Aarhus v Viborg prediction

Superliga ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Aarhus v Viborg, Superliga on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aarhus host Viborg in the Superliga (Denmark) on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Aarhus or Viborg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Viborg have conceded 10 goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Viborg have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Aarhus’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Aarhus’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Aarhus have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.67. Aarhus have scored 15 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aarhus have conceded 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 12 clubs.

Eight of Viborg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Viborg’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Viborg have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.88. Viborg have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Aarhus (10th) and Viborg (third) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Viborg the stronger side, 123 rating points above Aarhus (Viborg 1766, Aarhus 1644, after at least 173 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 August 2026, finished Viborg 2–1 Aarhus.

Team news

Predicted Aarhus XI (3-4-2-1): M. Hedenstad, E. Kahl, C. Rosler, D. L. Gretarsson, M. Knudsen, K. Arnstad, F. Emmery, R. Carstensen, M. Anderson, C. McCowatt, J. Serra — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Links (4.9 per match over six appearances) and Kristian Arnstad (4.2 per match over 16 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Aarhus’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aarhus (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Links averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 434 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Kristian Arnstad averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1388 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Viborg XI (4-3-3): K. Kiilerich, L. Kirkegaard, O. Bundgaard, Ž. Zaletel, H. Bidstrup, J. Grønning, A. Beck, M. Søndergaard, D. Hanza, S. Jalal, C. Nouck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Thomas Jørgensen (4.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) and C. Nouck (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Viborg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Viborg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thomas Jørgensen averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 946 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. C. Nouck averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Superliga
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aarhus 4 · draws 1 · Viborg 1 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aarhus 2W 2D 1L · Viborg 2W 1D 2L

Aarhus v Viborg (Superliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4 / 4.86
Corners
against 6 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 1
Cards
against 1.57 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAarhus for / againstLineViborg for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6 against n 7
9.5standard
4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
11.43 for · 17.57 against n 7
19.5standard
15.57 for · 11.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.14 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
4.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 13.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.43 for · 12.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1 for · 2.29 against n 7
Aarhus
Aarhus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Tchamche n 836.3
2.86/1
1.64/1
—
Kristian Arnstad n 886.5
2.16/4
2.17/4
—
M. Anderson n 862.4
26/4
2.75/4
—
Luka Callø n 840.9
1.94/2
0.31/0
—
C. McCowatt n 857.1
1.84/2
0.42/0
—
Aarhus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Serra n 852.1
3.56/6
1.55/2
J. Bogere n 841.1
2.76/3
1.95/2
S. Jorgensen n 862.6
25/3
1.14/2
R. Carstensen n 853.5
1.55/2
0.42/0
Frederik Emmery n 873.9
1.46/3
0.53/0
Aarhus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Serra n 852.1
1.14/1
00/0
C. McCowatt n 857.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
S. Jorgensen n 862.6
00/0
0.42/0
F. Tingager n 857
0.42/0
00/0
R. Carstensen n 853.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Aarhus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Knudsen n 880.9
2.98/6
D. L. Gretarsson n 874.3
2.36/5
J. Andersen n 841.8
2.24/3
M. Anderson n 862.4
25/3
Kristian Arnstad n 886.5
1.87/4
Aarhus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Hansen n 883.4
3.46/4
M. Hedenstad n 890.6
2.76/5
Viborg
Viborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Coulibaly n 820.5
2.74/1
1.63/0
—
Dorian Hanza n 881.1
2.18/5
0.64/0
—
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen n 811.4
22/0
11/0
—
J. Grønning n 890
1.88/5
1.67/4
—
C. Nouck n 874.9
1.76/3
1.14/2
—
Viborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen n 811.4
5.93/1
22/0
Giulio n 315.3
3.92/0
21/0
Dorian Hanza n 881.1
2.87/5
1.17/1
C. Nouck n 874.9
2.66/4
0.63/1
Frederik Damkjer n 811.1
22/0
00/0
Viborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nouck n 874.9
0.53/0
0.53/0
Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen n 811.4
11/0
00/0
M. Søndergaard n 873.8
0.52/1
0.32/0
Dorian Hanza n 881.1
0.75/0
0.11/0
Philip Keller n 815.9
00/0
0.71/0
Viborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giulio n 315.3
3.92/0
Philip Keller n 815.9
3.55/0
J. Grønning n 890
2.48/5
A. Beck n 878.9
2.48/7
Ruben Alte n 828.1
2.44/2
Viborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Kiilerich n 890
2.85/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Aarhus v Viborg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AarhusWDWLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
ViborgDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aarhus 4 · 1 draw · Viborg 1 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-08-14 Viborg 2–1 Aarhus
  • 2026-05-17 Aarhus 6–2 Viborg
  • 2026-04-06 Viborg 1–2 Aarhus
  • 2026-02-22 Aarhus 5–2 Viborg
  • 2025-09-14 Viborg 1–2 Aarhus
  • 2025-03-09 Aarhus 1–1 Viborg
League standing · 2026/27
Aarhus#10 pos9 pts11 pl-3 GD
Viborg#3 pos20 pts11 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Aarhus scored1.36
Viborg scored1.64
Aarhus conceded1.64
Viborg conceded0.91

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Aarhus v Viborg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aarhus v Viborg is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aarhus and Viborg?
In their last 6 meetings, Aarhus won 4, Viborg won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aarhus and Viborg?
Recent form — Aarhus 2W 2D 1L; Viborg 2W 1D 2L.

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