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Primeira Liga Stats 2026/27
In the 2026/27 Primeira Liga, Over 2.5 goals has landed in 45 of 82 league matches (54.9%) — last season 165 of 308.
As of 31 October 2026: Primeira Liga statistics from the matches TACTIX holds — the scorers, expected goals, when the goals come, the referees, the current runs and the season outlook. Each figure names the matches it is counted over.
How often it happens
Home sides have won 36.6% of the 82 league matches in the Primeira Liga this season, against 41.2% of 308 last season.
| In the match | 2026/27 (82 matches) | 2025/26 (308 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Home win | 30 (36.6%) | 127 (41.2%) |
| Draw | 18 (22%) | 84 (27.3%) |
| Away win | 34 (41.5%) | 97 (31.5%) |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61 (74.4%) | 230 (74.7%) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45 (54.9%) | 165 (53.6%) |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29 (35.4%) | 93 (30.2%) |
| Both teams scored | 40 (48.8%) | 147 (47.7%) |
Finished Primeira Liga league matches only: 82 this season, 308 in 2025/26. Cup matches and friendlies never count. Over 2.5 goals means three goals or more in the match.
Goal-market rates by club
The Pro table has BTTS, Over 2.5 and clean-sheet rates for all 18 clubs, from 82 league matches (updated 30 October 2026).
Top scorers
V. Pavlidis leads the scoring in the Primeira Liga with nine goals in nine appearances, one clear of L. Suárez.
| # | Player | Club | Goals | Apps |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | V. Pavlidis | Benfica | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | L. Suárez | Sporting CP | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | G. Prestianni | Benfica | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Barbero | Arouca | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Gonçalo Paciência | Santa Clara | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | G. Koutsias | Famalicao | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Pau Victor | SC Braga | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | A. Marcus | Estrela | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | L. Antonetti | Estrela | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Borja Sainz | FC Porto | 4 | 9 |
The 2026/27 season, the same table as the Primeira Liga top scorers (data to Invalid Date). No shot data for this competition, so no expected goals here.
Expected goals for and against
Benfica have the best expected-goal difference a match in the Primeira Liga (2.29 for, 0.74 against, over nine matches).
Expected goals from the match statistics feed (no shot-level data for this competition, so no set-piece split and no player xG).
| Club | Matches | xG for a match | xG against a match |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 9 | 2.29 | 0.74 |
| FC Porto | 9 | 2.11 | 0.83 |
| Sporting CP | 10 | 1.98 | 0.83 |
| Vitória SC | 9 | 1.66 | 0.98 |
| Santa Clara | 9 | 1.33 | 0.79 |
| SC Braga | 9 | 1.28 | 0.79 |
| GIL Vicente | 9 | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| Arouca | 9 | 1.29 | 1.27 |
| Estrela | 9 | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Alverca | 9 | 1.47 | 1.63 |
| Famalicao | 9 | 1.01 | 1.37 |
| Estoril | 9 | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Academico Viseu | 9 | 1.18 | 1.70 |
| Maritimo | 9 | 0.81 | 1.47 |
| Nacional | 9 | 1.08 | 1.86 |
| Moreirense | 9 | 0.80 | 1.69 |
| Casa Pia | 10 | 0.79 | 1.72 |
| Rio Ave | 9 | 0.69 | 1.79 |
82 of the 82 finished league matches this season carry the feed's expected goals for both sides (100%); a club's figures are over those matches.
When the goals come
Across the 81 matches in the Primeira Liga whose goals we can place to the minute, 21.1% of the 223 goals came after the 75th minute, against 14.8% in the first quarter of an hour.
| Minutes | Goals | Share |
|---|---|---|
| 1-15 | 33 | 14.8% |
| 16-30 | 30 | 13.5% |
| 31-45 | 35 | 15.7% |
| 45+ | 0 | 0% |
| 46-60 | 42 | 18.8% |
| 61-75 | 36 | 16.1% |
| 76-90 | 45 | 20.2% |
| 90+ | 2 | 0.9% |
223 goals in the 81 matches this season whose goal events match the score; 45+ and 90+ are stoppage time.
Cards and referees
No referee has 10 matches with a complete card record in the Primeira Liga this season yet; the league average is 5.23 cards a match over 299 matches.
The 2025/26 season: matches with a complete card record only; a referee is listed from 10 of them. Every referee.
Current runs
- Estoril are without a win in at least their last 12 in the Primeira Liga (to 25 October).
- FC Porto have won their last 10 in the Primeira Liga (to 24 October).
- Maritimo are without a win in their last seven in the Primeira Liga (to 23 October).
- Academico Viseu have won their last five in the Primeira Liga (to 25 October).
- Estrela are without a win in their last four in the Primeira Liga (to 24 October).
- SC Braga are without a win in their last four in the Primeira Liga (to 25 October).
Finished league matches only (friendlies, youth and reserve matches never count), read back from each club’s latest; runs of three or more, of the 18 clubs this season.
The season outlook
As of 30 October 2026, the TACTIX simulation (10,000 runs of the rest of the season) gives FC Porto a 64% chance of the title, ahead of Benfica (25%). The full predicted table.
| Title | Chance |
|---|---|
| FC Porto | 64% |
| Benfica | 25% |
| Sporting CP | 10% |
| Top 2 | Chance |
|---|---|
| FC Porto | 90% |
| Benfica | 70% |
| Sporting CP | 39% |
| Academico Viseu | <1% |
| Arouca | <1% |
| Relegation | Chance |
|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 74% |
| Casa Pia | 62% |
| Estoril | 48% |
Probabilities from 10,000 simulations of the remaining fixtures; a probability, not a certainty.
More Primeira Liga statistics
Fixtures, free picks and the table: Primeira Liga predictions. How the model is built: the methodology.