Samsunspor v Amed prediction

Süper Lig · · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Samsunspor vs Amed, Süper Lig on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Samsunspor host Amed in the Süper Lig on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Samsunspor have lost their last five matches.

Amed are unbeaten in their last six matches. Amed have scored in six consecutive matches.

Form and the table

10 of Samsunspor’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Samsunspor’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Samsunspor have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.88. Samsunspor have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Samsunspor have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Amed’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Amed’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Amed have no wins, two draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.25 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.88. Amed have scored 17 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Amed have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Samsunspor (17th) and Amed (third) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Amed the stronger side, 257 rating points above Samsunspor (Amed 1709, Samsunspor 1452, after at least eight rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Samsunspor XI (4-2-3-1): O. Kocuk, L. Tómasson, J. Mendes, G. Guarino, Y. Çift, Y. Kayan, E. Kılınç, E. Watt, S. Onur, Y. Sekongo, S. Jarju — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, C. Yüksel (4.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal) and J. Mendes (3.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Samsunspor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Samsunspor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Yüksel averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 562 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. J. Mendes averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 618 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Amed XI (4-2-3-1): A. Lafont, D. Bates, L. Dellova, E. Krasniqi, U. Meraş, R. Raveloson, D. Sabia, S. Ballet, F. Soyalp, Y. Sor, G. Orban — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Orban (4.9 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and two assists) and D. Sabia (4.7 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Amed’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Amed (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Orban averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 581 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. D. Sabia averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 687 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Süper Lig · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L · Amed 3W 2D 0L

Samsunspor v Amed (Süper Lig): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.38
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSamsunspor for / againstLineAmed for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
Samsunspor
Samsunspor — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Onur n 852.4
2.87/4
37/6
—
T. Coulibaly n 859.1
2.75/5
14/1
—
Saikuba Jarju n 675.3
2.65/4
2.45/4
—
E. Tavşan n 857.8
2.35/4
1.43/3
—
L. Tómasson n 861.5
25/3
0.21/0
—
Samsunspor — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Holse n 861.4
3.37/6
26/4
E. Tavşan n 857.8
2.37/4
1.85/3
Marius n 882.5
2.26/4
1.55/3
Y. Sekongo n 844.8
24/2
0.81/1
Fatih Kaya n 843.4
1.83/2
12/2
Samsunspor — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marius n 882.5
0.85/1
0.53/1
C. Holse n 861.4
1.14/1
0.21/0
Fatih Kaya n 843.4
0.82/1
0.31/0
E. Tavşan n 857.8
0.42/0
0.42/0
Y. Sekongo n 844.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Samsunspor — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Tavşan n 857.8
3.36/4
T. Coulibaly n 859.1
2.97/4
C. Yüksel n 881.5
2.87/5
Badra Diabbate Ali n 851
2.45/3
S. Eraković n 863.3
1.85/2
Samsunspor — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Okan Kocuk n 890
4.17/7
Amed
Amed — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Ballet n 876.3
4.37/7
1.66/3
—
M. Khalil n 445.5
34/2
0.51/0
—
F. Soyalp n 854.1
2.57/3
0.83/1
—
R. Lutin n 818.5
1.82/1
5.54/2
—
C. Üstündag n 826
1.73/1
0.91/1
—
Amed — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Diagne n 841.8
37/2
1.64/2
G. Orban n 872.6
2.67/6
1.45/3
S. Ballet n 876.3
2.47/5
1.25/2
F. Soyalp n 854.1
1.95/4
0.83/1
Yira Collins Sor n 842
1.94/1
1.12/1
Amed — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Orban n 872.6
1.14/2
0.32/0
M. Diagne n 841.8
0.83/0
00/0
D. Sabia n 885.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
M. Khalil n 445.5
00/0
0.51/0
E. Krasniqi n 863.6
00/0
0.41/1
Amed — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Üstündag n 826
4.34/3
R. Lutin n 818.5
3.63/1
F. Soyalp n 854.1
2.55/4
L. Dellova n 889.3
2.47/5
U. Meraş n 874.5
2.47/3
Amed — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Lafont n 890.6
2.65/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Samsunspor v Amed — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SamsunsporLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
AmedDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Samsunspor#17 pos4 pts7 pl-9 GD
Amed#3 pos14 pts7 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Samsunspor scored0.86
Amed scored2.43
Samsunspor conceded2.14
Amed conceded1.29

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Samsunspor vs Amed?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Samsunspor v Amed is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Samsunspor and Amed?
Recent form — Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L; Amed 3W 2D 0L.

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