FC Midtjylland v FC Fredericia result

Full-time · FC Midtjylland 3–3 FC Fredericia

Superliga · · MCH Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Midtjylland 3–3 FC Fredericia — this Superliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1553 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Midtjylland and FC Fredericia drew 3–3 at MCH Arena in the Superliga (Denmark) on Sunday 10 August. FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

The goals

FC Midtjylland led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — FC Midtjylland: Aral Simsir (5’, assisted by Dani Silva), Franculino (42’, assisted by Júnior Brumado) and D. Castillo (64’, assisted by Franculino); FC Fredericia: F. Winther (19’, assisted by Gustav Marcussen), Oscar Buch (72’, assisted by E. Simonsen) and A. Dahl (85’, assisted by E. Simonsen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Dahl’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FC Midtjylland 2.32, FC Fredericia 2.29, from 16 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Graagaard showed two yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo (20’) and Dani Silva (90’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Simonsen (FC Fredericia) 11.5, Franculino (FC Midtjylland) 10.1 and F. Winther (FC Fredericia) 8.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, FC Midtjylland or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1170 of 1553).

Next up

FC Midtjylland next host St. Truiden on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland v St. Truiden, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: FC Midtjylland 3–3 FC Fredericia · Superliga
  • Venue: MCH Arena · Herning
  • Referee: L. Graagaard
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L · FC Fredericia 2W 0D 3L

FC Midtjylland 3–3 FC Fredericia (Superliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC MidtjyllandFC Fredericia
54%Possession46%
2.32Expected goals (xG)2.29
16Shots18
7Shots on target5
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots9
11Shots inside the box12
6Corners3
1Offsides3
8Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves3
546Passes463
88%Pass accuracy85%

FC Midtjylland player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Olafsson9000000006.7
K. Mbabu9000001406.2
Lee Han-Beom9000000207.6
V. Bak9000000006.2
Dani Silva90010015Y7.9
Franculino9011212408
Aral Simsir7810222108
D. Castillo66102103Y7.9
Júnior Brumado6101211006.9
M. Erlic4500001007.2
D. Osorio4500102107.5
M. Bech Sorensen sub4500000106.9
V. Byskov sub4500111307.2
A. Buksa sub3000211007.5
P. Bravo sub2500000306.9
Mikel Johan Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen sub1300000006.7

FC Fredericia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mattias Lamhauge9000000006.5
S. Crone9000000105.6
J. Kudsk9000000106.2
F. Rieper9000000005.9
A. Pyndt9000101406.9
E. Simonsen9002214207.5
J. Jessen8400001505.9
F. Winther7310210309.5
Gustav Marcussen7301002106.5
E. Dall6100110106.2
M. Opondo4500000006.6
Oscar Buch sub4510110107.6
A. Muçolli sub3000103006.9
A. Dahl sub1810110007.9
W. Madsen sub1800000006.6
M. Huldahl sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Midtjylland v FC Fredericia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC MidtjyllandDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
FC FredericiaWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
FC Midtjylland#2 pos60 pts32 pl+36 GD
FC Fredericia#10 pos24 pts22 pl-19 GD
Goals per game
FC Midtjylland scored2.25
FC Fredericia scored1.36
FC Midtjylland conceded1.13
FC Fredericia conceded2.23

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Midtjylland v FC Fredericia?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Midtjylland v FC Fredericia was Home or Draw.
What is the recent form of FC Midtjylland and FC Fredericia?
Recent form — FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L; FC Fredericia 2W 0D 3L.

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