Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos result

Full-time · Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos

Super League 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos — Asteras Tripolis won this Super League 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Asteras Tripolis beat Panetolikos 2–1 in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Wednesday 22 April. Asteras Tripolis are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Panetolikos: Farley Rosa (13’, assisted by J. Aguirre); Asteras Tripolis: J. Bartolo (17’) and F. Macheda (62’, assisted by J. Bartolo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Macheda’s goal on 62 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Asteras Tripolis 1.74, Panetolikos 1.12, from 17 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

I. Papadopoulos showed six yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Asteras Tripolis: Christos Almyras (65’), Oluwatobiloba Alagbe (69’), F. Macheda (72’), Chidera Okoh (87’) and N. Kaltsas (88’); Panetolikos: Jorge Aguirre (49’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Bartolo (Asteras Tripolis) 10.4, N. Papadopoulos (Asteras Tripolis) 6.6 and F. Macheda (Asteras Tripolis) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Asteras Tripolis next travel to Panathinaikos on 18 October 2026.

Panetolikos next host Olympiakos Piraeus on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Asteras Tripolis: Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Panetolikos: Panetolikos v Olympiakos Piraeus, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos · Super League 1
  • Referee: I. Papadopoulos
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Asteras Tripolis 1 · draws 3 · Panetolikos 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Asteras Tripolis 1W 3D 1L · Panetolikos 1W 3D 1L

Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos (Super League 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.2 / 3.57
Corners
against 6 / 5.29 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2 / 3.43
Shots on target
against 4.6 / 4.43 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.2 / 1.86 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
3.63 yellows
Referee · I. Papadopoulos
1.75 home / 1.88 away
over 8 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAsteras Tripolis for / againstLinePanetolikos for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.2 for · 6 against n 5
9.5standard
3.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
7.2 for · 12.8 against n 5
19.5standard
10.29 for · 13 against n 7
Shots on target
2 for · 4.6 against n 5
8.5standard
3.43 for · 4.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.2 for · 10.4 against n 5
21.5standard
13.57 for · 13.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 1.2 against n 5
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: I. Papadopoulos — 3.63 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.13 fouls over 8 matches (1.75 to the home side, 1.88 to the away side).

Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Mitrovic n 845.3
36/3
1.76/1
—
K. Pomonis n 859.4
2.88/5
1.14/1
—
T. Tzandaris n 830.4
2.65/1
1.11/1
—
F. Macheda n 864.9
2.46/5
1.23/2
—
G. Charalampoglou n 613.2
2.32/0
1.11/0
—
Asteras Tripolis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Kaltsas n 845
26/1
0.83/0
J. Bartolo n 873.9
1.86/3
1.14/2
J. Mendieta n 830.3
1.53/1
0.72/0
Kalvin Ketu n 877
1.25/2
0.63/1
G. Charalampoglou n 613.2
1.11/0
1.11/0
Asteras Tripolis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bartolo n 873.9
0.63/1
00/0
J. Chicco n 840.5
00/0
0.31/0
Nicholas Gioacchini n 837.1
00/0
0.31/0
N. Alho n 871.9
00/0
0.21/0
Munoz Mumo n 869.5
00/0
0.21/0
Asteras Tripolis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Tzandaris n 830.4
3.34/2
I. Sylla n 884.4
2.48/5
Eder González n 824
2.35/0
N. Kaltsas n 845
27/1
E. Yablonskiy n 870.6
1.97/2
Asteras Tripolis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Papadopoulos n 890
1.82/2
Panetolikos
Panetolikos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. García n 811.3
43/1
22/0
—
G. Satsias n 842.1
2.76/3
2.15/1
—
Y. Badji n 881.9
2.58/4
1.15/3
—
C. Sielis n 883.8
2.17/6
0.85/1
—
A. Bregou n 811.9
1.92/0
1.92/0
—
Panetolikos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Farley Rosa n 874.3
2.16/4
0.83/2
Jorge Aguirre n 841.4
1.94/3
1.13/1
K. Michalak n 835.9
1.95/1
0.62/0
L. Smyrlis n 837.5
1.54/1
0.93/0
K. Aleksić n 842.8
1.34/1
0.82/1
Panetolikos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Aleksić n 842.8
0.82/1
00/0
Y. Badji n 881.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Jorge Aguirre n 841.4
0.52/0
00/0
A. Mățan n 888
0.32/0
00/0
L. Smyrlis n 837.5
0.31/0
00/0
Panetolikos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Aleksić n 842.8
2.64/3
E. Nikolaou n 826.3
2.64/1
Farley Rosa n 874.3
27/4
Apostolos Apostolopoulos n 877.4
1.95/4
A. Bregou n 811.9
1.92/0
Panetolikos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Kucherenko n 890
36/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Asteras TripolisPanetolikos
41%Possession59%
1.74Expected goals (xG)1.12
17Shots6
5Shots on target5
9Shots off target1
3Blocked shots0
11Shots inside the box4
1Corners2
2Offsides1
15Fouls9
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves3
314Passes448
84%Pass accuracy86%

Asteras Tripolis player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Papadopoulos9000000007.5
N. Sipcic9000100106.5
K. Triantafyllopoulos9000001006.6
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe90001002Y6.9
N. Alho9000003006.3
Christos Almyras90003002Y6.5
P. Deligiannidis9000002208
Eder González8900100007.2
Kalvin Ketu8900101207.2
J. Bartolo8111324209.2
F. Macheda81103210Y7.2
N. Kaltsas sub9001102Y6.3
Chidera Okoh sub9000000Y6
T. Tzandaris sub10000010–
S. Mitrovic sub10000000–

Panetolikos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Kucherenko9000000007.9
C. Mavrias9000000106
G. Granath9000000206.3
C. Sielis9000001007
Farley Rosa9010220107.3
A. Mățan9000110007
K. Aleksić8000110106.3
A. Bouchalakis8000000207
Jorge Aguirre80010020Y6.7
Apostolos Apostolopoulos6400001006
G. Satsias6400100206.6
Christian Manrique sub2600000006.7
Diego Esteban sub2600000106.6
Lenny Lobato sub1000110006.7
Y. Badji sub1000000007.2
L. Smyrlis sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Asteras TripolisDLWDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
PanetolikosDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Asteras Tripolis 1 · 3 draws · Panetolikos 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Panetolikos 3–1 Asteras Tripolis
  • 2025-11-22 Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Panetolikos
  • 2025-01-13 Asteras Tripolis 2–0 Panetolikos
  • 2024-09-21 Panetolikos 1–1 Asteras Tripolis
  • 2024-04-20 Asteras Tripolis 0–2 Panetolikos
  • 2024-02-19 Asteras Tripolis 2–2 Panetolikos
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Asteras Tripolis#14 pos17 pts26 pl-19 GD
Panetolikos#11 pos26 pts26 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Asteras Tripolis scored0.85
Panetolikos scored0.92
Asteras Tripolis conceded1.58
Panetolikos conceded1.46

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Asteras Tripolis and Panetolikos?
In their last 6 meetings, Asteras Tripolis won 1, Panetolikos won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Asteras Tripolis and Panetolikos?
Recent form — Asteras Tripolis 1W 3D 1L; Panetolikos 1W 3D 1L.

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