PAOK v Iraklis 1908 prediction

Super League 1 · · Toumba Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for PAOK v Iraklis 1908, Super League 1 on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 189 landed (95% range 71.3–83.1%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

PAOK host Iraklis 1908 in the Super League 1 (Greece) on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is PAOK to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

PAOK have scored in nine consecutive matches.

Iraklis 1908 are unbeaten in their last five matches. One of Iraklis 1908’s last 6 results went over 2.5 goals (17%).

Form and the table

Nine of PAOK’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of PAOK’s last 15 results (73%). At home, PAOK have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.86. PAOK have scored 13 goals, the second-most of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). PAOK have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest of the 14 clubs.

Both teams scored in two of Iraklis 1908’s last 6 results (33%). Away from home, Iraklis 1908 have one win, two draws and one defeat in their last 4 away matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.25. Iraklis 1908 have scored six goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 14 clubs (2026/27 so far). Iraklis 1908 have conceded six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 14 clubs.

PAOK (fourth) and Iraklis 1908 (seventh) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have PAOK the stronger side, 142 rating points above Iraklis 1908 (PAOK 1779, Iraklis 1908 1637, after at least six rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted PAOK XI (4-2-3-1): J. Pavlenka, J. Kenny, A. R. Baba, G. Michailidis, Elustondo, C. Zafeiris, A. Zivkovic, D. Pelkas, T. Ali, K. Jakić, C. Ndiaye — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Andrija Zivkovic (5.6 per match over six appearances, two goals and two assists) and A. R. Baba (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) have been PAOK’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PAOK (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Andrija Zivkovic averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 700 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. A. R. Baba averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 487 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Iraklis 1908 XI (5-4-1): G. Athanasiadis, P. Vouros, Piña, C. Soria, Nanu, Y. Roche, V. Sourlis, R. Nizet, N. Radoja, K. Kaïboué, P. Marques — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Athanasiadis (3.6 per match over six appearances) and Nanu (3.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Iraklis 1908’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Iraklis 1908 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Athanasiadis averages 4.2 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last six appearances. Nanu averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 461 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League 1 · Toumba Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: PAOK 3W 0D 2L · Iraklis 1908 2W 3D 0L

PAOK v Iraklis 1908 (Super League 1): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 13 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 6 matches
4.38 / 2.5
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.83 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.75 / 1.83
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.17 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.13 / 2.33
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.33 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePAOK for / againstLineIraklis 1908 for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 1 against n 6
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
2.5 for · 3.83 against n 6
Shots
12.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
8.17 for · 17 against n 6
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
1.83 for · 5.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
16.17 for · 16.33 against n 6
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.33 for · 2.33 against n 6
PAOK
PAOK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Zafeiris n 871.5
2.48/4
1.13/2
—
G. Taylor n 858.8
1.94/3
15/0
—
D. Pelkas n 857
1.85/3
1.86/3
—
M. Camara n 825.5
1.84/0
1.32/1
—
J. Kenny n 881.4
1.75/5
0.43/0
—
PAOK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Pelkas n 857
3.46/6
1.46/1
A. Mythou n 824.6
2.74/2
2.34/1
M. Camara n 825.5
2.64/1
00/0
C. Ndiaye n 871.4
1.76/2
1.16/1
O. Ugresić n 634.3
1.74/0
0.92/0
PAOK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Ali n 836.6
0.62/0
0.93/0
A. Mythou n 824.6
1.43/0
00/0
D. Pelkas n 857
0.62/1
0.21/0
O. Ugresić n 634.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
C. Ndiaye n 871.4
0.53/0
00/0
PAOK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Camara n 825.5
4.96/2
B. Santamaría n 828.8
3.15/2
G. Michailidis n 846.9
2.65/4
C. Zafeiris n 871.5
2.56/6
T. Louchet n 848.9
2.54/3
PAOK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pavlenka n 887.9
2.74/4
Iraklis 1908
Iraklis 1908 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Kushta n 322.3
43/0
00/0
—
E. Koljić n 465.3
3.43/2
0.31/0
—
Vitor Meer n 522
3.31/1
4.13/1
—
P. Vouros n 882.9
27/7
0.11/0
—
N. Radoja n 867.6
27/2
0.85/0
—
Iraklis 1908 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Xande Silva n 825.8
2.64/2
2.64/2
Ivi Lopez n 842.8
2.15/3
0.83/0
Pedro Marques n 841
1.94/2
0.51/1
E. Koljić n 465.3
1.73/1
00/0
K. Kaïboué n 865.9
1.45/3
0.52/1
Iraklis 1908 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Krainz n 840
0.31/0
0.31/0
Nanu n 870.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Y. Bárcenas n 873.6
0.32/0
00/0
Ivi Lopez n 842.8
0.31/0
00/0
Pedro Marques n 841
0.31/0
00/0
Iraklis 1908 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Kushta n 322.3
2.71/1
Xande Silva n 825.8
2.64/2
V. Sourlis n 865.5
2.26/3
Carles Soria n 881.4
1.96/6
K. Kaïboué n 865.9
1.77/3
Iraklis 1908 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Athanasiadis n 888.3
3.67/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind PAOK v Iraklis 1908 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PAOKWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Iraklis 1908DWDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
PAOK#4 pos12 pts6 pl+5 GD
Iraklis 1908#7 pos9 pts6 pl0 GD
Goals per game
PAOK scored2.17
Iraklis 1908 scored1
PAOK conceded1.33
Iraklis 1908 conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win PAOK v Iraklis 1908?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PAOK v Iraklis 1908 is Home win.
What is the recent form of PAOK and Iraklis 1908?
Recent form — PAOK 3W 0D 2L; Iraklis 1908 2W 3D 0L.

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