Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown prediction

Super League – China · · Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown, Super League – China on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Shenyang Urban host Hangzhou Greentown in the Super League – China on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 08:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Hangzhou Greentown’s last 15 results (80%).

Form and the table

Nine of Shenyang Urban’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Shenyang Urban’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Shenyang Urban have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.13. Shenyang Urban have scored 39 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Shenyang Urban have conceded 48 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs.

11 of Hangzhou Greentown’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Hangzhou Greentown have one win, three draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.00. Hangzhou Greentown have scored 47 goals, the sixth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Hangzhou Greentown have conceded 52 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs.

Shenyang Urban (13th) and Hangzhou Greentown (11th) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hangzhou Greentown the stronger side, 57 rating points above Shenyang Urban (Hangzhou Greentown 1629, Shenyang Urban 1571, after at least 28 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Hangzhou Greentown 0–5 Shenyang Urban.

Team news

Predicted Shenyang Urban XI (3-1-4-2): Y. Zhang, Y. Mincheng, Z. Hongfu, Felipe, T. Li, T. Kunimoto, D. Mawlanyaz, B. Chen, D. Yan, Jeffinho, A. Kouamé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jeffinho (5.9 per match over 26 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and Takahiro Kunimoto (4.1 per match over 27 appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Shenyang Urban’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Shenyang Urban (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Jeffinho averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 2230 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Takahiro Kunimoto averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 2238 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hangzhou Greentown XI (4-2-3-1): B. Zhao, X. Junchi, L. Possignolo, L. Haofan, G. Sun, J. Park, A. Mitriță, C. Jin, Q. Tao, M. Tolić, W. Yudong — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Mitriță (6.9 per match over 23 appearances, 11 goals and 12 assists) and Marko Tolić (4.7 per match over 27 appearances, nine goals and six assists) have been Hangzhou Greentown’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Hangzhou Greentown (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Mitriță averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 2032 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Marko Tolić averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 1901 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League – China · Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Shenyang Urban 1 · draws 0 · Hangzhou Greentown 0 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Shenyang Urban 1W 1D 3L · Hangzhou Greentown 2W 0D 3L

TACTIX runs Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown (Super League – China) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 2 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.88
Corners
against 4.63 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameShenyang Urban for / againstLineHangzhou Greentown for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shenyang Urban
Shenyang Urban — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
De'ao Tian n 818.9
3.64/2
00/0
—
Binbin Chen n 867.8
2.75/5
1.87/4
—
Yuda Tian n 89.8
2.32/0
3.52/1
—
Li Haoran n 846.9
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Ange Kouamé n 886.1
2.16/5
2.68/7
—
Shenyang Urban — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuda Tian n 89.8
3.52/1
3.52/1
Jeffinho n 890.3
3.18/5
16/2
Guy Mbenza n 867
2.58/7
0.53/0
Ange Kouamé n 886.1
26/3
0.72/1
Jiarun Gao n 820
1.73/0
00/0
Shenyang Urban — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Yuda Tian n 89.8
1.21/0
00/0
Dinghao Yan n 834.3
00/0
0.72/0
Tian Deao n 432.3
00/0
0.71/0
De'ao Tian n 818.9
00/0
0.61/0
Jeffinho n 890.3
0.54/0
00/0
Shenyang Urban — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jiarun Gao n 820
3.42/1
Zhang Hongfu n 874.8
2.97/6
Dilmurat Mawlanyaz n 870.4
2.76/6
Takahiro Kunimoto n 890
2.18/4
Tian Deao n 432.3
2.11/1
Shenyang Urban — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Yan Zhang n 890.3
1.95/2
Hangzhou Greentown
Hangzhou Greentown — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jiaqi Zhang n 844
2.65/3
12/2
—
Wei Wu n 843.1
2.64/3
0.51/1
—
Hao Fang n 833.5
2.44/3
13/0
—
Shiqin Wang n 838
2.15/1
0.31/0
—
Jin-seob Park n 876.9
1.96/4
0.95/1
—
Hangzhou Greentown — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marko Tolić n 860.3
2.66/4
1.55/3
Qianglong Tao n 863.4
2.37/5
1.25/2
A. Mitriță n 887
2.17/5
1.67/3
Wang Yudong n 880.1
2.16/5
1.15/3
Hao Fang n 833.5
26/0
1.34/0
Hangzhou Greentown — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marko Tolić n 860.3
0.62/1
0.92/1
A. Mitriță n 887
0.95/1
0.32/0
Di Gao n 841
0.83/0
00/0
Wang Yudong n 880.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
Felippe Cardoso n 854.3
0.42/0
00/0
Hangzhou Greentown — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wei Wu n 843.1
5.77/6
Bao Shengxin n 828.5
3.66/2
Alexander N'Doumbou n 824.5
3.24/1
Tong Lei n 852.9
2.36/3
Jiaqi Zhang n 844
24/2
Hangzhou Greentown — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bo Zhao n 888.6
3.37/5

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Shenyang UrbanLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Hangzhou GreentownWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Shenyang Urban 1 · 0 draws · Hangzhou Greentown 0 · 5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Hangzhou Greentown 0–5 Shenyang Urban
League standing · 2026
Shenyang Urban#13 pos29 pts28 pl-9 GD
Hangzhou Greentown#11 pos31 pts28 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Shenyang Urban scored1.39
Hangzhou Greentown scored1.68
Shenyang Urban conceded1.71
Hangzhou Greentown conceded1.86

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Shenyang Urban v Hangzhou Greentown is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown?
In their last 1 meetings, Shenyang Urban won 1, Hangzhou Greentown won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown?
Recent form — Shenyang Urban 1W 1D 3L; Hangzhou Greentown 2W 0D 3L.

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