Eyüpspor v Kasımpaşa prediction
Team pages: Eyüpspor · Kasımpaşa
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home saves over 1.5 the free pick for Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa, Süper Lig on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 11:30 BST.
The match
Eyüpspor host Kasımpaşa in the Süper Lig on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 11:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Eyüpspor saves over 1.5, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Eyüpspor have lost their last five matches. Eyüpspor have failed to score in their last five matches. Eyüpspor have scored two goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
10 of Eyüpspor’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in five of Eyüpspor’s last 15 results (33%). At home, Eyüpspor have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Eyüpspor have conceded 20 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Seven of Kasımpaşa’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Kasımpaşa’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Kasımpaşa have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.13. Kasımpaşa have scored eight goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Kasımpaşa have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Eyüpspor (18th) and Kasımpaşa (ninth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kasımpaşa the stronger side, 324 rating points above Eyüpspor (Kasımpaşa 1619, Eyüpspor 1295, after at least 78 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Kasımpaşa 1–0 Eyüpspor.
Team news
Predicted Eyüpspor XI (4-1-4-1): H. Moldovan, Z. Jules, T. Ülvan, S. Giordano, J. El Yamiq, C. Massanga, C. Raux Yao, D. Costa, K. Michalak, B. Boutobba, A. Abdullahi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Z. Jules (3.9 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and C. Massanga (2.4 per match over eight appearances) have been Eyüpspor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eyüpspor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Z. Jules averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 719 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances. C. Massanga averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 705 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Kasımpaşa XI (4-2-3-1): A. Gianniotis, M. Ilie, C. Winck, A. Arous, J. Jessen, K. Demirbay, E. Mendes, A. Baldursson, G. Yalçın, A. Kol, A. Benedyczak — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Cláudio Winck (4.2 per match over seven appearances, two assists) and A. Benedyczak (3.8 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Kasımpaşa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kasımpaşa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cláudio Winck averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 625 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances. A. Benedyczak averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 614 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Süper Lig
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 4): Eyüpspor 1 · draws 0 · Kasımpaşa 3 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Eyüpspor 0W 0D 5L · Kasımpaşa 1W 3D 1L
Eyüpspor v Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Eyüpspor for / against | Line | Kasımpaşa for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.25 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.63 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.63 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.88 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Eyüpspor
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sabiri n 8 | 29.9 | 2.3 | 5.6 | — |
| L. Pintor n 8 | 35.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| T. Ülvan n 8 | 73.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| B. Boutobba n 8 | 50 | 1.6 | 0.9 | — |
| A. Abdullahi n 8 | 74.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Barası n 8 | 36.6 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| A. Abdullahi n 8 | 74.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| B. Boutobba n 8 | 50 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| J. El Yamiq n 8 | 78.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calegari n 8 | 84.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Abdullahi n 8 | 74.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Z. Jules n 8 | 89.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| C. Massanga n 8 | 88.1 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Moldovan n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Sabiri n 8 | 29.9 | 3.4 |
| A. Popov n 4 | 20.8 | 3.3 |
| T. İlter n 8 | 71.3 | 2.1 |
| Calegari n 8 | 84.8 | 2 |
| Z. Jules n 8 | 89.9 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| H. Moldovan n 8 | 84.4 | 3.1 |
| E. Bilgin n 5 | 80.8 | 2.5 |
Kasımpaşa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kol n 8 | 51.8 | 3.5 | 0.4 | — |
| A. Baldursson n 8 | 73.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | — |
| Elson Mendes n 8 | 70.5 | 2.2 | 2.6 | — |
| K. Demirbay n 8 | 83.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Kevin Mouanga n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Benedyczak n 8 | 87.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| H. Hajradinovic n 8 | 58.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| M. Rafferty n 8 | 52.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Cláudio Winck n 8 | 89.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| G. Yalçın n 8 | 57.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| İ. Kahveci n 8 | 55 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| A. Benedyczak n 8 | 87.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| J. Jessen n 8 | 72.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| J. Rak-Sakyi n 8 | 46.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| F. Diabaté n 8 | 75.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Karapo n 8 | 50.4 | 3.6 |
| H. Hajradinovic n 8 | 58.5 | 3.5 |
| K. Çörekçi n 8 | 84.6 | 2.9 |
| Cláudio Winck n 8 | 89.3 | 2.6 |
| Kevin Mouanga n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Gianniotis n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Eyüpspor v Kasımpaşa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-15 Kasımpaşa 1–0 Eyüpspor
- 2025-10-20 Eyüpspor 2–0 Kasımpaşa
- 2025-05-10 Eyüpspor 0–3 Kasımpaşa
- 2024-12-13 Kasımpaşa 2–0 Eyüpspor
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Eyüpspor v Kasımpaşa is Home saves over 1.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Eyüpspor and Kasımpaşa?
- In their last 4 meetings, Eyüpspor won 1, Kasımpaşa won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Eyüpspor and Kasımpaşa?
- Recent form — Eyüpspor 0W 0D 5L; Kasımpaşa 1W 3D 1L.
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