Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata prediction
Team pages: Olympiakos Piraeus · Kalamata
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata, Super League 1 on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.
The match
Olympiakos Piraeus host Kalamata in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Olympiakos Piraeus to win, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Olympiakos Piraeus have conceded two goals, the fewest of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last five matches in all competitions. Olympiakos Piraeus have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Three of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%). Both teams scored in six of Olympiakos Piraeus’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Olympiakos Piraeus have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.43. Olympiakos Piraeus have scored seven goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Four of Kalamata’s last 7 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (57%). Both teams scored in five of Kalamata’s last 7 results in all competitions (71%). Away from home, Kalamata have one win, one draw and one defeat in their last 3 away matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33. Kalamata have scored 13 goals, the fourth-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kalamata have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 14 clubs.
Olympiakos Piraeus have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions. Olympiakos Piraeus (second) and Kalamata (sixth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Olympiakos Piraeus the stronger side, 190 rating points above Kalamata (Olympiakos Piraeus 1890, Kalamata 1700, after at least seven rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Olympiakos Piraeus XI (4-2-3-1): S. Ortega, P. Retsos, N. Tiknizyan, L. Pirola, M. Pedersen, Chiquinho, J. Silva, R. Freuler, G. Puerta, K. Fortounis, A. El Kaabi — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rodinei (3.5 per match over three appearances) and Jota Silva (3.3 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Olympiakos Piraeus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Olympiakos Piraeus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rodinei averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jota Silva averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 659 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Kalamata XI (4-2-3-1): G. Gelios, S. Stroungis, P. Kaloutsikidis, Rodrigues, J. Alonso, E. Hamza, G. Piñeiro, A. Mendes Moreira, D. Diarra, J. Cataldi, J. Bolívar — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Vargas (7.0 per match over three appearances, three goals) and Rodrigues (3.9 per match over seven appearances) have been Kalamata’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kalamata (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Vargas averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 421 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Rodrigues averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 918 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Super League 1 · Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Olympiakos Piraeus 5W 0D 0L · Kalamata 3W 1D 1L
Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata (Super League 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Olympiakos Piraeus for / against | Line | Kalamata for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.86 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.57 for · 6.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.13 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.71 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.86 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.63 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.86 for · 15.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.43 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jota Silva n 8 | 74.3 | 2.7 | 2.6 | — |
| Dani García n 8 | 78.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | — |
| L. Scipioni n 8 | 47.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| S. Onyemaechi n 8 | 72.8 | 2 | 1.1 | — |
| G. Puerta n 8 | 65.9 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jota Silva n 8 | 74.3 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Joel Roca n 8 | 50 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| A. El Kaabi n 8 | 70 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Gustavo Sá n 8 | 42 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| A. Gonzalez n 8 | 41.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jota Silva n 8 | 74.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| R. Yaremchuk n 8 | 42.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| R. Freuler n 8 | 81.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Chiquinho n 8 | 72.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| A. El Kaabi n 8 | 70 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Scipioni n 8 | 47.6 | 4.5 |
| Gustavo Sá n 8 | 42 | 4 |
| P. Retsos n 8 | 80.3 | 2.4 |
| Dani García n 8 | 78.8 | 2.4 |
| R. Freuler n 8 | 81.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Ortega n 8 | 90.4 | 2.9 |
Kalamata
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Vargas n 8 | 59.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 | — |
| Julián Bonetto n 7 | 32.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | — |
| A. Liatsikouras n 6 | 19.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| Gonzalo Piñeiro n 8 | 68.9 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Erik Hamza n 7 | 80 | 1.9 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kurminowski n 8 | 41.1 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| J. Cataldi n 6 | 48.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Aarón n 8 | 16.6 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Jovanny Bolívar n 8 | 69.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kurminowski n 8 | 41.1 | 1.4 | 0 |
| K. Vargas n 8 | 59.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Mendes Moreira n 8 | 85.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Julián Bonetto n 7 | 32.3 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Petros Kaloutsikidis n 7 | 86.9 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigues n 8 | 81 | 3.2 |
| D. Diarra n 8 | 46.1 | 2.9 |
| Aarón n 8 | 16.6 | 2.7 |
| Julio Alonso n 8 | 84.3 | 2.4 |
| Stefanos Stroungis n 8 | 89.5 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Giannis Gelios n 8 | 83.8 | 2.8 |
| Nikola Vasiljević n 3 | 90 | 2.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata is Home win.
- What is the recent form of Olympiakos Piraeus and Kalamata?
- Recent form — Olympiakos Piraeus 5W 0D 0L; Kalamata 3W 1D 1L.
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