Serie A Stats 2026/27
In Serie A 2026/27, Over 2.5 goals has landed in 54 of 90 league matches (60%) — last season 174 of 380.
As of 31 October 2026: Serie A statistics from the matches TACTIX holds — the scorers, expected goals, when the goals come, the referees, the current runs and the season outlook. Each figure names the matches it is counted over.
How often it happens
Home sides have won 45.6% of the 90 league matches in Serie A this season, against 38.9% of 380 last season.
| In the match | 2026/27 (90 matches) | 2025/26 (380 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| Home win | 41 (45.6%) | 148 (38.9%) |
| Draw | 16 (17.8%) | 99 (26.1%) |
| Away win | 33 (36.7%) | 133 (35%) |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77 (85.6%) | 266 (70%) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54 (60%) | 174 (45.8%) |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31 (34.4%) | 84 (22.1%) |
| Both teams scored | 52 (57.8%) | 172 (45.3%) |
Finished Serie A league matches only: 90 this season, 380 in 2025/26. Cup matches and friendlies never count. Over 2.5 goals means three goals or more in the match.
Goal-market rates by club
The Pro table has BTTS, Over 2.5 and clean-sheet rates for all 20 clubs, from 90 league matches (updated 29 October 2026).
Top scorers
A. Raimondo leads the scoring in Serie A with eight goals in nine appearances, level with Gustavo Varela. Of the top five, three have scored more non-penalty goals than their non-penalty xG says the chances were worth (five with shot data).
| # | Player | Club | Goals | Apps | npxG | np goals − npxG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Raimondo | Frosinone | 8 | 9 | 5.90 | +2.10 |
| 2 | Gustavo Varela | Monza | 8 | 8 | 3.47 | +3.53 |
| 3 | D. Malen | AS Roma | 7 | 8 | 8.44 | −1.44 |
| 4 | N. Krstović | Atalanta | 6 | 9 | 5.26 | +0.74 |
| 5 | M. Thuram | Inter | 5 | 8 | 5.70 | −0.70 |
| 6 | T. Douvikas | Como | 5 | 9 | 6.18 | −1.18 |
| 7 | D. Maldini | Cagliari | 5 | 9 | 2.41 | +1.59 |
| 8 | A. Rabiot | AC Milan | 4 | 7 | 1.76 | +2.24 |
| 9 | T. Noslin | Lazio | 4 | 8 | 2.39 | +1.61 |
| 10 | C. Adams | Torino | 4 | 7 | 2.41 | +1.59 |
The 2026/27 season, the same table as the Serie A top scorers (data to Invalid Date). Non-penalty xG from shot data to 30 October over 90 matches; – where a player has none.
Expected goals for and against
Inter have the best expected-goal difference a match in Serie A (3.15 for, 1.28 against, over nine matches). Set pieces give the league 20.8% of its non-penalty xG; Juventus lean on them most (46.1% of theirs).
| Club | Matches | xG for a match | xG against a match | Set-piece share of npxG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 9 | 3.15 | 1.28 | 21.9% |
| AS Roma | 9 | 2.79 | 1.55 | 8.1% |
| Napoli | 9 | 2.34 | 1.24 | 9.9% |
| AC Milan | 9 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 21.5% |
| Como | 9 | 2.33 | 1.51 | 21.8% |
| Juventus | 9 | 1.40 | 0.58 | 46.1% |
| Lazio | 9 | 2.01 | 1.30 | 13.8% |
| Bologna | 9 | 1.65 | 1.47 | 31.3% |
| Torino | 9 | 1.32 | 1.43 | 25% |
| Monza | 9 | 1.64 | 1.82 | 18.9% |
| Fiorentina | 9 | 1.53 | 1.94 | 14.5% |
| Genoa | 9 | 0.95 | 1.46 | 15.1% |
| Atalanta | 9 | 1.59 | 2.16 | 17.6% |
| Frosinone | 9 | 1.97 | 2.55 | 17.3% |
| Venezia | 9 | 1.74 | 2.36 | 23.1% |
| Sassuolo | 9 | 1.54 | 2.21 | 18.3% |
| Cagliari | 9 | 1.30 | 2.12 | 22.1% |
| Parma | 9 | 0.87 | 1.74 | 30.5% |
| Lecce | 9 | 1.61 | 2.52 | 36% |
| Udinese | 9 | 1.19 | 2.49 | 22.5% |
Shot data to 30 October over 90 matches this season. Expected goals include penalties; the set-piece share is of non-penalty xG.
When the goals come
Across the 90 matches in Serie A whose goals we can place to the minute, 22.5% of the 284 goals came after the 75th minute, against 12.7% in the first quarter of an hour.
| Minutes | Goals | Share |
|---|---|---|
| 1-15 | 36 | 12.7% |
| 16-30 | 47 | 16.6% |
| 31-45 | 39 | 13.7% |
| 45+ | 2 | 0.7% |
| 46-60 | 46 | 16.2% |
| 61-75 | 50 | 17.6% |
| 76-90 | 62 | 21.8% |
| 90+ | 2 | 0.7% |
284 goals in the 90 matches this season whose goal events match the score; 45+ and 90+ are stoppage time.
Cards and referees
Marco Guida showed the most cards a match in Serie A in 2025/26 (4.20 over 10 matches; league average 3.99 over 367 matches).
| Referee | Matches | Cards a match |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Guida | 10 | 4.20 |
| Daniele Doveri | 10 | 4.00 |
The 2025/26 season: matches with a complete card record only; a referee is listed from 10 of them. Every referee.
Current runs
- AS Roma are unbeaten in at least their last 12 in Serie A (to 27 October).
- Inter are unbeaten in at least their last 12 in Serie A (to 28 October).
- Lazio are unbeaten in their last 10 in Serie A (to 27 October).
- Udinese are without a win in their last seven in Serie A (to 28 October).
- Fiorentina are without a win in their last five in Serie A (to 29 October).
- Sassuolo are without a win in their last five in Serie A (to 27 October).
Finished league matches only (friendlies, youth and reserve matches never count), read back from each club’s latest; runs of three or more, of the 20 clubs this season.
The season outlook
As of 30 October 2026, the TACTIX simulation (10,000 runs of the rest of the season) gives Inter a 72% chance of the title, ahead of AS Roma (13%). The full predicted table.
| Title | Chance |
|---|---|
| Inter | 72% |
| AS Roma | 13% |
| Como | 11% |
| Top 4 | Chance |
|---|---|
| Inter | 99% |
| AS Roma | 90% |
| Como | 87% |
| Lazio | 51% |
| AC Milan | 25% |
| Relegation | Chance |
|---|---|
| Venezia | 96% |
| Parma | 58% |
| Monza | 50% |
Probabilities from 10,000 simulations of the remaining fixtures; a probability, not a certainty.
More Serie A statistics
Serie A xG table · Serie A power rankings · Serie A supercomputer predicted table
Fixtures, free picks and the table: Serie A predictions. How the model is built: the methodology.