Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng prediction

Super League – China · · Wuhan Sports Center Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng, Super League – China on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Wuhan Three Towns host Shandong Luneng in the Super League – China on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 08:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Wuhan Three Towns have scored in five consecutive matches. Wuhan Three Towns are winless in their last four matches.

Shandong Luneng are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Wuhan Three Towns, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of Wuhan Three Towns’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Wuhan Three Towns’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Wuhan Three Towns have two wins, five draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.13. Wuhan Three Towns have scored 40 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Wuhan Three Towns have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Shandong Luneng are unbeaten in their last three matches. 10 of Shandong Luneng’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Shandong Luneng’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Shandong Luneng have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.63. Shandong Luneng have scored 52 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Shandong Luneng have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-most of the 16 clubs.

Wuhan Three Towns (15th) and Shandong Luneng (fourth) are 19 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shandong Luneng the stronger side, 160 rating points above Wuhan Three Towns (Shandong Luneng 1763, Wuhan Three Towns 1603, after at least 151 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 July 2026, finished Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shandong Luneng.

Team news

Predicted Wuhan Three Towns XI (4-4-2): J. Fang, M. Tian, X. Haofeng, A. Li, G. He, A. Firmino, K. Bevis, A. Léautey, X. Zhang, J. Cádiz, G. Sauer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jhonder Cádiz (6.0 per match over 27 appearances, 18 goals and six assists) and Gustavo Sauer (5.7 per match over 25 appearances, eight goals and six assists) have been Wuhan Three Towns’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Wuhan Three Towns (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Jhonder Cádiz averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 2375 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Gustavo Sauer averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 2174 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Shandong Luneng XI (3-4-3): Y. Jinyong, P. Álvaro, Y. Liu, Z. Gao, G. Madruga, C. Pu, M. Mijiti, Z. Huang, V. Qazaishvili, Cryzan, R. Merkies — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cryzan (8.7 per match over 22 appearances, 16 goals and eight assists) and Valeri Qazaishvili (5.2 per match over 28 appearances, eight goals and nine assists) have been Shandong Luneng’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Shandong Luneng (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cryzan averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 1740 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Valeri Qazaishvili averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 2341 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Super League – China · Wuhan Sports Center Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wuhan Three Towns 0 · draws 3 · Shandong Luneng 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wuhan Three Towns 1W 3D 1L · Shandong Luneng 2W 2D 1L

Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng (Super League – China): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.86
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 2.29
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.29 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWuhan Three Towns for / againstLineShandong Luneng for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
17.38 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.57 for · 15 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.29 for · 10 against n 7
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.29 for · 1.29 against n 7
Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zhechao Chen n 818.4
4.34/2
1.22/0
—
Jizheng Xiong n 836
2.85/4
2.53/1
—
Liu Binbin n 812.6
2.73/0
1.82/0
—
Shenyuan Li n 89.8
2.32/0
4.63/1
—
Wei Long n 812.1
1.92/0
0.91/0
—
Wuhan Three Towns — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jhonder Cádiz n 881.4
3.96/6
1.25/3
Jizheng Xiong n 836
3.85/3
0.92/1
Liu Binbin n 812.6
2.73/0
0.91/0
K. Bevis n 888.8
2.57/6
15/3
Zhechao Chen n 818.4
1.83/0
00/0
Wuhan Three Towns — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Liu Binbin n 812.6
00/0
0.91/0
Wei Long n 812.1
00/0
0.91/0
Gustavo Sauer n 886.6
0.42/1
0.32/0
Jhonder Cádiz n 881.4
0.74/1
00/0
K. Bevis n 888.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
Wuhan Three Towns — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Denny Wang Yi n 840.3
3.47/3
Jizheng Xiong n 836
2.86/3
Liu Binbin n 812.6
2.73/0
Shenyuan Li n 89.8
2.32/0
Ming Tian n 886.5
2.26/4
Wuhan Three Towns — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jingqi Fang n 890
3.67/5
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Lu n 56.8
5.32/0
00/0
—
Yin Jiaxi n 427.8
4.13/1
00/0
—
Imran Memet n 336
2.53/0
0.81/0
—
Peng Yixiang n 813.8
2.53/0
4.94/2
—
Zeshi Chen n 837.9
2.46/2
0.31/0
—
Shandong Luneng — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Peng Yixiang n 813.8
4.94/2
0.81/0
Cryzan n 879.3
38/6
1.77/2
J. Lu n 56.8
2.61/0
2.61/0
Zeca n 879.8
2.18/3
15/2
Valeri Qazaishvili n 876.5
2.17/4
0.94/1
Shandong Luneng — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Zeca n 879.8
0.73/2
0.42/1
Cryzan n 879.3
0.75/0
0.42/1
Valeri Qazaishvili n 876.5
0.42/1
0.64/0
Peng Yixiang n 813.8
00/0
0.81/0
R. Merkies n 830.5
0.72/0
00/0
Shandong Luneng — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yin Jiaxi n 427.8
4.94/2
Memet Imran n 829.3
4.27/1
Maiwulang Mijiti n 860.9
37/5
Songchen Shi n 823
2.94/1
Zeshi Chen n 837.9
2.75/3
Shandong Luneng — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dalei Wang n 888.6
5.16/6
Yu Jinyong n 890
3.65/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Wuhan Three TownsWDDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Shandong LunengWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wuhan Three Towns 0 · 3 draws · Shandong Luneng 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-07-21 Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shandong Luneng
  • 2026-05-24 Shandong Luneng 3–3 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2025-11-22 Wuhan Three Towns 1–5 Shandong Luneng
  • 2025-06-25 Shandong Luneng 3–1 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2024-09-21 Shandong Luneng 0–0 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2024-05-11 Wuhan Three Towns 1–2 Shandong Luneng
League standing · 2026
Wuhan Three Towns#15 pos22 pts27 pl-7 GD
Shandong Luneng#4 pos41 pts28 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Wuhan Three Towns scored1.48
Shandong Luneng scored1.86
Wuhan Three Towns conceded1.74
Shandong Luneng conceded1.57

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng?
In their last 6 meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 0, Shandong Luneng won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng?
Recent form — Wuhan Three Towns 1W 3D 1L; Shandong Luneng 2W 2D 1L.

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