RB Bragantino v Bahia result

Full-time · RB Bragantino 2–3 Bahia

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: RB Bragantino · Bahia · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

RB Bragantino 2–3 Bahia — Bahia won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bahia won 3–2 at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 5 September. Bahia are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — RB Bragantino: Lucas Barbosa (14’, assisted by Wallace Yan); Bahia: Luciano Juba (34’ pen), Alejo Véliz (38’, assisted by Rodrigo Nestor), an own goal by Santiago Ramos Mingo (45’) and Erick (50’, assisted by Rodrigo Nestor).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: RB Bragantino 1.65, Bahia 2.36, from 24 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — RB Bragantino: Fernando (43’); Bahia: Erick (51’) and Luciano Juba (62’).

What it changes

RB Bragantino move down from eighth to ninth (25 league matches played).

Bahia move up from fifth to fourth (26 league matches played).

RB Bragantino have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luciano Juba (Bahia) 9.2, Lucas Barbosa (RB Bragantino) 7.8 and Erick (Bahia) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, RB Bragantino or Bahia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

RB Bragantino next travel to Remo on 18 October 2026.

Bahia next host Flamengo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for RB Bragantino: Remo v RB Bragantino, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Bahia: Bahia v Flamengo, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: RB Bragantino 2–3 Bahia · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques · Bragança Paulista
  • Referee: Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): RB Bragantino 1 · draws 0 · Bahia 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L · Bahia 2W 3D 0L

RB Bragantino 2–3 Bahia (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.38 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRB Bragantino for / againstLineBahia for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
7.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
18 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil.

RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yuri n 49.8
4.62/0
4.62/0
—
Henry Mosquera n 840.9
2.87/2
0.82/1
—
Fabinho n 824.8
2.33/1
1.84/0
—
Fernando n 848.5
2.17/1
0.93/1
—
Isidro Pitta n 865.9
1.97/3
0.53/0
—
RB Bragantino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fernando n 848.5
3.56/5
1.65/2
Rodriguinho n 881.6
2.67/7
15/1
Yuri n 49.8
2.31/0
00/0
Isidro Pitta n 865.9
27/3
0.93/1
José Herrera n 863
26/3
0.74/0
RB Bragantino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fernando n 848.5
0.94/0
00/0
Marcelinho Braz n 842.6
00/0
0.52/0
Lucas Barbosa n 882.9
00/0
0.42/1
Eduardo Sasha n 850.9
0.42/0
00/0
Pedro Henrique n 889.3
0.32/0
00/0
RB Bragantino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yuri n 49.8
4.62/0
A. Sant'Anna n 888.9
2.87/6
Fabinho n 824.8
2.34/1
Juninho Capixaba n 891.8
2.17/6
Gabriel Girotto n 876.1
2.15/3
RB Bragantino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tiago Volpi n 891.8
3.46/5
Cleiton n 892.1
3.17/3
Bahia
Bahia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Michel Araújo n 820.3
3.35/1
1.72/1
—
Jean Lucas n 854.1
2.36/4
14/1
—
Caio Alexandre n 842
2.16/2
1.33/2
—
David Martins n 314
2.11/0
00/0
—
Ademir n 854.1
1.94/2
1.76/2
—
Bahia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ruan Pablo n 811.8
3.83/1
1.92/0
Rodrigo Nestor n 885.5
2.47/4
0.54/0
Michel Araújo n 820.3
2.24/0
1.12/0
Mateo Sanabria n 832.1
2.15/1
0.41/0
Erick Pulga n 877.5
1.94/4
0.93/2
Bahia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Michel Araújo n 820.3
00/0
0.61/0
Alejo Véliz n 875.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
Erick Pulga n 877.5
0.31/1
0.11/0
Jean Lucas n 854.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Everton Ribeiro n 851.3
00/0
0.42/0
Bahia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ruan Pablo n 811.8
2.92/1
Nicolás Acevedo n 891.6
2.58/6
Román Gómez n 886
2.58/7
Everton Ribeiro n 851.3
2.46/3
Ademir n 854.1
2.35/3
Bahia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ronaldo n 891.6
2.85/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RB BragantinoBahia
51%Possession49%
1.65Expected goals (xG)2.36
24Shots11
10Shots on target5
8Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box10
10Corners8
1Offsides0
11Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves9
390Passes378
84%Pass accuracy82%

RB Bragantino player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tiago Volpi9000000006.9
Juninho Capixaba9000002206.9
Gustavo Marques9000210206.7
Fernando90003111Y6.6
Fabinho9000001107
Alix Vinicius9000000306.5
Rodriguinho8900425206.3
Wallace Yan8201215206.9
Lucas Barbosa8210322207.9
José Andrés Hurtado8200003207.3
José Herrera6800321006.2
Henry Mosquera sub2200110007.2
Vinicinho sub800001006.6
Ryan Augusto sub800000006.9
Gustavo Neves sub800000006.7
Jhuan Nunes Coelho sub800001106.7

Bahia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ronaldo9000000008.9
Santiago Ramos Mingo9000000006
Cristian Olivera9000003006.2
Luciano Juba90101124Y7.7
Román Gómez9000100005.9
David Duarte9000000006.6
Alejo Véliz8210320007.9
Rodrigo Nestor7802103007.3
Nicolás Acevedo7800000106.9
Erick Pulga6800210006.9
Erick68102105Y7.3
Ademir sub2200000106.7
Jean Lucas sub2200000206.7
Caio Alexandre sub1200000106.9
Michel Araújo sub1200000006.3
Willian Jose sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind RB Bragantino v Bahia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RB BragantinoLDDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BahiaDDDWW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
RB Bragantino 1 · 0 draws · Bahia 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-18 Bahia 2–0 RB Bragantino
  • 2025-11-02 Bahia 2–1 RB Bragantino
  • 2025-06-12 RB Bragantino 0–3 Bahia
  • 2024-09-01 RB Bragantino 2–1 Bahia
  • 2024-05-12 Bahia 1–0 RB Bragantino
  • 2023-08-20 Bahia 4–0 RB Bragantino
League standing · 2026
RB Bragantino#10 pos40 pts30 pl+3 GD
Bahia#6 pos49 pts30 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
RB Bragantino scored1.27
Bahia scored1.47
RB Bragantino conceded1.17
Bahia conceded1.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for RB Bragantino v Bahia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for RB Bragantino v Bahia was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between RB Bragantino and Bahia?
In their last 6 meetings, RB Bragantino won 1, Bahia won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of RB Bragantino and Bahia?
Recent form — RB Bragantino 1W 2D 2L; Bahia 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →