Samsunspor v Amed prediction
Team pages: Samsunspor · Amed
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Samsunspor vs Amed, Süper Lig on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:00 BST.
The match
Samsunspor host Amed in the Süper Lig on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Samsunspor have lost their last five matches.
Amed are unbeaten in their last six matches. Amed have scored in six consecutive matches.
Form and the table
10 of Samsunspor’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Samsunspor’s last 15 results (47%). At home, Samsunspor have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.88. Samsunspor have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Samsunspor have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
11 of Amed’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Amed’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Amed have no wins, two draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.25 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.88. Amed have scored 17 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Amed have conceded nine goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Samsunspor (17th) and Amed (third) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Amed the stronger side, 257 rating points above Samsunspor (Amed 1709, Samsunspor 1452, after at least eight rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Samsunspor XI (4-2-3-1): O. Kocuk, L. Tómasson, J. Mendes, G. Guarino, Y. Çift, Y. Kayan, E. Kılınç, E. Watt, S. Onur, Y. Sekongo, S. Jarju — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, C. Yüksel (4.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal) and J. Mendes (3.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Samsunspor’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Samsunspor (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Yüksel averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 562 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. J. Mendes averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 618 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Amed XI (4-2-3-1): A. Lafont, D. Bates, L. Dellova, E. Krasniqi, U. Meraş, R. Raveloson, D. Sabia, S. Ballet, F. Soyalp, Y. Sor, G. Orban — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Orban (4.9 per match over eight appearances, seven goals and two assists) and D. Sabia (4.7 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Amed’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Amed (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Orban averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 581 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. D. Sabia averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 687 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Süper Lig · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L · Amed 3W 2D 0L
Samsunspor v Amed (Süper Lig): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Samsunspor for / against | Line | Amed for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.5 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.5 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Samsunspor
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Onur n 8 | 52.4 | 2.8 | 3 | — |
| T. Coulibaly n 8 | 59.1 | 2.7 | 1 | — |
| Saikuba Jarju n 6 | 75.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | — |
| E. Tavşan n 8 | 57.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | — |
| L. Tómasson n 8 | 61.5 | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holse n 8 | 61.4 | 3.3 | 2 |
| E. Tavşan n 8 | 57.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Marius n 8 | 82.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Y. Sekongo n 8 | 44.8 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Fatih Kaya n 8 | 43.4 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marius n 8 | 82.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| C. Holse n 8 | 61.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Fatih Kaya n 8 | 43.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| E. Tavşan n 8 | 57.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Y. Sekongo n 8 | 44.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Tavşan n 8 | 57.8 | 3.3 |
| T. Coulibaly n 8 | 59.1 | 2.9 |
| C. Yüksel n 8 | 81.5 | 2.8 |
| Badra Diabbate Ali n 8 | 51 | 2.4 |
| S. Eraković n 8 | 63.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
Amed
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ballet n 8 | 76.3 | 4.3 | 1.6 | — |
| M. Khalil n 4 | 45.5 | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| F. Soyalp n 8 | 54.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | — |
| R. Lutin n 8 | 18.5 | 1.8 | 5.5 | — |
| C. Üstündag n 8 | 26 | 1.7 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diagne n 8 | 41.8 | 3 | 1.6 |
| G. Orban n 8 | 72.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| S. Ballet n 8 | 76.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| F. Soyalp n 8 | 54.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Yira Collins Sor n 8 | 42 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Orban n 8 | 72.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| M. Diagne n 8 | 41.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| D. Sabia n 8 | 85.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| M. Khalil n 4 | 45.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| E. Krasniqi n 8 | 63.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Üstündag n 8 | 26 | 4.3 |
| R. Lutin n 8 | 18.5 | 3.6 |
| F. Soyalp n 8 | 54.1 | 2.5 |
| L. Dellova n 8 | 89.3 | 2.4 |
| U. Meraş n 8 | 74.5 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Lafont n 8 | 90.6 | 2.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Samsunspor v Amed — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Samsunspor vs Amed?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Samsunspor v Amed is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the recent form of Samsunspor and Amed?
- Recent form — Samsunspor 0W 0D 5L; Amed 3W 2D 0L.
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