Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos prediction
Team pages: Aris Thessalonikis · Atromitos · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos, Super League 1 on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT.
The match
Aris Thessalonikis host Atromitos in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Aris Thessalonikis or Atromitos (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Atromitos are winless in their last six matches. Atromitos have scored in five consecutive matches.
Aris Thessalonikis are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Atromitos, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Eight of Aris Thessalonikis’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Aris Thessalonikis’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Aris Thessalonikis have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00. Aris Thessalonikis have scored eight goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aris Thessalonikis have conceded 12 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.
11 of Atromitos’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Atromitos’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Atromitos have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Atromitos have scored five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atromitos have conceded nine goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.
Aris Thessalonikis (fifth) and Atromitos (12th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aris Thessalonikis the stronger side, 231 rating points above Atromitos (Aris Thessalonikis 1687, Atromitos 1456, after at least 280 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 Atromitos.
Team news
Predicted Aris Thessalonikis XI (4-4-2): R. Velho, Fabiano, O. Richards, N. Fadiga, B. Sutalo, U. Račić, B. Garré, T. Dele-Bashiru, G. Gianniotas, T. Kadewere, C. Kouame — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, U. Račić (5.1 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) and Fabiano (5.0 per match over five appearances, three goals) have been Aris Thessalonikis’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aris Thessalonikis (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), U. Račić averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 540 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Fabiano averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.
Predicted Atromitos XI (4-3-3): L. Choutetsiotis, D. Stavropoulos, J. Uronen, M. Mountes, H. Magnússon, S. Moutoussamy, T. Tsingaras, S. Zuber, J. Perea, P. Tsantilas, S. Pnevmonidis — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, L. Choutetsiotis (3.5 per match over six appearances) and S. Moutoussamy (3.4 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been Atromitos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atromitos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Choutetsiotis averages 3.7 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last six appearances. S. Moutoussamy averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1064 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Super League 1 · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Aris Thessalonikis 3 · draws 3 · Atromitos 0 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Aris Thessalonikis 2W 1D 2L · Atromitos 0W 2D 3L
Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos (Super League 1): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Aris Thessalonikis for / against | Line | Atromitos for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.38 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 16.75 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Aris Thessalonikis
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Palacios n 8 | 63.8 | 2.6 | 4.1 | — |
| N. Fadiga n 8 | 76 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
| B. Garré n 8 | 82.9 | 2.3 | 2.7 | — |
| T. Kadewere n 8 | 62.4 | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| Álvaro Tejero n 8 | 56.9 | 2 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kouame n 8 | 45 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| T. Kadewere n 8 | 62.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Rafa Mir n 8 | 46 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Loren Morón n 8 | 38.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| U. Račić n 8 | 90 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kouame n 8 | 45 | 0.8 | 0 |
| T. Kadewere n 8 | 62.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Manu García n 8 | 52.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| U. Račić n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Fabiano n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| U. Račić n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| M. Hongla n 8 | 54.1 | 2.5 |
| J. Pétris n 8 | 59.9 | 2.4 |
| O. Richards n 8 | 70.8 | 2.2 |
| L. Rose n 8 | 78.6 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Athanasiadis n 8 | 88.3 | 3.6 |
| Ricardo Velho n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
Atromitos
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Perea n 8 | 60.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | — |
| Quini n 8 | 52.4 | 2.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Dimitrios Tsakmakis n 8 | 56.4 | 2.4 | 0.2 | — |
| A. Karamanis n 8 | 42.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 | — |
| G. Tzovaras n 8 | 23.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgios Tzovaras n 8 | 24.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| S. Zuber n 8 | 86 | 2 | 1 |
| J. Perea n 8 | 60.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| A. Karamanis n 8 | 42.6 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| S. Tsiloulis n 8 | 53.6 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgios Tzovaras n 8 | 24.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| A. Karamanis n 8 | 42.6 | 0 | 0.8 |
| S. Pnevmonidis n 8 | 56.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| S. Tsiloulis n 8 | 53.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| S. Zuber n 8 | 86 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Quini n 8 | 52.4 | 4.7 |
| Georgios Tzovaras n 8 | 24.6 | 4.6 |
| S. Pnevmonidis n 8 | 56.4 | 3.6 |
| C. Nunez n 8 | 74 | 3.2 |
| M. Mountes n 8 | 74.5 | 3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Choutetsiotis n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-07 Aris Thessalonikis 0–0 Atromitos
- 2025-09-13 Atromitos 1–2 Aris Thessalonikis
- 2025-04-26 Atromitos 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis
- 2025-04-13 Aris Thessalonikis 1–0 Atromitos
- 2024-12-07 Aris Thessalonikis 2–1 Atromitos
- 2024-08-18 Atromitos 1–1 Aris Thessalonikis
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Aris Thessalonikis vs Atromitos?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Aris Thessalonikis and Atromitos?
- In their last 6 meetings, Aris Thessalonikis won 3, Atromitos won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Aris Thessalonikis and Atromitos?
- Recent form — Aris Thessalonikis 2W 1D 2L; Atromitos 0W 2D 3L.
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