Sassuolo v Lazio prediction
Team pages: Sassuolo · Lazio · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Sassuolo v Lazio, Serie A on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT.
The match
Sassuolo host Lazio in Serie A on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Sassuolo have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Lazio have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Sassuolo have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.13. Sassuolo have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sassuolo have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.
Eight of Lazio’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Lazio’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Lazio have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.71. Lazio have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lazio have conceded four goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Sassuolo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Lazio are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Sassuolo (13th) and Lazio (second) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lazio the stronger side, 334 rating points above Sassuolo (Lazio 1866, Sassuolo 1532, after at least 311 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo.
Team news
Sassuolo have five names on the availability list: D. Boloca (out, Muscle Bruise), E. Pieragnolo (out, Jumpers Knee), Fali Candé (out, Jumpers Knee), I. Koné (out, Broken Leg) and Y. Paz (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-21. Predicted Sassuolo XI (4-3-3): A. Murić, J. Doig, S. Cinquegrano, F. Leysen, D. Ćaleta-Car, N. Matić, D. Bakola, K. Thorstvedt, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie, S. Esposito — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darryl Bakola (5.4 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and Vasilije Adžić (4.5 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Sassuolo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sassuolo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darryl Bakola averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 577 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Vasilije Adžić averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Lazio have two names on the availability list: A. Furlanetto (out, Jumpers Knee) and Patric (out, Sprained Ankle) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-21. Predicted Lazio XI (4-3-3): C. Mandas, O. Provstgaard, R. Floriani Mussolini, N. Tavares, D. Doekhi, K. Taylor, D. Frattesi, R. Belahyane, M. Zaccagni, G. Isaksen, T. Noslin — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nuno Tavares (5.0 per match over seven appearances, one goal and three assists) and Mattia Zaccagni (4.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Lazio’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lazio (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nuno Tavares averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 517 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last nine appearances. Mattia Zaccagni averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 712 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sassuolo 1 · draws 1 · Lazio 4 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L · Lazio 4W 1D 0L
Sassuolo v Lazio (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sassuolo for / against | Line | Lazio for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.63 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.88 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Sassuolo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieron Bowie n 8 | 30.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | — |
| S. Cinquegrano n 7 | 78.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Ghion n 8 | 45.4 | 1.5 | 2.7 | — |
| S. Cinquegrano n 3 | 87.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | — |
| S. Esposito n 8 | 65.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kieron Bowie n 8 | 30.3 | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| A. Laurienté n 8 | 82.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| D. Berardi n 8 | 64.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| K. Thorstvedt n 8 | 46.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| B. Domínguez n 8 | 23.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilije Adžić n 8 | 53.8 | 1 | 0 |
| Kieron Bowie n 8 | 30.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| D. Bakola n 8 | 72.1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| B. Domínguez n 8 | 23.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| C. Volpato n 8 | 59.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Lipani n 8 | 32.3 | 4.2 |
| I. Van der Brempt n 8 | 48.4 | 4 |
| D. Bakola n 8 | 72.1 | 3.9 |
| Rafael Obrador n 8 | 52.5 | 2.1 |
| A. Ghion n 8 | 45.4 | 2 |
Lazio
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lazzari n 8 | 11.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | — |
| A. Pinamonti n 8 | 32.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | — |
| M. Cancellieri n 8 | 64.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| L. Pellegrini n 8 | 72.5 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Guðmundsson n 8 | 44.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Isaksen n 8 | 52.8 | 3 | 0.9 |
| M. Cancellieri n 8 | 64.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| A. Pinamonti n 8 | 32.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| M. Zaccagni n 8 | 89 | 2 | 1 |
| T. Noslin n 8 | 53.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Noslin n 8 | 53.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| A. Pinamonti n 8 | 32.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| B. Dia n 8 | 25.6 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Nuno Tavares n 8 | 63.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| F. Dele-Bashiru n 8 | 54.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Lazzari n 8 | 11.8 | 2.9 |
| R. Belahyane n 8 | 75.5 | 2.4 |
| M. Cancellieri n 8 | 64.3 | 2.3 |
| D. Frattesi n 8 | 65.8 | 2.2 |
| R. Floriani Mussolini n 8 | 78.5 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Mandas n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sassuolo v Lazio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-09 Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo
- 2025-09-14 Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio
- 2024-05-26 Lazio 1–1 Sassuolo
- 2023-10-21 Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio
- 2023-05-03 Lazio 2–0 Sassuolo
- 2023-01-15 Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sassuolo v Lazio?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sassuolo v Lazio is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Lazio?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sassuolo won 1, Lazio won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sassuolo and Lazio?
- Recent form — Sassuolo 1W 2D 2L; Lazio 4W 1D 0L.
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