Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor prediction

The match

Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig on Friday 23 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Alanyaspor offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Three of Kocaelispor’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (20%).

Form and the table

Eight of Alanyaspor’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Alanyaspor’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Alanyaspor have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.17. Alanyaspor have scored eight goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Alanyaspor have conceded six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in five of Kocaelispor’s last 15 results (33%). Away from home, Kocaelispor have one win, two draws and six defeats in their last 9 away matches — 0.56 points per game, scoring 0.56 and conceding 1.67. Kocaelispor have scored eight goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kocaelispor have conceded six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Alanyaspor (seventh) and Kocaelispor (eighth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kocaelispor the stronger side, 6 rating points above Alanyaspor (Kocaelispor 1640, Alanyaspor 1634, after at least 41 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Alanyaspor 5–0 Kocaelispor.

Team news

Predicted Alanyaspor XI (3-4-3): P. Victor, F. Aliti, N. Lima, F. Aksoy, G. Makouta, F. Hadërgjonaj, Ruan, B. Gezek, H. Ui-Jo, A. Usluoğlu, İ. Kaya — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Paulo Victor (3.6 per match over eight appearances) and Ruan (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Alanyaspor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alanyaspor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Paulo Victor averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 721 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances. Ruan averages 0.1 key passes per 90 over 656 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Kocaelispor XI (4-3-3): S. Oztasdelen, E. Ortakaya, U. Yıldız, R. Rivas, O. Öztonga, B. Kutlu, Show, M. Sissoho, D. Agyei, F. Ayé, M. Altunbaş — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, B. Kutlu (4.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Gonçalo Sousa (3.8 per match over six appearances, two assists) have been Kocaelispor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kocaelispor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Kutlu averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 567 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last seven appearances. Gonçalo Sousa averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 486 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last six appearances.