Modena v Catanzaro prediction
Team pages: Modena · Catanzaro · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Modena v Catanzaro, Serie B on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Modena host Catanzaro in Serie B on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 14:00 UK).
Form and the table
Nine of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Modena’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Modena have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33. Modena have scored 12 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Modena have conceded eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
10 of Catanzaro’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Catanzaro’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Catanzaro have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.00. Catanzaro have scored eight goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Catanzaro have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Catanzaro are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Modena (fourth) and Catanzaro (20th) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Modena the stronger side, 131 rating points above Catanzaro (Modena 1545, Catanzaro 1414, after at least 132 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Catanzaro 2–2 Modena.
Team news
Predicted Modena XI (3-5-2): L. Chichizola, D. Tonoli, S. Nador, B. Nieling, G. Brugman, A. Bianco, S. Santoro, P. Azzi, F. Zampano, G. Ambrosino, G. Caso — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, G. Ambrosino (4.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and two assists) and G. Caso (4.0 per match over eight appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Modena’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Modena (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Ambrosino averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 693 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. G. Caso averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 643 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Catanzaro XI (3-4-2-1): M. Pigliacelli, M. Antonini, M. Ruggero, M. Imperiale, J. Petriccione, N. Mosti, G. Alesi, M. Dorval, A. Candela, S. Giovane, P. Iemmello — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Pafundi (3.8 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) and M. Pigliacelli (3.6 per match over eight appearances) have been Catanzaro’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Catanzaro (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Pafundi averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 356 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances. M. Pigliacelli averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 720 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie B · Stadio Alberto Braglia
- Head-to-head (last 6): Modena 2 · draws 2 · Catanzaro 2 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Modena 2W 1D 2L · Catanzaro 1W 1D 3L
Modena v Catanzaro (Serie B): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Modena for / against | Line | Catanzaro for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.88 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 19.25 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Modena
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Montevago n 8 | 18.5 | 4.9 | 2.4 | — |
| A. Bianco n 8 | 75.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | — |
| G. Olzer n 8 | 68.5 | 1.8 | 2 | — |
| Stênio n 8 | 37.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| F. Folino n 8 | 23.1 | 1.5 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Montevago n 8 | 18.5 | 4.9 | 2.4 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 86.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| A. Belotti n 8 | 21 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| G. Caso n 8 | 80.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| G. Olzer n 8 | 68.5 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Belotti n 8 | 21 | 1.6 | 0 |
| G. Ambrosino n 8 | 86.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| G. Caso n 8 | 80.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| D. Montevago n 8 | 18.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| G. Olzer n 8 | 68.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Acquah n 4 | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| Bryant Nieling n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| Antonio Imputato n 8 | 40.9 | 1.9 |
| S. Nador n 8 | 85.3 | 1.8 |
| A. Bianco n 8 | 75.6 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Chichizola n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Catanzaro
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Arditi n 4 | 12 | 9.4 | 3.8 | — |
| E. Pecorino n 8 | 50.3 | 2.9 | 2.2 | — |
| Franck Tchaouna n 4 | 23.3 | 2.9 | 1 | — |
| R. Frosinini n 8 | 22.9 | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Candela n 8 | 60.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Pecorino n 8 | 50.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| N. Buso n 8 | 26.5 | 3 | 1.7 |
| S. Pafundi n 8 | 54.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| P. Iemmello n 8 | 81.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| N. Koffi n 8 | 58.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. D'Alessandro n 8 | 35.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| R. Frosinini n 8 | 22.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| P. Iemmello n 8 | 81.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| A. Candela n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| B. Verrengia n 8 | 60.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Tchaouna n 5 | 33.2 | 4.3 |
| Franck Tchaouna n 4 | 23.3 | 3.9 |
| E. Bashi n 8 | 16.1 | 3.5 |
| R. Frosinini n 8 | 22.9 | 3 |
| N. Mosti n 8 | 71 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Pigliacelli n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Modena v Catanzaro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-14 Catanzaro 2–2 Modena
- 2025-12-08 Modena 1–2 Catanzaro
- 2025-03-29 Modena 2–1 Catanzaro
- 2024-10-06 Catanzaro 2–2 Modena
- 2024-04-12 Modena 1–3 Catanzaro
- 2023-11-04 Catanzaro 1–2 Modena
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Modena and Catanzaro?
- In their last 6 meetings, Modena won 2, Catanzaro won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Modena and Catanzaro?
- Recent form — Modena 2W 1D 2L; Catanzaro 1W 1D 3L.
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