AVS v Moreirense prediction
Team pages: AVS · Moreirense
TACTIX’s free model pick for AVS vs Moreirense, Taça de Portugal on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
Form and momentum
AVS are unbeaten in their last seven matches (last 15 results). Seven of AVS’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of AVS’s last 15 results (40%).
Seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Moreirense’s last 15 results (47%).
The shape of the game
At home, AVS have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.67.
At away, Moreirense have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 2.00.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AVS the stronger side, 121 rating points above Moreirense (1968 v 1847, after at least nine rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Moreirense are unbeaten in the last four meetings with AVS — every one in the last 4 meetings. The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Moreirense 0–0 AVS.
Players to watch
By TACTIX Impact, Tiago Andrade (4.8 per match over six appearances, one goal and one assist) and L. Vonić (3.8 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Moreirense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Moreirense: Tiago Andrade 1.4 key passes per 90 (320 minutes), a key pass in 3 of the last 6 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Taça de Portugal
- Head-to-head (last 4): AVS 0 · draws 2 · Moreirense 2 · 1.75 goals/game
- Recent form: AVS 3W 2D 0L · Moreirense 1W 1D 3L
As of 10 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers AVS vs Moreirense across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AVS for / against | Line | Moreirense for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.86 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.57 for · 18.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 7.88 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.86 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.86 for · 8.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.75 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.57 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
AVS
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nenê n 8 | 15.5 | 5.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Guilherme Neiva n 8 | 50.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Guillem Molina n 7 | 49 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| Kiki n 8 | 37.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Tómané n 8 | 60.6 | 2 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nenê n 8 | 15.5 | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| Ó. Perea n 8 | 28.9 | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 66.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Guilherme Neiva n 8 | 50.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| D. Duarte n 8 | 52 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nenê n 8 | 15.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Ó. Perea n 8 | 28.9 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Guilherme Neiva n 8 | 50.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 66.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Tómané n 8 | 60.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Galletto n 8 | 42.1 | 3.7 |
| Gustavo Mendonça n 8 | 83.4 | 2.8 |
| Ángel Algobia n 8 | 44.5 | 2.8 |
| Matheus Pivô n 8 | 84.9 | 2.5 |
| L. Rivas n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Adriel n 8 | 90 | 4.6 |
Moreirense
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodri Alonso n 8 | 43.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | — |
| Maranhão n 8 | 29.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 | — |
| Guilherme Liberato n 8 | 81.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maranhão n 8 | 29.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 2 | 0.6 |
| L. Vonić n 3 | 70 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 1.6 | 1 |
| João Veloso n 8 | 32.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vonić n 3 | 70 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| João Veloso n 8 | 32.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Duville-Parsemain n 8 | 57.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Liberato n 8 | 81.3 | 3.6 |
| Tiago Andrade n 6 | 53.3 | 3.1 |
| Kiko n 8 | 89.4 | 2.4 |
| Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos n 8 | 34.3 | 2 |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça n 6 | 76.7 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| André Ferreira n 8 | 91 | 2.8 |
TACTIX model preview
The TACTIX model has priced AVS vs Moreirense across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:
Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind AVS v Moreirense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-16 Moreirense 0–0 AVS
- 2026-01-03 AVS 0–2 Moreirense
- 2025-05-17 AVS 0–3 Moreirense
- 2025-01-04 Moreirense 1–1 AVS
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between AVS and Moreirense?
- In their last 4 meetings, AVS won 0, Moreirense won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AVS and Moreirense?
- Recent form — AVS 3W 2D 0L; Moreirense 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.