Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos prediction
Team pages: Kairat Almaty · Panathinaikos
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 15:30 BST.
The match
Kairat Almaty host Panathinaikos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 15:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Panathinaikos, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Kairat Almaty are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Kairat Almaty’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Kairat Almaty’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Kairat Almaty have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.43.
11 of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Panathinaikos’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Panathinaikos have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.67.
Kairat Almaty (18th) and Panathinaikos (11th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Panathinaikos the stronger side, 285 rating points above Kairat Almaty (Panathinaikos 1762, Kairat Almaty 1477, after at least 11 rated matches each).
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Temirlan Anarbekov (3.8 per match over three appearances) and Marc Gual (3.3 per match over three appearances, one goal) have been Kairat Almaty’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kairat Almaty (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Temirlan Anarbekov averages 2.4 saves per 90 over 480 minutes, with two or more saves in three of the last five appearances. Marc Gual averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 294 minutes.
By TACTIX Impact, Kings Kangwa (5.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) and Cyriel Dessers (4.5 per match over nine appearances, six goals) have been Panathinaikos’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Panathinaikos (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kings Kangwa averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 509 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. Cyriel Dessers averages 6.1 shots per 90 over 398 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances.
The referee
A. Lindhout takes charge; across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions) the referee has shown 2.9 yellow cards a game and 0.29 reds.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · Almaty Central Stadium
- Referee: A. Lindhout
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Kairat Almaty 0W 1D 4L · Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L
Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Kairat Almaty for / against | Line | Panathinaikos for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 2.38 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 5.25 against n 4 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.5 for · 6.75 against n 4 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 20.88 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 4.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 13 against n 4 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 16.88 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 2.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Lindhout.
Kairat Almaty
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmilson n 8 | 68.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | — |
| O. Baybek n 7 | 35.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| E. Tapalov n 8 | 66.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Gustavo Mendonça n 8 | 82 | 1.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Azamat Tuyakbaev n 5 | 35.4 | 1.5 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Birkurmanov n 3 | 22 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
| Marc Gual n 8 | 49.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| O. Jukkola n 8 | 51.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Lucas Africo n 8 | 82.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Edmilson n 8 | 68.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Baybek n 7 | 35.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| A. Shirobokov n 7 | 79.7 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Edmilson n 8 | 68.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| O. Jukkola n 8 | 51.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Marc Gual n 8 | 49.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Baybek n 7 | 35.3 | 4 |
| Ismail Bekbolat n 6 | 28.2 | 3.7 |
| E. Tapalov n 8 | 66.5 | 2.7 |
| Gustavo Mendonça n 8 | 82 | 2.5 |
| Aleksandr Martynovich n 8 | 93.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Anarbekov n 8 | 93.8 | 3.6 |
Panathinaikos
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santino Andino n 8 | 79.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | — |
| I. Louza n 8 | 51.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — |
| S. Kontouris n 8 | 41.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Etienne Camara n 8 | 82.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| L. García n 8 | 63.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dessers n 8 | 42.9 | 6.3 | 2.6 |
| Andreas Tetteh n 8 | 48.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| L. García n 8 | 63.9 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| V. Taborda n 8 | 68.4 | 3 | 1.8 |
| Adriano Jagušić n 8 | 34.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dessers n 8 | 42.9 | 1.3 | 0 |
| V. Taborda n 8 | 68.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Kings Kangwa n 8 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| I. Louza n 8 | 51.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| D. Calabria n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Etienne Camara n 8 | 82.3 | 3.6 |
| Kings Kangwa n 8 | 63.6 | 3.5 |
| A. Salah-Eddine n 8 | 57.5 | 2.5 |
| D. Calabria n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| Adriano Jagušić n 8 | 34.9 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Iñaki Peña n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Kairat Almaty v Panathinaikos is Draw or Away (best price 1.19 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of Kairat Almaty and Panathinaikos?
- Recent form — Kairat Almaty 0W 1D 4L; Panathinaikos 4W 0D 1L.
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