Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua prediction

Super League – China · · Shenzhen Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua, Super League – China on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:30 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sichuan Jiuniu host Shanghai Shenhua in the Super League – China on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 08:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Shanghai Shenhua, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sichuan Jiuniu are winless in their last five matches.

Shanghai Shenhua have scored 59 goals, the most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Shanghai Shenhua are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Form and the table

Nine of Sichuan Jiuniu’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Sichuan Jiuniu’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Sichuan Jiuniu have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.17. Sichuan Jiuniu have scored 37 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Sichuan Jiuniu have conceded 50 goals, the fourth-most of the 16 clubs.

10 of Shanghai Shenhua’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Shanghai Shenhua’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Shanghai Shenhua have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57. Shanghai Shenhua have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Sichuan Jiuniu (12th) and Shanghai Shenhua (eighth) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shanghai Shenhua the stronger side, 201 rating points above Sichuan Jiuniu (Shanghai Shenhua 1788, Sichuan Jiuniu 1587, after at least 88 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Shanghai Shenhua 1–2 Sichuan Jiuniu.

Team news

Predicted Sichuan Jiuniu XI (4-1-4-1): P. Peng, G. Xavier, M. Tang, Z. Xuan, Y. Rui, T. Chow, E. Karzev, A. Ademi, Z. Yufeng, J. Yao, W. Moraes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Wesley Moraes (5.1 per match over 26 appearances, 12 goals and five assists) and Miao Tang (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Sichuan Jiuniu’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sichuan Jiuniu (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Wesley Moraes averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 2248 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Miao Tang averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 1272 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Shanghai Shenhua XI (4-2-3-1): X. Qinghao, Z. Chenjie, W. Manafá, C. Shinichi, L. Songyi, W. Xi, W. Haijian, G. Tianyi, L. Asué, X. Pengfei, R. Ratao — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luís Asué (5.9 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and four assists) and M. Gueye (5.6 per match over seven appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Shanghai Shenhua’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Shanghai Shenhua (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luís Asué averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 999 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. M. Gueye averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 536 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League – China · Shenzhen Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sichuan Jiuniu 2 · draws 2 · Shanghai Shenhua 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sichuan Jiuniu 0W 3D 2L · Shanghai Shenhua 3W 1D 1L

Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua (Super League – China): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.5
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.17 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.25 / 7.67
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.83 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.38 / 1.17
Cards
against 1 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSichuan Jiuniu for / againstLineShanghai Shenhua for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.17 against n 6
Shots
12.63 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
18.17 for · 14.33 against n 6
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.67 for · 5.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.33 for · 11.5 against n 6
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.17 for · 2.5 against n 6
Sichuan Jiuniu
Sichuan Jiuniu — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Li Ning n 828.9
3.55/3
5.56/5
—
Li Ning n 829.4
3.15/3
1.95/0
—
Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere n 874.9
2.48/3
1.56/3
—
Tim Chow n 884.9
2.18/4
0.54/0
—
Tian Yifan n 842.1
2.14/3
1.13/1
—
Sichuan Jiuniu — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Wesley Moraes n 886.5
2.18/5
1.35/3
Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere n 874.9
2.15/4
0.94/1
Zhipeng Jiang n 874.3
1.76/4
0.83/2
Eden Karzev n 885.3
1.67/4
0.43/0
A. Ademi n 885.1
1.57/2
1.16/2
Sichuan Jiuniu — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Wesley Moraes n 886.5
0.53/1
0.32/0
Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere n 874.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Li Ning n 829.4
00/0
0.41/0
Li Ning n 828.9
00/0
0.41/0
Zhipeng Jiang n 874.3
0.32/0
00/0
Sichuan Jiuniu — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Li Long n 835
2.94/3
Miao Tang n 888.5
2.88/7
Li Ning n 829.4
2.34/2
Junsheng Yao n 865.9
2.26/5
Zhang Yufeng n 855.9
1.84/4
Sichuan Jiuniu — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Peng Peng n 890
3.45/4
Ji Jiabao n 888.5
3.36/5
Peng Peng n 884.4
2.55/3
Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Liu Chengyu n 820.6
4.44/2
1.63/0
—
Han Jiawen n 316
3.81/1
3.82/0
—
Wu Qipeng n 833.1
3.15/2
0.72/0
—
Luís Asué n 870
2.48/4
1.65/4
—
Gao Tianyi n 855.4
2.26/3
1.23/2
—
Shanghai Shenhua — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Saulo Mineiro n 830.4
4.15/5
1.93/2
Luís Asué n 870
3.77/7
2.16/4
Xu Haoyang n 839.9
2.54/3
1.43/2
Rafael Ratao n 880.8
2.47/6
1.85/4
Xie Pengfei n 851.5
2.46/3
1.35/1
Shanghai Shenhua — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luís Asué n 870
14/1
0.32/0
João Teixeira n 870.4
00/0
0.83/1
Gao Tianyi n 855.4
00/0
0.82/2
Rafael Ratao n 880.8
0.73/1
0.11/0
Saulo Mineiro n 830.4
0.72/0
00/0
Shanghai Shenhua — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wang Haijian n 862.8
2.94/3
Shilong Wang n 835.9
2.84/2
Gao Tianyi n 855.4
2.65/5
Yang Haoyu n 842.8
2.65/4
Yang Zexiang n 832.1
2.13/2
Shanghai Shenhua — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ma Zhen n 890.6
3.56/6
Xue Qinghao n 891.1
2.65/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sichuan JiuniuDLDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Shanghai ShenhuaLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sichuan Jiuniu 2 · 2 draws · Shanghai Shenhua 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Shanghai Shenhua 1–2 Sichuan Jiuniu
  • 2025-10-31 Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 Sichuan Jiuniu
  • 2025-06-14 Sichuan Jiuniu 3–1 Shanghai Shenhua
  • 2024-10-27 Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Sichuan Jiuniu
  • 2024-07-17 Sichuan Jiuniu 0–0 Shanghai Shenhua
  • 2024-05-26 Sichuan Jiuniu 0–1 Shanghai Shenhua
League standing · 2026
Sichuan Jiuniu#12 pos29 pts28 pl-13 GD
Shanghai Shenhua#8 pos34 pts27 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Sichuan Jiuniu scored1.32
Shanghai Shenhua scored2.19
Sichuan Jiuniu conceded1.79
Shanghai Shenhua conceded1.74

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua?
In their last 6 meetings, Sichuan Jiuniu won 2, Shanghai Shenhua won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua?
Recent form — Sichuan Jiuniu 0W 3D 2L; Shanghai Shenhua 3W 1D 1L.

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