Chaves v Os Marialvas prediction
Team pages: Chaves · Os Marialvas
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Chaves vs Os Marialvas, Taça de Portugal on Fri, 16 Oct 2026 20:00 BST.
Form and momentum
Os Marialvas are unbeaten in their last four matches (last 9 results). Os Marialvas have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches (last 9 results). Five of Os Marialvas’s last 9 results went over 2.5 goals (56%). Both teams scored in four of Os Marialvas’s last 9 results (44%).
Eight of Chaves’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Chaves’s last 15 results (33%).
The shape of the game
At home, Chaves have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.86.
At away, Os Marialvas have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 0.67.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chaves the stronger side, 157 rating points above Os Marialvas (1865 v 1708, after at least nine rated matches each).
What the model says
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick — a Bronze-tier call across 19 priced markets; the full forecast, probabilities and value against the bookmakers are part of Pro.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Taça de Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Chaves
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Chaves 3W 0D 2L · Os Marialvas 3W 1D 1L
Chaves vs Os Marialvas (Taça de Portugal): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 10 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
TACTIX model preview
The TACTIX model has priced Chaves vs Os Marialvas across 19 betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Chaves v Os Marialvas — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Chaves vs Os Marialvas?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Chaves vs Os Marialvas is Draw or Away.
- What is the recent form of Chaves and Os Marialvas?
- Recent form — Chaves 3W 0D 2L; Os Marialvas 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.