n 874.6
1.76/4
0.52/1
—
A. Vergara n 841.1
1.64/1
1.43/2
—
B. Badiashile n 867
1.54/2
0.32/0
—
Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alisson Santos n 856.8
2.87/3
1.44/2
K. De Bruyne n 874.6
2.47/6
1.24/3
S. McTominay n 874.4
2.46/4
0.94/1
N. Lang n 848.5
2.35/3
0.71/1
R. Højlund n 873.3
26/5
1.25/2
Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. De Bruyne n 874.6
0.62/2
0.21/0
A. Vergara n 841.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
R. Højlund n 873.3
0.53/0
00/0
Billy Gilmour n 870.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Favasuli n 857.4
00/0
0.42/0
Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Vergara n 841.1
5.26/5
C. Favasuli n 857.4
3.97/5
Rafa Marín n 886.6
2.28/6
M. Olivera n 855.1
2.25/4
B. Badiashile n 867
1.75/3
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Milinković-Savić n 884.4
3.66/5
A. Meret n 883.1
37/4
Lecce
Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Paco Esteban n 531
2.93/2
2.33/1
—
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.15/4
0.62/1
—
S. Pierotti n 865.9
1.97/3
0.21/0
—
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
1.93/3
0.21/0
—
O. Gandelman n 824.3
1.93/1
00/0
—
Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Geubbels n 864.3
3.27/5
1.66/2
K. N’Dri n 849.5
2.34/3
1.12/1
M. Kaba n 840.4
24/2
1.74/1
M. Berisha n 857.8
1.96/3
0.84/0
A. Ahmed Fatah n 843.9
1.85/2
13/1
Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Berisha n 857.8
0.21/0
0.41/1
I. Ilić n 844.4
00/0
0.51/1
A. Ahmed Fatah n 843.9
0.52/0
00/0
Olaf Gorter n 632.3
0.51/0
00/0
Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kialonda Gaspar n 865.1
3.36/6
Danilo Veiga n 890
38/6
O. Ngom n 858.6
2.97/4
J. Siebert n 871.5
2.77/6
Joël Monteiro n 859.4
2.77/4
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
4.47/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Napoli v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NapoliWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
LecceLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Napoli 5 · 1 draw · Lecce 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Napoli 2–1 Lecce
  • 2025-10-28 Lecce 0–1 Napoli
  • 2025-05-03 Lecce 0–1 Napoli
  • 2024-10-26 Napoli 1–0 Lecce
  • 2024-05-26 Napoli 0–0 Lecce
  • 2023-09-30 Lecce 0–4 Napoli
League standing · 2026/27
Napoli#9 pos10 pts7 pl+3 GD
Lecce#11 pos9 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Napoli scored1.43
Lecce scored1.29
Napoli conceded1
Lecce conceded1.71

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Lecce?
In their last 6 meetings, Napoli won 5, Lecce won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Napoli and Lecce?
Recent form — Napoli 2W 1D 2L; Lecce 2W 0D 3L.

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