Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos prediction

Super League 1 · · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos, Super League 1 on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aris Thessalonikis host Atromitos in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Aris Thessalonikis or Atromitos (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Atromitos are winless in their last six matches. Atromitos have scored in five consecutive matches.

Aris Thessalonikis are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Atromitos, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Aris Thessalonikis’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Aris Thessalonikis’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Aris Thessalonikis have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00. Aris Thessalonikis have scored eight goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aris Thessalonikis have conceded 12 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

11 of Atromitos’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Atromitos’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Atromitos have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Atromitos have scored five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atromitos have conceded nine goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.

Aris Thessalonikis (fifth) and Atromitos (12th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aris Thessalonikis the stronger side, 231 rating points above Atromitos (Aris Thessalonikis 1687, Atromitos 1456, after at least 280 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 Atromitos.

Team news

Predicted Aris Thessalonikis XI (4-4-2): R. Velho, Fabiano, O. Richards, N. Fadiga, B. Sutalo, U. Račić, B. Garré, T. Dele-Bashiru, G. Gianniotas, T. Kadewere, C. Kouame — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, U. Račić (5.1 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Fabiano (5.0 per match over five appearances, three goals) have been Aris Thessalonikis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aris Thessalonikis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), U. Račić averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 540 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Fabiano averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Atromitos XI (4-3-3): L. Choutetsiotis, D. Stavropoulos, J. Uronen, M. Mountes, H. Magnússon, S. Moutoussamy, T. Tsingaras, S. Zuber, J. Perea, P. Tsantilas, S. Pnevmonidis — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, L. Choutetsiotis (3.5 per match over six appearances) and S. Moutoussamy (3.4 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been Atromitos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atromitos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Choutetsiotis averages 3.7 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last six appearances. S. Moutoussamy averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1064 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League 1 · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aris Thessalonikis 3 · draws 3 · Atromitos 0 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aris Thessalonikis 2W 1D 2L · Atromitos 0W 2D 3L

Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos (Super League 1): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4
Corners
against 2.38 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.63
Cards
against 3 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAris Thessalonikis for / againstLineAtromitos for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
17.38 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.75 for · 15.5 against n 8
21.5standard
16.13 for · 15.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
Aris Thessalonikis
Aris Thessalonikis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Palacios n 863.8
2.65/4
4.17/6
—
N. Fadiga n 876
2.48/6
1.25/3
—
B. Garré n 882.9
2.37/5
2.78/6
—
T. Kadewere n 862.4
27/3
0.42/0
—
Álvaro Tejero n 856.9
25/4
2.27/3
—
Aris Thessalonikis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Kouame n 845
3.25/4
1.34/1
T. Kadewere n 862.4
2.96/6
1.44/4
Rafa Mir n 846
2.96/4
2.26/2
Loren Morón n 838.6
2.95/4
0.93/0
U. Račić n 890
2.17/5
15/3
Aris Thessalonikis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Kouame n 845
0.83/0
00/0
T. Kadewere n 862.4
0.52/1
0.21/0
Manu García n 852.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
U. Račić n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
Fabiano n 890
0.42/1
00/0
Aris Thessalonikis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
U. Račić n 890
2.68/5
M. Hongla n 854.1
2.56/3
J. Pétris n 859.9
2.47/3
O. Richards n 870.8
2.25/5
L. Rose n 878.6
28/4
Aris Thessalonikis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Athanasiadis n 888.3
3.67/4
Ricardo Velho n 890
2.86/4
Atromitos
Atromitos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Perea n 860.9
2.66/5
2.45/4
—
Quini n 852.4
2.65/3
0.42/0
—
Dimitrios Tsakmakis n 856.4
2.47/4
0.21/0
—
A. Karamanis n 842.6
2.46/3
1.34/1
—
G. Tzovaras n 823.3
2.44/1
0.51/0
—
Atromitos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Georgios Tzovaras n 824.6
2.33/1
0.92/0
S. Zuber n 886
25/4
14/2
J. Perea n 860.9
1.84/2
0.63/0
A. Karamanis n 842.6
1.85/1
0.31/0
S. Tsiloulis n 853.6
1.76/1
13/1
Atromitos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Georgios Tzovaras n 824.6
0.51/0
0.51/0
A. Karamanis n 842.6
00/0
0.83/0
S. Pnevmonidis n 856.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
S. Tsiloulis n 853.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
S. Zuber n 886
0.51/1
00/0
Atromitos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Quini n 852.4
4.76/6
Georgios Tzovaras n 824.6
4.63/3
S. Pnevmonidis n 856.4
3.66/5
C. Nunez n 874
3.28/6
M. Mountes n 874.5
37/5
Atromitos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Choutetsiotis n 890
3.66/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Aris ThessalonikisWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
AtromitosLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aris Thessalonikis 3 · 3 draws · Atromitos 0 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 Atromitos
  • 2025-09-13 Atromitos 1–2 Aris Thessalonikis
  • 2025-04-26 Atromitos 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis
  • 2025-04-13 Aris Thessalonikis 1–0 Atromitos
  • 2024-12-07 Aris Thessalonikis 2–1 Atromitos
  • 2024-08-18 Atromitos 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis
League standing · 2026/27
Aris Thessalonikis#5 pos10 pts6 pl-4 GD
Atromitos#12 pos2 pts6 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Aris Thessalonikis scored1.33
Atromitos scored0.83
Aris Thessalonikis conceded2
Atromitos conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aris Thessalonikis and Atromitos?
In their last 6 meetings, Aris Thessalonikis won 3, Atromitos won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aris Thessalonikis and Atromitos?
Recent form — Aris Thessalonikis 2W 1D 2L; Atromitos 0W 2D 3L.

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