Empoli v Vicenza Virtus prediction
Team pages: Empoli · Vicenza Virtus
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home offsides over 0.5 the free pick for Empoli v Vicenza Virtus, Serie B on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.
The match
Empoli host Vicenza Virtus in Serie B on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Empoli offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Empoli are winless in their last four matches.
Vicenza Virtus are winless in their last six matches. Vicenza Virtus have conceded 15 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Five of Empoli’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Empoli’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Empoli have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.33. Empoli have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Empoli have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.
Nine of Vicenza Virtus’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Vicenza Virtus’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Vicenza Virtus have two wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches — 0.89 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.78. Vicenza Virtus have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Empoli (13th) and Vicenza Virtus (17th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Empoli the stronger side, 151 rating points above Vicenza Virtus (Empoli 1441, Vicenza Virtus 1290, after at least 85 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Empoli are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Vicenza Virtus, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2021, finished Empoli 4–2 Vicenza.
Team news
Predicted Empoli XI (3-5-2): J. Seghetti, C. Cauz, M. Curto, L. Magnino, N. Corrado, G. Yepes, K. Zedadka, E. Biondini, E. Saporiti, S. Shpendi, B. Popov — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Saporiti (4.3 per match over eight appearances, three goals) and Gerard Yepes (3.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Empoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Empoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Saporiti averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 689 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Gerard Yepes averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 544 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Vicenza Virtus XI (3-5-2): R. Gagno, G. Cuomo, R. Marchizza, N. Brighenti, L. Zonta, G. Pellizzari, F. Costa, M. Carraro, M. Valoti, S. Merkaj, G. Moncini — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, T. Corazza (4.1 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) and R. Gagno (3.3 per match over seven appearances) have been Vicenza Virtus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Vicenza Virtus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Gagno averages 4.9 saves per 90 over 630 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie B · Stadio Carlo Castellani
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Empoli 2 · draws 1 · Vicenza Virtus 0 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Empoli 1W 1D 3L · Vicenza Virtus 0W 3D 2L
TACTIX runs Empoli v Vicenza Virtus (Serie B) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Empoli for / against | Line | Vicenza Virtus for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.29 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.13 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.14 for · 15.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.43 for · 7.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.75 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.14 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.43 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Empoli
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bandinelli n 8 | 46 | 4.2 | 2.9 | — |
| G. Indragoli n 3 | 49.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | — |
| E. Biondini n 7 | 60.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — |
| D. Degli Innocenti n 8 | 30.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 | — |
| L. Deli n 5 | 22.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 86.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| S. Shpendi n 8 | 51.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| B. Popov n 8 | 40.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| J. Ceesay n 8 | 66.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| F. Bandinelli n 8 | 46 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Popov n 8 | 40.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| E. Saporiti n 8 | 86.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| J. Ceesay n 8 | 66.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| M. Egan n 7 | 55.3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| S. Shpendi n 8 | 51.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Tosto n 3 | 49.3 | 4.3 |
| F. Bandinelli n 8 | 46 | 3.4 |
| Gerard Yepes n 8 | 78.1 | 3.3 |
| K. Zedadka n 8 | 49.1 | 3.2 |
| L. Deli n 5 | 22.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Seghetti n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
Vicenza Virtus
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pietrelli n 8 | 29.4 | 3.4 | 1.5 | — |
| N. Rauti n 8 | 40.6 | 2.5 | 3.6 | — |
| C. Morra n 7 | 43.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
| S. Merkaj n 8 | 85.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| M. Valoti n 8 | 53.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rauti n 8 | 40.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| G. Moncini n 8 | 55.9 | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Pietrelli n 8 | 29.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Filippo Alessio n 7 | 45.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rauti n 8 | 40.6 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| L. Caferri n 8 | 58.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| T. Corazza n 8 | 51 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| S. Merkaj n 8 | 85.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Valoti n 8 | 53.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Caferri n 8 | 58.9 | 2.9 |
| G. Cuomo n 8 | 81.4 | 2.8 |
| A. Pietrelli n 8 | 29.4 | 1.9 |
| G. Pellizzari n 7 | 68.1 | 1.5 |
| M. Valoti n 8 | 53.6 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Gagno n 8 | 90 | 4.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Empoli v Vicenza Virtus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2021-08-15 Empoli 4–2 Vicenza
- 2021-03-13 Vicenza Virtus 0–2 Empoli
- 2020-11-28 Empoli 2–2 Vicenza Virtus
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Empoli v Vicenza Virtus?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Empoli v Vicenza Virtus is Home offsides over 0.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Empoli and Vicenza Virtus?
- In their last 3 meetings, Empoli won 2, Vicenza Virtus won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Empoli and Vicenza Virtus?
- Recent form — Empoli 1W 1D 3L; Vicenza Virtus 0W 3D 2L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.