Randers FC v Brondby prediction

Superliga · · Cepheus Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Randers FC vs Brondby, Superliga on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Randers FC host Brondby in the Superliga (Denmark) on Friday 23 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Randers FC are winless in their last three matches. Nine of Randers FC’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Randers FC’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Randers FC have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Randers FC have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Randers FC have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-most of the 12 clubs.

Nine of Brondby’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Brondby’s last 15 results (67%). Away from home, Brondby have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.83. Brondby have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Brondby have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Randers FC (eighth) and Brondby (fifth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brondby the stronger side, 109 rating points above Randers FC (Brondby 1582, Randers FC 1473, after at least 308 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Brondby 0–3 Randers FC.

Team news

Predicted Randers FC XI (4-2-3-1): P. Izzo, D. Hoegh, N. Dyhr, S. Hansen, N. Hopland, M. Greve, M. Themsen, L. Pedersen, E. Mahmoud, M. Sjolstad, K. Junker — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Mahmoud (6.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) and M. Themsen (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Randers FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Randers FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Mahmoud averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 816 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. M. Themsen averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 889 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brondby XI (4-2-3-1): P. Pentz, L. Binks, O. Villadsen, M. Divkovic, F. Alves, M. Frokjaer-Jensen, B. Slisz, M. Ejdum, M. Younis, O. Hyseni, O. Fenger — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, M. Ejdum (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and two assists) and B. Slisz (4.2 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Brondby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brondby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Ejdum averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 779 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. B. Slisz averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 878 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Superliga · Cepheus Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Randers FC 2 · draws 2 · Brondby 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Randers FC 1W 1D 3L · Brondby 2W 0D 3L

Randers FC v Brondby (Superliga): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.14 / 6.14
Corners
against 7.14 / 4.14 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 4
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 2.14
Cards
against 1.43 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRanders FC for / againstLineBrondby for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 7.14 against n 7
9.5standard
6.14 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
10.86 for · 16.57 against n 7
19.5standard
15.14 for · 13 against n 7
Shots on target
4 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 5.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.14 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
10.71 for · 12.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.86 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
2.14 for · 2.57 against n 7
Randers FC
Randers FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Camara n 812.5
2.73/0
2.72/1
—
L. Pedersen n 872.4
2.27/3
0.63/1
—
M. Greve n 889.5
2.17/5
1.47/4
—
A. Henriksson n 858.6
1.95/2
13/2
—
N. Hopland n 849.6
1.83/2
0.51/1
—
Randers FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Camara n 812.5
3.63/1
0.91/0
M. Sankoh n 836.5
3.16/4
1.54/1
H. Hoyrup n 714.7
2.63/0
00/0
M. Themsen n 878.6
1.97/3
1.34/3
W. Caddy n 863.6
1.96/3
0.73/1
Randers FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Sankoh n 836.5
0.93/0
00/0
H. Hoyrup n 714.7
00/0
0.91/0
E. Mahmoud n 880.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
L. Pedersen n 872.4
0.21/0
0.31/1
M. Themsen n 878.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Randers FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Mahmoud n 880.5
4.28/7
A. Camara n 812.5
3.62/1
L. Pedersen n 872.4
36/6
Sabil Hansen n 882.9
2.98/6
S. Stuker n 859.9
2.66/5
Randers FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Izzo n 884.4
3.58/6
J. Storch n 884.4
3.16/5
Brondby
Brondby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Younis n 848.1
3.36/4
1.43/2
—
Mathias Jensen n 843.5
2.67/2
0.52/0
—
Oskar Fenger n 544.2
2.43/2
24/1
—
O. Hyseni n 854.3
1.75/2
2.58/3
—
Christopher Olivier n 318
1.71/0
1.71/0
—
Brondby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Hyseni n 854.3
3.57/5
1.25/1
P. Mortensen n 841.9
2.15/3
0.52/0
M. Younis n 848.1
1.94/3
0.52/0
F. Bundgaard n 847.1
1.96/1
0.52/0
D. Wass n 824.5
1.83/1
0.51/0
Brondby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oskar Fenger n 544.2
0.82/0
00/0
O. Fenger n 733.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
O. Hyseni n 854.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Ejdum n 878
0.32/0
0.31/1
M. Younis n 848.1
00/0
0.52/0
Brondby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mathias Jensen n 843.5
2.85/4
J. Vanlerberghe n 880.4
2.58/5
S. Fukuda n 841
2.56/2
R. Canut n 856.1
2.47/4
C. Winther n 872.8
2.37/3
Brondby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Pentz n 890.6
2.77/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Randers FC v Brondby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Randers FCLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
BrondbyLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Randers FC 2 · 2 draws · Brondby 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-09-06 Brondby 0–3 Randers FC
  • 2026-02-08 Brondby 0–0 Randers FC
  • 2025-08-17 Randers FC 0–2 Brondby
  • 2025-04-25 Randers FC 0–0 Brondby
  • 2025-04-21 Brondby 4–3 Randers FC
  • 2025-03-10 Randers FC 4–2 Brondby
League standing · 2026/27
Randers FC#8 pos11 pts11 pl-5 GD
Brondby#5 pos16 pts10 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Randers FC scored1
Brondby scored1.7
Randers FC conceded1.45
Brondby conceded1.7

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Randers FC vs Brondby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Randers FC v Brondby is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Randers FC and Brondby?
In their last 6 meetings, Randers FC won 2, Brondby won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Randers FC and Brondby?
Recent form — Randers FC 1W 1D 3L; Brondby 2W 0D 3L.

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