Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos result
Team pages: Asteras Tripolis · Panetolikos · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos — Asteras Tripolis won this Super League 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Asteras Tripolis beat Panetolikos 2–1 in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Wednesday 22 April. Asteras Tripolis are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Panetolikos: Farley Rosa (13’, assisted by J. Aguirre); Asteras Tripolis: J. Bartolo (17’) and F. Macheda (62’, assisted by J. Bartolo).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Macheda’s goal on 62 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Asteras Tripolis 1.74, Panetolikos 1.12, from 17 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
I. Papadopoulos showed six yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Asteras Tripolis: Christos Almyras (65’), Oluwatobiloba Alagbe (69’), F. Macheda (72’), Chidera Okoh (87’) and N. Kaltsas (88’); Panetolikos: Jorge Aguirre (49’).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Bartolo (Asteras Tripolis) 10.4, N. Papadopoulos (Asteras Tripolis) 6.6 and F. Macheda (Asteras Tripolis) 4.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).
Next up
Asteras Tripolis next travel to Panathinaikos on 18 October 2026.
Panetolikos next host Olympiakos Piraeus on 18 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Asteras Tripolis: Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Panetolikos: Panetolikos v Olympiakos Piraeus, Sunday 18 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos · Super League 1
- Referee: I. Papadopoulos
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Asteras Tripolis 1 · draws 3 · Panetolikos 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Asteras Tripolis 1W 3D 1L · Panetolikos 1W 3D 1L
Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos (Super League 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Asteras Tripolis for / against | Line | Panetolikos for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.2 for · 6 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.57 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 7.2 for · 12.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.29 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.43 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.2 for · 10.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.57 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.2 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: I. Papadopoulos — 3.63 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.13 fouls over 8 matches (1.75 to the home side, 1.88 to the away side).
Asteras Tripolis
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mitrovic n 8 | 45.3 | 3 | 1.7 | — |
| K. Pomonis n 8 | 59.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | — |
| T. Tzandaris n 8 | 30.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | — |
| F. Macheda n 8 | 64.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
| G. Charalampoglou n 6 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Kaltsas n 8 | 45 | 2 | 0.8 |
| J. Bartolo n 8 | 73.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| J. Mendieta n 8 | 30.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Kalvin Ketu n 8 | 77 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| G. Charalampoglou n 6 | 13.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bartolo n 8 | 73.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| J. Chicco n 8 | 40.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini n 8 | 37.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| N. Alho n 8 | 71.9 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Munoz Mumo n 8 | 69.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Tzandaris n 8 | 30.4 | 3.3 |
| I. Sylla n 8 | 84.4 | 2.4 |
| Eder González n 8 | 24 | 2.3 |
| N. Kaltsas n 8 | 45 | 2 |
| E. Yablonskiy n 8 | 70.6 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Papadopoulos n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
Panetolikos
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. García n 8 | 11.3 | 4 | 2 | — |
| G. Satsias n 8 | 42.1 | 2.7 | 2.1 | — |
| Y. Badji n 8 | 81.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | — |
| C. Sielis n 8 | 83.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| A. Bregou n 8 | 11.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farley Rosa n 8 | 74.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Jorge Aguirre n 8 | 41.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| K. Michalak n 8 | 35.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| L. Smyrlis n 8 | 37.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| K. Aleksić n 8 | 42.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Aleksić n 8 | 42.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Y. Badji n 8 | 81.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Jorge Aguirre n 8 | 41.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| A. Mățan n 8 | 88 | 0.3 | 0 |
| L. Smyrlis n 8 | 37.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Aleksić n 8 | 42.8 | 2.6 |
| E. Nikolaou n 8 | 26.3 | 2.6 |
| Farley Rosa n 8 | 74.3 | 2 |
| Apostolos Apostolopoulos n 8 | 77.4 | 1.9 |
| A. Bregou n 8 | 11.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Y. Kucherenko n 8 | 90 | 3 |
The next free picks, by email
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Match statistics & details
| Asteras Tripolis | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|
| 41% | Possession | 59% |
| 1.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 9 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 314 | Passes | 448 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
Asteras Tripolis player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Papadopoulos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| N. Sipcic | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Triantafyllopoulos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Oluwatobiloba Alagbe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| N. Alho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Christos Almyras | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.5 |
| P. Deligiannidis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| Eder González | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Kalvin Ketu | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Bartolo | 81 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9.2 |
| F. Macheda | 81 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| N. Kaltsas sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| Chidera Okoh sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6 |
| T. Tzandaris sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
| S. Mitrovic sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Panetolikos player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Kucherenko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Mavrias | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| G. Granath | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Sielis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Farley Rosa | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Mățan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| K. Aleksić | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Bouchalakis | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Jorge Aguirre | 80 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Apostolos Apostolopoulos | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| G. Satsias | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Christian Manrique sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Diego Esteban sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Lenny Lobato sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Badji sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Smyrlis sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-14 Panetolikos 3–1 Asteras Tripolis
- 2025-11-22 Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Panetolikos
- 2025-01-13 Asteras Tripolis 2–0 Panetolikos
- 2024-09-21 Panetolikos 1–1 Asteras Tripolis
- 2024-04-20 Asteras Tripolis 0–2 Panetolikos
- 2024-02-19 Asteras Tripolis 2–2 Panetolikos
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Asteras Tripolis and Panetolikos?
- In their last 6 meetings, Asteras Tripolis won 1, Panetolikos won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Asteras Tripolis and Panetolikos?
- Recent form — Asteras Tripolis 1W 3D 1L; Panetolikos 1W 3D 1L.
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