Alpendorada v Casa Pia prediction
Team pages: Alpendorada · Casa Pia
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Alpendorada v Casa Pia, Taça de Portugal on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.
The match
Alpendorada host Casa Pia in the Taça de Portugal on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Alpendorada or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Eight of Alpendorada’s last 9 results went over 2.5 goals (89%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in five of Alpendorada’s last 9 results (56%). At home, Alpendorada have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.25.
Four of Casa Pia’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Casa Pia’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Casa Pia have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 0.86.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Casa Pia the stronger side, 166 rating points above Alpendorada (Casa Pia 1909, Alpendorada 1742, after at least nine rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 22 November 2025, finished Alpendorada 0–3 Casa Pia.
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo (5.2 per match over five appearances) and Silvi (3.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Casa Pia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Casa Pia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 433 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances. Silvi averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 548 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Taça de Portugal · Municipal Stadium Alpendorada
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): Alpendorada 0 · draws 0 · Casa Pia 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Alpendorada 3W 1D 1L · Casa Pia 1W 1D 3L
Alpendorada v Casa Pia (Taça de Portugal): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 19 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Alpendorada v Casa Pia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-22 Alpendorada 0–3 Casa Pia
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Alpendorada v Casa Pia?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Alpendorada v Casa Pia is Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Alpendorada and Casa Pia?
- In their last 1 meetings, Alpendorada won 0, Casa Pia won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Alpendorada and Casa Pia?
- Recent form — Alpendorada 3W 1D 1L; Casa Pia 1W 1D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.