Udinese v Lecce prediction
Team pages: Udinese · Lecce · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Udinese vs Lecce, Serie A on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 11:30 BST.
The match
Udinese host Lecce in Serie A on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 11:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Udinese or Lecce (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Udinese have lost their last four matches.
Form and the table
Seven of Udinese’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Udinese’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Udinese have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 0.88. Udinese have scored nine goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Udinese have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.
Seven of Lecce’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Lecce’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Lecce have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.38. Lecce have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lecce have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.
Udinese (15th) and Lecce (13th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Udinese the stronger side, 121 rating points above Lecce (Udinese 1587, Lecce 1467, after at least 196 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Lecce 2–1 Udinese.
Team news
Predicted Udinese XI (3-4-2-1): M. Okoye, J. Abankwah, E. Ebosse, O. Solet, J. Karlström, H. Kamara, M. Vojvoda, L. Miller, G. Chakvetadze, J. Piotrowski, J. Ekkelenkamp — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (4.3 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) and O. Solet (4.1 per match over six appearances, one assist) have been Udinese’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Udinese (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 608 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances. O. Solet averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 488 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances.
Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, J. Siebert, D. Veiga, A. Gallo, K. Gaspar, L. Coulibaly, Y. Maleh, O. Ngom, S. Pierotti, N. Štulić, K. N’Dri — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lassana Coulibaly (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tiago Gabriel (4.2 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lassana Coulibaly averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 628 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Tiago Gabriel averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 421 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last six appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Udinese 4 · draws 1 · Lecce 1 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Udinese 1W 0D 4L · Lecce 1W 0D 4L
Udinese v Lecce (Serie A): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 13 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Udinese for / against | Line | Lecce for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.88 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Udinese
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lennon Miller n 8 | 56.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | — |
| J. Piotrowski n 8 | 52.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — |
| N. Zaniolo n 8 | 76.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | — |
| N. Bertola n 8 | 29.9 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| J. Abankwah n 8 | 73 | 1.8 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Gueye n 8 | 36 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 34.3 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| N. Zaniolo n 8 | 76.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| J. Ekkelenkamp n 8 | 87.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Bayo n 8 | 34.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| K. Davis n 8 | 60.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| J. Ekkelenkamp n 8 | 87.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| H. Kamara n 8 | 76.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| J. Abankwah n 8 | 73 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Solet n 8 | 83.5 | 2.4 |
| N. Bertola n 8 | 29.9 | 2.3 |
| J. Arizala n 8 | 26.8 | 2.1 |
| H. Kamara n 8 | 76.6 | 1.9 |
| M. Palma n 8 | 62.3 | 1.8 |
Lecce
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paco Esteban n 4 | 33.8 | 3.3 | 2 | — |
| M. Kaba n 8 | 45.5 | 2 | 3.2 | — |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 65.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | — |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 53 | 1.9 | 0.4 | — |
| O. Gandelman n 8 | 24.3 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Geubbels n 8 | 57 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| W. Cheddira n 8 | 63 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| K. N’Dri n 8 | 42.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 65.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| L. Banda n 8 | 67.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joël Monteiro n 8 | 65.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| W. Cheddira n 8 | 63 | 0.7 | 0 |
| L. Banda n 8 | 67.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| A. Ahmed Fatah n 8 | 46.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| I. Ilić n 8 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kialonda Gaspar n 8 | 65.1 | 3.3 |
| Y. Ramadani n 8 | 68.3 | 3 |
| Danilo Veiga n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| O. Ngom n 8 | 53 | 2.5 |
| K. N’Dri n 8 | 42.4 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Falcone n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Udinese v Lecce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-08 Lecce 2–1 Udinese
- 2025-10-25 Udinese 3–2 Lecce
- 2025-02-21 Lecce 0–1 Udinese
- 2024-10-05 Udinese 1–0 Lecce
- 2024-05-13 Lecce 0–2 Udinese
- 2023-10-23 Udinese 1–1 Lecce
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Udinese vs Lecce?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Udinese v Lecce is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Lecce?
- In their last 6 meetings, Udinese won 4, Lecce won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Udinese and Lecce?
- Recent form — Udinese 1W 0D 4L; Lecce 1W 0D 4L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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