Torino v Monza prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Torino v Monza, Serie A on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Torino host Monza in Serie A on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Torino or Monza (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Monza have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Torino’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Torino’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Torino have four wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.56 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33. Torino have scored seven goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Torino have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Monza have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 2.00. Monza have scored nine goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monza have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Torino (13th) and Monza (15th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Torino the stronger side, 245 rating points above Monza (Torino 1584, Monza 1339, after at least 120 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Torino 0–1 Monza.

Team news

Torino have two names on the availability list: F. Israel (out, Shoulder Injury) and P. Pellegri (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-19. Predicted Torino XI (3-4-2-1): L. Perri, S. Coco, P. Comuzzo, E. Cömert, K. Fitz-Jim, A. Cacciamani, R. Mandragora, G. Gineitis, D. Bragança, G. Oristanio, G. Simeone — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Rolando Mandragora (5.2 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Pietro Comuzzo (4.0 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Torino’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Torino (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rolando Mandragora averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Pietro Comuzzo averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 714 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Monza XI (3-4-2-1): D. Thiam, E. Kouadio, A. Carboni, L. Lucchesi, S. Birindelli, E. Akinsanmiro, R. Mangas, M. Folorunsho, M. Ondoa, M. Mout, G. Varela — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Varela (5.5 per match over seven appearances, seven goals) and Eddy Kouadio (4.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Monza’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monza (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo Varela averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 570 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances. Eddy Kouadio averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 772 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Olimpico di Torino
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Torino 2 · draws 3 · Monza 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Torino 2W 1D 2L · Monza 2W 1D 2L

Torino v Monza (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 6.13
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTorino for / againstLineMonza for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
10.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Torino
Torino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Kulenović n 821.9
3.65/2
0.51/0
—
G. Oristanio n 832.6
3.14/2
1.44/0
—
Z. Aboukhlal n 832.4
2.44/2
1.74/1
—
G. Gineitis n 869.4
1.86/2
2.47/5
—
C. Casadei n 862
1.87/2
0.95/0
—
Torino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kulenović n 821.9
2.63/2
1.52/1
G. Simeone n 875.1
2.56/5
0.63/1
Rolando Mandragora n 863
1.66/3
1.46/2
C. Adams n 851.9
1.35/1
0.94/0
C. Casadei n 862
1.13/3
0.73/1
Torino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Kulenović n 821.9
12/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 863
0.42/0
0.21/0
R. Belghali n 865.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Casadei n 862
0.42/0
00/0
C. Adams n 851.9
0.42/0
00/0
Torino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Fortini n 856.5
3.27/5
E. İlkhan n 840.9
36/2
P. Comuzzo n 879.8
2.77/6
Z. Aboukhlal n 832.4
2.45/1
N. Patterson n 849.4
2.36/3
Torino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Mascardi n 884.4
2.86/4
Lucas Perri n 893.8
2.65/5
Monza
Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bakoune n 845.3
2.74/3
0.72/1
—
C. Ngonge n 846.9
2.26/3
2.24/3
—
L. Lucchesi n 869.1
2.17/4
0.82/2
—
P. Cutrone n 855.6
26/3
1.84/3
—
E. Akinsanmiro n 868.8
1.65/2
1.16/1
—
Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Cutrone n 855.6
3.27/5
1.65/2
Y. Maye n 432.8
2.73/1
1.42/0
Dany Mota n 851
2.64/3
1.33/1
A. Colpani n 849.5
2.56/4
1.66/1
C. Ngonge n 846.9
2.26/2
13/1
Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gustavo Varela n 880.8
0.84/2
0.11/0
Ricardo Mangas n 875.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
P. Cutrone n 855.6
00/0
0.41/1
Dany Mota n 851
0.21/0
0.21/0
E. Zeballos n 846.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bakoune n 845.3
54/3
M. Mout n 639.5
3.44/3
E. Kouadio n 888.9
3.27/5
Jay Robinson n 844
3.17/3
Y. Maye n 432.8
2.72/1
Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Törnqvist n 890
36/4
S. Pizzignacco n 889.1
24/3
D. Thiam n 891.1
1.53/1

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Torino v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TorinoLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MonzaWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Torino 2 · 3 draws · Monza 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-01 Torino 0–1 Monza
  • 2025-03-02 Monza 0–2 Torino
  • 2024-11-24 Torino 1–1 Monza
  • 2024-03-30 Torino 1–0 Monza
  • 2023-11-11 Monza 1–1 Torino
  • 2023-05-07 Torino 1–1 Monza
League standing · 2026/27
Torino#13 pos7 pts6 pl-2 GD
Monza#15 pos4 pts6 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Torino scored1.17
Monza scored1.5
Torino conceded1.5
Monza conceded2.5

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Torino v Monza?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Torino v Monza is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Torino and Monza?
In their last 6 meetings, Torino won 2, Monza won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Torino and Monza?
Recent form — Torino 2W 1D 2L; Monza 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →