Sudtirol v Sampdoria prediction

Serie B · · Stadio Marco Druso

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Sudtirol v Sampdoria, Serie B on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.40 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sudtirol host Sampdoria in Serie B on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Sudtirol or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Five of Sudtirol’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Sudtirol’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Sudtirol have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.71. Sudtirol have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sudtirol have conceded six goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Sampdoria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Sampdoria’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Sampdoria have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.75. Sampdoria have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sampdoria have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sudtirol (fifth) and Sampdoria (19th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sudtirol the stronger side, 164 rating points above Sampdoria (Sudtirol 1490, Sampdoria 1327, after at least 124 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol.

Team news

Predicted Sudtirol XI (5-4-1): A. Plizzari, A. Giorgini, R. Stivanello, G. Stabile, S. Molina, D. Veroli, S. Tronchin, F. Rispoli, A. Vasic, V. Lopes, A. Okoro — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Plizzari (3.4 per match over nine appearances) and Fabio Rispoli (3.4 per match over seven appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Sudtirol’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sudtirol (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Plizzari averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 810 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last nine appearances. Fabio Rispoli averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 546 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Sampdoria XI (4-3-3): P. Vindahl, M. Cicconi, A. Di Pardo, S. Gartenmann, F. Delli Carri, L. Henderson, A. Makoumbou, Y. Verschaeren, G. Tutino, D. Sinani, T. Lauritsen — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Insigne (3.7 per match over five appearances, three goals) and Y. Verschaeren (3.3 per match over seven appearances, two assists) have been Sampdoria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sampdoria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Insigne averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 312 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last five appearances. Y. Verschaeren averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 460 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie B · Stadio Marco Druso
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sudtirol 4 · draws 0 · Sampdoria 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sudtirol 1W 2D 2L · Sampdoria 1W 0D 4L

Sudtirol v Sampdoria (Serie B): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 6
Corners
against 6.88 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSudtirol for / againstLineSampdoria for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
9.25 for · 17.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.75 against n 8
Sudtirol
Sudtirol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Burnete n 835.1
3.27/3
1.94/2
—
A. Okoro n 854.3
2.98/4
1.75/3
—
A. Vasic n 860.8
2.67/5
2.68/4
—
Vasco Lopes n 866.3
2.56/5
2.98/5
—
S. Merkaj n 885.3
2.17/5
1.57/2
—
Sudtirol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Mixtur n 835
2.96/3
1.64/1
Vasco Lopes n 866.3
27/4
0.74/0
A. Vasic n 860.8
1.75/3
0.21/0
R. Burnete n 835.1
1.65/0
0.62/0
S. Merkaj n 885.3
1.36/3
0.53/1
Sudtirol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Mixtur n 835
13/0
00/0
Kevin Zeroli n 839.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Fabio Rispoli n 870
0.21/0
0.32/0
S. Merkaj n 885.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Vasco Lopes n 866.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sudtirol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Burnete n 835.1
3.24/2
D. Brik n 720.3
3.22/1
S. Tronchin n 890
2.18/5
S. Davì n 847.9
2.14/1
F. Tait n 844.1
25/2
Sudtirol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Plizzari n 890
3.88/5
Sampdoria
Sampdoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Henderson n 880.1
2.48/6
0.74/1
—
O. Abildgaard n 870.5
2.47/5
1.96/4
—
A. Ferrari n 838.8
1.74/2
2.35/3
—
F. Depaoli n 835
1.64/1
1.94/2
—
S. Gartenmann n 890
1.56/3
15/1
—
Sampdoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Insigne n 872.8
2.57/4
1.47/2
G. Tutino n 852.6
2.47/3
1.15/0
L. Henderson n 880.1
2.24/4
14/1
Y. Verschaeren n 861.9
25/2
0.74/0
O. Abildgaard n 870.5
1.94/3
0.32/0
Sampdoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Insigne n 872.8
0.64/0
00/0
T. Lauritsen n 864.3
00/0
0.53/0
Y. Verschaeren n 861.9
00/0
0.53/0
T. Begić n 845.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Henderson n 880.1
0.32/0
00/0
Sampdoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Ferrari n 838.8
2.65/3
B. Meijer n 823.3
2.43/2
L. Ravanelli n 871.1
2.16/3
M. Viti n 889.4
1.97/4
F. Depaoli n 835
1.92/2
Sampdoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Vindahl n 890
1.94/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sudtirol v Sampdoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SudtirolDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
SampdoriaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sudtirol 4 · 0 draws · Sampdoria 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-01 Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol
  • 2025-08-31 Sudtirol 3–1 Sampdoria
  • 2025-02-15 Sudtirol 2–1 Sampdoria
  • 2024-09-21 Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol
  • 2024-04-13 Sampdoria 0–1 Sudtirol
  • 2023-10-28 Sudtirol 3–1 Sampdoria
League standing · 2026/27
Sudtirol#5 pos12 pts7 pl+3 GD
Sampdoria#19 pos4 pts6 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Sudtirol scored1.29
Sampdoria scored1
Sudtirol conceded0.86
Sampdoria conceded2.17

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Sudtirol v Sampdoria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sudtirol v Sampdoria is Home or Draw (best price 1.40 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Sudtirol and Sampdoria?
In their last 6 meetings, Sudtirol won 4, Sampdoria won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sudtirol and Sampdoria?
Recent form — Sudtirol 1W 2D 2L; Sampdoria 1W 0D 4L.

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