Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing prediction

Super League – China · · Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing, Super League – China on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chengdu Better City host Dalian Zhixing in the Super League – China on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 08:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Chengdu Better City have conceded 31 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Dalian Zhixing have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked. Dalian Zhixing are unbeaten in their last seven matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Chengdu Better City’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Chengdu Better City’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Chengdu Better City have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.57. Chengdu Better City have scored 51 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Eight of Dalian Zhixing’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Dalian Zhixing’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Dalian Zhixing have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. Dalian Zhixing have scored 45 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Dalian Zhixing have conceded 43 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Chengdu Better City (first) and Dalian Zhixing (second) are six points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dalian Zhixing the stronger side, 174 rating points above Chengdu Better City (Dalian Zhixing 1851, Chengdu Better City 1678, after at least 58 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Dalian Zhixing 2–0 Chengdu Better City.

Team news

Predicted Chengdu Better City XI (4-2-3-1): L. Dianzuo, H. Hetao, E. Sorokin, H. Yiran, H. Pengfei, W. Silva, W. Shihao, Y. Ming-Yang, M. Jussa, Rômulo, F. Silva — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Felipe Silva (6.2 per match over 19 appearances, 17 goals and three assists) and Wellington Silva (5.1 per match over 27 appearances, nine goals and six assists) have been Chengdu Better City’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Chengdu Better City (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Felipe Silva averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 1365 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Wellington Silva averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 2363 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Dalian Zhixing XI (4-2-3-1): L. Weiguo, L. Zhuoyi, J. Bi, M. Traoré, W. Mao, N. Stanciu, I. Alimi, J. Liao, L. Jing, Y. Mingrui, F. Acheampong — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Weijie Mao (5.4 per match over 22 appearances, two goals and three assists) and N. Stanciu (5.3 per match over 25 appearances, 10 goals and four assists) have been Dalian Zhixing’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Dalian Zhixing (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Weijie Mao averages 3.8 tackles per 90 over 1946 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. N. Stanciu averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2315 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League – China · Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Chengdu Better City 2 · draws 0 · Dalian Zhixing 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chengdu Better City 2W 1D 2L · Dalian Zhixing 4W 1D 0L

Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing (Super League – China): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.71
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.38 / 5.14
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 1.57
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChengdu Better City for / againstLineDalian Zhixing for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.71 for · 5.43 against n 7
Shots
14.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.57 for · 14.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.14 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
11.86 for · 11.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7
Chengdu Better City
Chengdu Better City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Baihelamu Abuduwaili n 823
3.93/2
2.94/2
—
Felipe Silva n 883.5
2.88/7
2.37/6
—
Wang Dongsheng n 832.8
2.14/1
1.43/1
—
Wang Ziming n 868.3
26/5
1.25/2
—
Hu Hetao n 888.8
1.87/5
0.93/3
—
Chengdu Better City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Felipe Silva n 883.5
3.28/8
1.57/3
Baihelamu Abuduwaili n 823
2.96/0
1.53/0
Wellington Silva n 887.8
1.85/4
0.94/2
Wei Shihao n 873.9
1.86/4
0.64/0
Wang Ziming n 868.3
1.85/3
14/1
Chengdu Better City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Felipe Silva n 883.5
1.16/2
00/0
Wang Ziming n 868.3
0.51/1
0.32/0
Baihelamu Abuduwaili n 823
0.51/0
00/0
Wellington Silva n 887.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
Wei Shihao n 873.9
00/0
0.21/0
Chengdu Better City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Liao Lisheng n 850.8
3.85/3
Chao Gan n 821.9
3.64/2
Iminqari Mutallep n 819
3.62/2
Alex Jojo n 825.4
2.73/1
Wang Dongsheng n 832.8
2.44/3
Chengdu Better City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Liu Dianzuo n 884.4
2.35/5
Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Xiao n 38.3
3.61/0
00/0
—
Kangbo Sun n 836.9
3.17/1
00/0
—
Pedro Delgado n 858.6
2.96/4
1.26/0
—
Isnik Alimi n 888.5
2.78/6
1.37/3
—
Zhu Pengyu n 826
2.64/1
1.33/0
—
Dalian Zhixing — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Stanciu n 871.9
37/3
1.66/2
Frank Acheampong n 884.4
2.37/4
1.24/2
Feng Jin n 831.3
2.24/1
1.12/1
C. Malele n 882.1
1.97/4
1.14/3
Pedro Delgado n 858.6
1.96/3
0.84/0
Dalian Zhixing — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Frank Acheampong n 884.4
0.83/1
00/0
Luo Jing n 854.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
C. Malele n 882.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
Pedro Delgado n 858.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Feng Jin n 831.3
0.41/0
00/0
Dalian Zhixing — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Isnik Alimi n 888.5
4.18/8
L. Xiao n 38.3
3.61/0
Weijie Mao n 883.3
3.56/5
Lü Zhuoyi n 883.3
3.28/7
Zhu Pengyu n 826
33/3
Dalian Zhixing — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Liu Weiguo n 888.5
2.45/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Chengdu Better CityWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Dalian ZhixingDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Chengdu Better City 2 · 0 draws · Dalian Zhixing 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-05-23 Dalian Zhixing 2–0 Chengdu Better City
  • 2025-08-08 Dalian Zhixing 0–2 Chengdu Better City
  • 2025-04-06 Chengdu Better City 2–0 Dalian Zhixing
League standing · 2026
Chengdu Better City#1 pos52 pts27 pl+20 GD
Dalian Zhixing#2 pos46 pts28 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Chengdu Better City scored1.89
Dalian Zhixing scored1.61
Chengdu Better City conceded1.15
Dalian Zhixing conceded1.54

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chengdu Better City v Dalian Zhixing is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing?
In their last 3 meetings, Chengdu Better City won 2, Dalian Zhixing won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing?
Recent form — Chengdu Better City 2W 1D 2L; Dalian Zhixing 4W 1D 0L.

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