Alcochetense v Maritimo prediction

The match

Alcochetense host Maritimo in the Taça de Portugal on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Alcochetense or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in one of Alcochetense’s last 6 results in all competitions (17%).

12 of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Maritimo are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Alcochetense’s last 6 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). At home, Alcochetense have two wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 3 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 3.33 and conceding 1.33.

Both teams scored in 11 of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Maritimo have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.63.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Maritimo the stronger side, 33 rating points above Alcochetense (Maritimo 1607, Alcochetense 1574, after at least six rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Martín Tejón (4.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Romain Correia (3.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Maritimo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Maritimo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Martín Tejón averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 667 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances. Romain Correia averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.