FC Midtjylland v St. Truiden prediction
Team pages: FC Midtjylland · St. Truiden
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for FC Midtjylland v St. Truiden, UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
The match
FC Midtjylland host St. Truiden in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Midtjylland or St. Truiden (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. FC Midtjylland have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, FC Midtjylland have five wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.67 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.00.
Nine of St. Truiden’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of St. Truiden’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, St. Truiden have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 2.83.
FC Midtjylland (16th) and St. Truiden (sixth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far.
Team news
Predicted FC Midtjylland XI (3-5-2): E. Olafsson, M. Bech Sorensen, R. Kristensen, M. Jensen, D. Castillo, P. Bravo, P. Billing, D. Osorio, S. Johannesen, C. Gue-Sung, Franculino — derived from the last 5 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darío Osorio (5.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Philip Billing (4.6 per match over 16 appearances, one goal and four assists) have been FC Midtjylland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Midtjylland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darío Osorio averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1127 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Philip Billing averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1307 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted St. Truiden XI (4-4-2): L. Kokubo, S. Taniguchi, J. Pupe, V. Musliu, R. Vanwesemael, A. Sissako, R. Merlen, N. Ishiwatari, I. Sebaoui, S. Baždar, N. Mbuku — derived from the last 1 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Sebaoui (5.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals and three assists) and Ryan Merlen (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been St. Truiden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for St. Truiden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Sebaoui averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 798 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Ryan Merlen averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 704 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · UEFA Europa Conference League · MCH Arena
- Referee: J. Xhaja
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L · St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L
FC Midtjylland v St. Truiden (UEFA Europa Conference League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | FC Midtjylland for / against | Line | St. Truiden for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.29 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.43 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.29 for · 15.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.14 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.43 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.43 for · 15.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.57 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.57 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.86 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Xhaja.
FC Midtjylland
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Emefile n 6 | 36.5 | 4.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 5 | 33.8 | 3.7 | 3.2 | — |
| M. Uhre n 8 | 29.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | — |
| F. Etim n 8 | 75.3 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — |
| Cho Gue-Sung n 8 | 51.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Etim n 8 | 75.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| M. Rajović n 8 | 14.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Cho Gue-Sung n 8 | 51.1 | 2 | 0.9 |
| S. Iheanacho n 8 | 52.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Magnus Jensen n 8 | 75.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Etim n 8 | 75.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| M. Rajović n 8 | 14.8 | 0 | 0.8 |
| S. Iheanacho n 8 | 52.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Cho Gue-Sung n 8 | 51.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| P. Billing n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Abdou Aziz Ndiaye n 5 | 33.8 | 3.7 |
| Julius Emefile n 6 | 36.5 | 2.5 |
| R. Kristensen n 8 | 88.3 | 2.2 |
| K. Wätjen n 8 | 54.5 | 2.1 |
| D. Castillo n 8 | 59 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Bakker n 8 | 88.9 | 3 |
| E. Olafsson n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
St. Truiden
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ishiwatari n 8 | 51.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | — |
| N. Mbuku n 8 | 43.3 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — |
| Samed Baždar n 8 | 60.5 | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| S. Taniguchi n 8 | 69.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| K. Matsuzawa n 8 | 43.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samed Baždar n 8 | 60.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| N. Mbuku n 8 | 43.3 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| I. Sebaoui n 8 | 88.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Oumar Diouf n 8 | 24.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Frederic Soelle Soelle n 8 | 62.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samed Baždar n 8 | 60.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| R. Merlen n 8 | 79.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| I. Sebaoui n 8 | 88.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Frederic Soelle Soelle n 8 | 62.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| K. Matsuzawa n 8 | 43.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ishiwatari n 8 | 51.9 | 5.6 |
| W. Janssens n 8 | 31.1 | 3.3 |
| N. Mbuku n 8 | 43.3 | 2.6 |
| V. Musliu n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 |
| K. Takai n 8 | 53.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Kokubo n 8 | 84.4 | 3.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind FC Midtjylland v St. Truiden — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win FC Midtjylland v St. Truiden?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Midtjylland v St. Truiden is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
- What is the recent form of FC Midtjylland and St. Truiden?
- Recent form — FC Midtjylland 3W 2D 0L; St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L.
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