Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis result

Full-time · Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis

Super League 1 · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:30 BST · Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 18:28 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Panathinaikos · Asteras Tripolis · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis — Panathinaikos won this Super League 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.22 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 199 landed (95% range 71.6–83.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Panathinaikos beat Asteras Tripolis 5–1 at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 18 October.

The goals

Panathinaikos led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Panathinaikos: Stefan de Vrij (27’, assisted by Kings Kangwa), Imrân Louza (31’), Cyriel Dessers (62’, assisted by Imrân Louza), Davide Calabria (72’, assisted by Pedro Chirivella) and Andreas Tetteh (83’, assisted by Imrân Louza); Asteras Tripolis: A. Papakanellos (60’, assisted by K. Chrisopoulos).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stefan de Vrij’s goal on 27 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Panathinaikos 5.69, Asteras Tripolis 0.91, from 27 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Panathinaikos stay first after this result (seven league matches played).

Asteras Tripolis move down from 10th to 11th (seven league matches played).

Panathinaikos’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 7 so far, across four matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Imrân Louza (Panathinaikos) 13.6, Kings Kangwa (Panathinaikos) 8.8 and Stefan de Vrij (Panathinaikos) 8.1 led the match.

Next up

Panathinaikos next travel to Kairat Almaty on 22 October 2026.

Asteras Tripolis next host Levadiakos on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Panathinaikos: Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Asteras Tripolis: Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis · Super League 1
Venue: Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis · Athens
Referee: Angelos Evangelou
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Panathinaikos 5 · draws 0 · Asteras Tripolis 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L · Asteras Tripolis 1W 2D 2L

Panathinaikos 5–1 Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

7.63 / 5.13

Corners

against 3.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 2.38

Cards

against 3.25 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Panathinaikos for / against	Line	Asteras Tripolis for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	19.38 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.88 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.25 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Angelos Evangelou.

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Louza n 8	51.8	3 6/5	1.7 5/3	A. Mendez
Santino Andino n 8	77.4	2.9 7/7	1.6 6/4	J. Bartolo
L. García n 8	68.5	2.5 8/4	1.1 3/2	J. Bartolo
S. Kontouris n 8	41.1	2.5 5/3	0.8 2/1	—
E. Rastoder n 8	24.3	2.3 4/1	0.9 2/0	—

Panathinaikos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Dessers n 8	41.3	6.5 7/6	3 6/4
L. García n 8	68.5	3.1 8/6	1.1 5/2
V. Taborda n 8	66.8	2.9 7/4	1.9 6/3
A. Ounahi n 8	64.9	2.4 7/5	1.2 5/2
Adriano Jagušić n 8	38.9	2.3 4/2	1.2 2/1

Panathinaikos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Dessers n 8	41.3	1.4 4/1	0 0/0
V. Taborda n 8	66.8	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
Kings Kangwa n 8	65	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
A. Ounahi n 8	64.9	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
E. Rastoder n 8	24.3	0.5 1/0	0 0/0

Panathinaikos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Etienne Camara n 8	82.3	3.6 8/5
Kings Kangwa n 8	65	2.6 7/5
D. Calabria n 8	86.3	2.3 8/6
A. Salah-Eddine n 8	49.4	2.3 5/4
Adriano Jagušić n 8	38.9	2.3 4/3

Panathinaikos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Iñaki Peña n 8	93.8	2.4 5/3

Asteras Tripolis

Asteras Tripolis — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Christos Almyras n 8	29.5	3.4 6/3	2.7 5/2	—
A. Tereziou n 8	32.3	2.8 4/3	2.1 3/1	—
J. Bartolo n 8	79.5	1.8 6/4	0.7 3/1	L. García
D. Kourbelis n 8	70.5	1.8 5/3	1.9 6/5	—
A. Mendez n 6	90	1.7 6/3	1.5 6/3	I. Louza

Asteras Tripolis — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Macheda n 8	59.9	2.6 6/5	1.1 5/1
J. Bartolo n 8	79.5	2.4 5/5	2 5/5
Kalvin Ketu n 8	75.5	1.9 6/4	0.9 5/1
A. Papakanellos n 8	19.9	1.7 2/1	1.7 2/1
Ricardinho n 8	36.3	1.6 3/2	0.9 3/0

Asteras Tripolis — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Macheda n 8	59.9	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
Ricardinho n 8	36.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
J. Bartolo n 8	79.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. Chrisopoulos n 4	60	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
Christos Almyras n 8	29.5	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Asteras Tripolis — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Christos Almyras n 8	29.5	3.8 6/3
A. Papakanellos n 8	19.9	3.4 3/3
I. Bouzoukis n 8	42.9	2.9 6/4
D. Kourbelis n 8	70.5	2.6 6/5
Eder González n 8	84.6	2.4 7/5

Asteras Tripolis — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Chatziemmanouil n 5	90	3.6 4/3
N. Papadopoulos n 8	90	2.4 5/3

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Panathinaikos		Asteras Tripolis
72%	Possession	28%
5.69	Expected goals (xG)	0.91
27	Shots	5
8	Shots on target	1
10	Shots off target	4
9	Blocked shots	0
17	Shots inside the box	4
9	Corners	1
2	Offsides	2
10	Fouls	7
0	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	2
621	Passes	245

Panathinaikos player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Iñaki Peña	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
D. Calabria	90	1	0	2	1	2	1	7.8
S. de Vrij	90	1	0	3	2	1	2	7.7
R. van Drongelen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Salah-Eddine	90	0	0	2	0	2	3	7.3
I. Louza	90	1	2	1	1	5	2	9.5
Santino Andino	77	0	0	3	0	0	1	6.7
Andreas Tetteh	71	1	0	6	1	0	0	7.6
Kings Kangwa	68	0	1	3	0	3	5	7.7
C. Dessers	68	1	0	3	2	2	0	8.2
L. García	46	0	0	1	0	3	0	6.6
V. Taborda	44	0	0	2	1	0	1	6.6
E. Rastoder	22	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.8
Pedro Chirivella	22	0	1	0	0	2	1	7.1
A. Ounahi	19	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Adriano Jagušić	13	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.3

Asteras Tripolis player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
N. Papadopoulos	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
F. Brorsson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.2
K. Chrisopoulos	90	0	1	0	0	1	3	5.3
G. Kotsiras	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	5.5
A. Mendez	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	5.7
J. Bartolo	90	0	0	1	0	2	2	6.5
F. Macheda	79	0	0	1	0	0	1	6.5
D. Laskaris	71	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.4
J. Chicco	61	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
Eder González	61	0	0	0	0	0	3	6.1
Kalvin Ketu	46	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.3
A. Papakanellos	44	1	0	1	1	0	0	6.8
I. Bouzoukis	29	0	0	0	0	0	3	6
D. Kourbelis	29	0	0	0	0	0	2	5.9
F. Orozco	19	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.2
B. Mbunga Kimpioka	11	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PanathinaikosWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Asteras TripolisLLDDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Panathinaikos 5 · 0 draws · Asteras Tripolis 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-03-22 Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Panathinaikos
2025-10-26 Panathinaikos 2–0 Asteras Tripolis
2024-12-08 Asteras Tripolis 0–1 Panathinaikos
2024-08-18 Panathinaikos 0–1 Asteras Tripolis
2024-01-21 Panathinaikos 2–0 Asteras Tripolis
2023-09-28 Asteras Tripolis 1–4 Panathinaikos

League standing · 2026/27

Panathinaikos#1 pos15 pts6 pl+9 GD

Asteras Tripolis#11 pos5 pts6 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Panathinaikos scored2

Asteras Tripolis scored1

Panathinaikos conceded0.5

Asteras Tripolis conceded1.67

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Panathinaikos v Asteras Tripolis was Home win (best price 1.22 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis?: In their last 6 meetings, Panathinaikos won 5, Asteras Tripolis won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Panathinaikos and Asteras Tripolis?: Recent form — Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L; Asteras Tripolis 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 18:28 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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