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Eredivisie Stats 2026/27
In the 2026/27 Eredivisie, Over 2.5 goals has landed in 66 of 90 league matches (73.3%) — last season 192 of 314.
As of 31 October 2026: Eredivisie statistics from the matches TACTIX holds — the scorers, expected goals, when the goals come, the referees, the current runs and the season outlook. Each figure names the matches it is counted over.
How often it happens
Home sides have won 31.1% of the 90 league matches in the Eredivisie this season, against 44.3% of 314 last season.
| In the match | 2026/27 (90 matches) | 2025/26 (314 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Home win | 28 (31.1%) | 139 (44.3%) |
| Draw | 26 (28.9%) | 83 (26.4%) |
| Away win | 36 (40%) | 92 (29.3%) |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82 (91.1%) | 271 (86.3%) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66 (73.3%) | 192 (61.1%) |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55 (61.1%) | 118 (37.6%) |
| Both teams scored | 65 (72.2%) | 196 (62.4%) |
Finished Eredivisie league matches only: 90 this season, 314 in 2025/26. Cup matches and friendlies never count. Over 2.5 goals means three goals or more in the match.
Goal-market rates by club
The Pro table has BTTS, Over 2.5 and clean-sheet rates for all 18 clubs, from 90 league matches (updated 25 October 2026).
Top scorers
S. Tengstedt leads the scoring in the Eredivisie with eight goals in 10 appearances, level with B. Willumsson.
| # | Player | Club | Goals | Apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Tengstedt | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | B. Willumsson | Groningen | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | J. Brandt | Ajax | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | J. Trenskow | Heerenveen | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | M. Zonneveld | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | G. Til | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Nacho Ferri | Feyenoord | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | A. Hadj-Moussa | Feyenoord | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | T. van Bergen | Groningen | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | G. Zechiël | Feyenoord | 5 | 10 |
The 2026/27 season, the same table as the Eredivisie top scorers (data to Invalid Date). No shot data for this competition, so no expected goals here.
Expected goals for and against
Feyenoord have the best expected-goal difference a match in the Eredivisie (2.67 for, 0.96 against, over 10 matches).
Expected goals from the match statistics feed (no shot-level data for this competition, so no set-piece split and no player xG).
| Club | Matches | xG for a match | xG against a match |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 10 | 2.67 | 0.96 |
| Twente | 10 | 2.03 | 0.84 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 2.52 | 1.37 |
| Ajax | 10 | 2.43 | 1.29 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 2.12 | 1.23 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 1.80 | 1.62 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 10 | 1.71 | 1.72 |
| Heerenveen | 10 | 1.51 | 1.54 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| Excelsior | 10 | 1.29 | 1.59 |
| Groningen | 10 | 1.70 | 2.01 |
| Utrecht | 10 | 1.41 | 1.77 |
| Cambuur | 10 | 1.36 | 1.84 |
| ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1.18 | 1.96 |
| Telstar | 10 | 1.27 | 2.07 |
| PEC Zwolle | 10 | 1.03 | 1.87 |
| Willem II | 10 | 1.23 | 2.28 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 10 | 0.89 | 2.10 |
90 of the 90 finished league matches this season carry the feed's expected goals for both sides (100%); a club's figures are over those matches.
When the goals come
Across the 90 matches in the Eredivisie whose goals we can place to the minute, 21.9% of the 342 goals came after the 75th minute, against 11.7% in the first quarter of an hour.
| Minutes | Goals | Share |
|---|---|---|
| 1-15 | 40 | 11.7% |
| 16-30 | 53 | 15.5% |
| 31-45 | 53 | 15.5% |
| 45+ | 1 | 0.3% |
| 46-60 | 56 | 16.4% |
| 61-75 | 64 | 18.7% |
| 76-90 | 72 | 21.1% |
| 90+ | 3 | 0.9% |
342 goals in the 90 matches this season whose goal events match the score; 45+ and 90+ are stoppage time.
Cards and referees
No referee has 10 matches with a complete card record in the Eredivisie this season yet; the league average is 3.56 cards a match over 291 matches.
The 2025/26 season: matches with a complete card record only; a referee is listed from 10 of them. Every referee.
Current runs
- Feyenoord are unbeaten in at least their last 12 in the Eredivisie (to 25 October).
- Telstar are without a win in their last nine in the Eredivisie (to 23 October).
- NEC Nijmegen are without a win in their last seven in the Eredivisie (to 25 October).
- Sparta Rotterdam are without a win in their last seven in the Eredivisie (to 25 October).
- Excelsior are without a win in their last six in the Eredivisie (to 25 October).
- Ajax are unbeaten in their last five in the Eredivisie (to 25 October).
Finished league matches only (friendlies, youth and reserve matches never count), read back from each club’s latest; runs of three or more, of the 18 clubs this season.
The season outlook
As of 30 October 2026, the TACTIX simulation (10,000 runs of the rest of the season) gives PSV Eindhoven a 53% chance of the title, ahead of Feyenoord (25%). The full predicted table.
| Title | Chance |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 53% |
| Feyenoord | 25% |
| Ajax | 14% |
| Top 2 | Chance |
|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 79% |
| Feyenoord | 53% |
| Ajax | 38% |
| Twente | 25% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 3% |
| Relegation | Chance |
|---|---|
| Willem II | 98% |
| PEC Zwolle | 58% |
| ADO Den Haag | 54% |
Probabilities from 10,000 simulations of the remaining fixtures; a probability, not a certainty.
More Eredivisie statistics
Fixtures, free picks and the table: Eredivisie predictions. How the model is built: the methodology.