Ligue 1 Stats 2026/27
In Ligue 1 2026/27, Over 2.5 goals has landed in 46 of 75 league matches (61.3%) — last season 163 of 309.
As of 31 October 2026: Ligue 1 statistics from the matches TACTIX holds — the scorers, expected goals, when the goals come, the referees, the current runs and the season outlook. Each figure names the matches it is counted over.
How often it happens
Home sides have won 45.3% of the 75 league matches in Ligue 1 this season, against 46% of 309 last season.
| In the match | 2026/27 (75 matches) | 2025/26 (309 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Home win | 34 (45.3%) | 142 (46%) |
| Draw | 19 (25.3%) | 76 (24.6%) |
| Away win | 22 (29.3%) | 91 (29.4%) |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59 (78.7%) | 224 (72.5%) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46 (61.3%) | 163 (52.8%) |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27 (36%) | 102 (33%) |
| Both teams scored | 47 (62.7%) | 157 (50.8%) |
Finished Ligue 1 league matches only: 75 this season, 309 in 2025/26. Cup matches and friendlies never count. Over 2.5 goals means three goals or more in the match.
Goal-market rates by club
The Pro table has BTTS, Over 2.5 and clean-sheet rates for all 18 clubs, from 75 league matches (updated 30 October 2026).
Top scorers
E. Lepaul leads the scoring in Ligue 1 with seven goals in seven appearances, one clear of L. Sinayoko. Of the top five, two have scored more non-penalty goals than their non-penalty xG says the chances were worth (five with shot data).
| # | Player | Club | Goals | Apps | npxG | np goals − npxG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Lepaul | Rennes | 7 | 7 | 2.86 | −0.86 |
| 2 | L. Sinayoko | Paris FC | 6 | 8 | 3.12 | −0.12 |
| 3 | C. Archer | Auxerre | 5 | 6 | 3.35 | +1.65 |
| 4 | A. Gouiri | Marseille | 5 | 8 | 2.58 | +1.42 |
| 5 | C. Tengstedt | Toulouse | 5 | 6 | 3.78 | −0.78 |
| 6 | Ferran Torres | Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 8 | 2.35 | −0.35 |
| 7 | Paris Josua Brunner | Monaco | 4 | 6 | – | – |
| 8 | K. Doumbia | Stade Brestois 29 | 4 | 8 | 3.96 | −0.96 |
| 9 | L. Mafouta | Le Mans | 4 | 8 | 5.46 | −2.46 |
| 10 | F. Thauvin | Lens | 4 | 8 | 1.84 | −0.84 |
The 2026/27 season, the same table as the Ligue 1 top scorers (data to Invalid Date). Non-penalty xG from shot data to 31 October over 75 matches; – where a player has none.
Expected goals for and against
Paris Saint-Germain have the best expected-goal difference a match in Ligue 1 (2.42 for, 1.28 against, over nine matches). Set pieces give the league 19.6% of its non-penalty xG; Stade Brestois 29 lean on them most (40.3% of theirs).
| Club | Matches | xG for a match | xG against a match | Set-piece share of npxG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 9 | 2.42 | 1.28 | 22% |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 40.3% |
| Paris FC | 8 | 1.77 | 0.94 | 10.6% |
| Toulouse | 8 | 1.84 | 1.38 | 20.9% |
| Lyon | 8 | 1.68 | 1.22 | 15.3% |
| Lens | 9 | 1.87 | 1.63 | 13.6% |
| Lorient | 8 | 1.17 | 0.99 | 21.7% |
| Rennes | 9 | 2.24 | 2.12 | 14.7% |
| Lille | 9 | 1.53 | 1.43 | 19.3% |
| Monaco | 8 | 1.26 | 1.32 | 15.7% |
| Marseille | 8 | 1.89 | 2.26 | 24.8% |
| Nice | 9 | 1.43 | 1.90 | 14.9% |
| Le Havre | 9 | 1.50 | 2.09 | 18.4% |
| Angers | 8 | 1.47 | 2.06 | 27.4% |
| Auxerre | 8 | 1.40 | 2.01 | 10.5% |
| Le Mans | 8 | 1.65 | 2.28 | 18.1% |
| Estac Troyes | 8 | 1.16 | 1.82 | 25.6% |
| Strasbourg | 8 | 1.19 | 1.95 | 11.6% |
Shot data to 31 October over 75 matches this season. Expected goals include penalties; the set-piece share is of non-penalty xG.
When the goals come
Across the 73 matches in Ligue 1 whose goals we can place to the minute, 22.5% of the 218 goals came after the 75th minute, against 11.9% in the first quarter of an hour.
| Minutes | Goals | Share |
|---|---|---|
| 1-15 | 26 | 11.9% |
| 16-30 | 24 | 11% |
| 31-45 | 37 | 17% |
| 45+ | 2 | 0.9% |
| 46-60 | 43 | 19.7% |
| 61-75 | 37 | 17% |
| 76-90 | 46 | 21.1% |
| 90+ | 3 | 1.4% |
218 goals in the 73 matches this season whose goal events match the score; 45+ and 90+ are stoppage time.
Cards and referees
No referee has 10 matches with a complete card record in Ligue 1 this season yet; the league average is 4.08 cards a match over 298 matches.
The 2025/26 season: matches with a complete card record only; a referee is listed from 10 of them. Every referee.
Current runs
- Le Havre are without a win in their last nine in Ligue 1 (to 30 October).
- Estac Troyes are without a win in their last six in Ligue 1 (to 25 October).
- Paris Saint Germain have won their last six in Ligue 1 (to 30 October).
- Strasbourg are without a win in their last five in Ligue 1 (to 25 October).
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their last five in Ligue 1 (to 25 October).
- Lille are unbeaten in their last four in Ligue 1 (to 30 October).
Finished league matches only (friendlies, youth and reserve matches never count), read back from each club’s latest; runs of three or more, of the 18 clubs this season.
The season outlook
As of 30 October 2026, the TACTIX simulation (10,000 runs of the rest of the season) gives Paris Saint Germain a 74% chance of the title, ahead of Lens (11%). The full predicted table.
| Title | Chance |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 74% |
| Lens | 11% |
| Lyon | 5% |
| Top 3 | Chance |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 95% |
| Lens | 56% |
| Rennes | 37% |
| Lyon | 37% |
| Lille | 26% |
| Relegation | Chance |
|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 94% |
| Le Havre | 66% |
| Le Mans | 49% |
Probabilities from 10,000 simulations of the remaining fixtures; a probability, not a certainty.
More Ligue 1 statistics
Ligue 1 xG table · Ligue 1 power rankings · Ligue 1 supercomputer predicted table
Fixtures, free picks and the table: Ligue 1 predictions. How the model is built: the methodology.