Bundesliga Stats 2026/27

In the 2026/27 Bundesliga, Over 2.5 goals has landed in 46 of 64 league matches (71.9%) — last season 196 of 308.

As of 31 October 2026: Bundesliga statistics from the matches TACTIX holds — the scorers, expected goals, when the goals come, the referees, the current runs and the season outlook. Each figure names the matches it is counted over.

How often it happens

Home sides have won 51.6% of the 64 league matches in the Bundesliga this season, against 43.8% of 308 last season.

In the match	2026/27 (64 matches)	2025/26 (308 matches)
Home win	33 (51.6%)	135 (43.8%)
Draw	13 (20.3%)	76 (24.7%)
Away win	18 (28.1%)	97 (31.5%)
Over 1.5 goals	51 (79.7%)	257 (83.4%)
Over 2.5 goals	46 (71.9%)	196 (63.6%)
Over 3.5 goals	35 (54.7%)	131 (42.5%)
Both teams scored	37 (57.8%)	190 (61.7%)

Finished Bundesliga league matches only: 64 this season, 308 in 2025/26. Cup matches and friendlies never count. Over 2.5 goals means three goals or more in the match.

Goal-market rates by club

The Pro table has BTTS, Over 2.5 and clean-sheet rates for all 18 clubs, from 64 league matches (updated 30 October 2026).

Open the Pro goal-market table

Top scorers

N. Füllkrug leads the scoring in the Bundesliga with eight goals in seven appearances, two clear of M. Olise. Of the top five, five have scored more non-penalty goals than their non-penalty xG says the chances were worth (five with shot data).

#	Player	Club	Goals	Apps	npxG	np goals − npxG
1	N. Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	8	7	3.22	+1.78
2	M. Olise	Bayern München	6	7	3.98	+2.02
3	P. Schick	Bayer Leverkusen	6	7	4.94	+1.06
4	Y. Ebnoutalib	Eintracht Frankfurt	5	7	4.27	+0.73
5	P. Tietz	FSV Mainz 05	5	7	4.57	+0.43
6	C. Nkunku	RB Leipzig	4	6	2.97	+1.03
7	L. Díaz	Bayern München	4	6	3.42	+0.58
8	Y. Suzuki	SC Freiburg	4	6	2.65	+1.35
9	H. Kane	Bayern München	4	7	5.20	−2.20
10	M. Gregoritsch	FC Augsburg	4	7	3.40	−0.40

The 2026/27 season, the same table as the Bundesliga top scorers (data to Invalid Date). Non-penalty xG from shot data to 31 October over 64 matches; – where a player has none.

Expected goals for and against

Bayern München have the best expected-goal difference a match in the Bundesliga (3.79 for, 0.94 against, over seven matches). Set pieces give the league 24% of its non-penalty xG; Union Berlin lean on them most (55.7% of theirs).

Club	Matches	xG for a match	xG against a match	Set-piece share of npxG
Bayern München	7	3.79	0.94	17.8%
Borussia Dortmund	7	2.00	0.98	20.3%
FSV Mainz 05	8	2.40	1.64	22.8%
RB Leipzig	7	2.58	1.84	29.7%
Bayer Leverkusen	7	2.18	1.45	21.1%
1899 Hoffenheim	7	2.16	1.59	12.1%
SC Freiburg	7	1.77	1.35	34.7%
1. FC Köln	7	1.82	1.66	23%
Werder Bremen	7	1.70	1.75	31%
FC Augsburg	7	2.35	2.72	21.5%
VfB Stuttgart	7	2.20	2.64	21.6%
Eintracht Frankfurt	7	1.86	2.45	18.9%
SC Paderborn 07	7	1.13	1.90	17.6%
SV Elversberg	8	1.71	2.57	18.4%
Hamburger SV	7	1.10	2.03	38.6%
FC Schalke 04	7	1.12	2.11	25%
Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	1.72	2.78	26.7%
Union Berlin	7	1.14	2.31	55.7%

Shot data to 31 October over 64 matches this season. Expected goals include penalties; the set-piece share is of non-penalty xG.

When the goals come

Across the 63 matches in the Bundesliga whose goals we can place to the minute, 29.3% of the 222 goals came after the 75th minute, against 13.1% in the first quarter of an hour.

Minutes	Goals	Share
1-15	29	13.1%
16-30	31	14%
31-45	25	11.3%
45+	1	0.5%
46-60	38	17.1%
61-75	33	14.9%
76-90	61	27.5%
90+	4	1.8%

222 goals in the 63 matches this season whose goal events match the score; 45+ and 90+ are stoppage time.

Cards and referees

Sören Storks showed the most cards a match in the Bundesliga in 2025/26 (5.90 over 10 matches; league average 4.09 over 297 matches).

Referee	Matches	Cards a match
Sören Storks	10	5.90
Tobias Welz	14	5.07
Felix Zwayer	18	5.00
Daniel Schlager	13	4.92
Harm Osmers	13	4.77

The 2025/26 season: matches with a complete card record only; a referee is listed from 10 of them. Every referee.

Current runs

Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 12 in the Bundesliga (to 25 October).
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last nine in the Bundesliga (to 24 October).
Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last six in the Bundesliga (to 24 October).
FC Augsburg are without a win in their last five in the Bundesliga (to 24 October).
FC Schalke 04 are without a win in their last four in the Bundesliga (to 24 October).
Union Berlin are unbeaten in their last three in the Bundesliga (to 24 October).

Finished league matches only (friendlies, youth and reserve matches never count), read back from each club’s latest; runs of three or more, of the 18 clubs this season.

The season outlook

As of 30 October 2026, the TACTIX simulation (10,000 runs of the rest of the season) gives Bayern München a 89% chance of the title, ahead of Borussia Dortmund (10%). The full predicted table.

Title	Chance
Bayern München	89%
Borussia Dortmund	10%
Bayer Leverkusen	<1%

Top 4	Chance
Bayern München	>99%
Borussia Dortmund	97%
Bayer Leverkusen	61%
RB Leipzig	60%
SC Freiburg	25%

Relegation	Chance
FC Schalke 04	69%
Union Berlin	51%
Borussia Mönchengladbach	37%

Probabilities from 10,000 simulations of the remaining fixtures; a probability, not a certainty.

More Bundesliga statistics

Bundesliga xG table · Bundesliga power rankings · Bundesliga supercomputer predicted table

Fixtures, free picks and the table: Bundesliga predictions. How the model is built: the methodology.