Fazendense v Estrela prediction
Team pages: Fazendense · Estrela
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fazendense vs Estrela, Taça de Portugal on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The shape of the game
At home, Fazendense have two wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 4 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.25.
At away, Estrela have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 2.14.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Estrela the stronger side, 69 rating points above Fazendense (1504 v 1573, after at least five rated matches each).
Form and momentum
Two of Fazendense’s last 5 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in two of Fazendense’s last 5 results (40%).
Ten of Estrela’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Estrela’s last 15 results (60%).
Players to watch
By TACTIX Impact, A. Marcus (5.8 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) and I. Stoica (5.1 per match over seven appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Estrela’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estrela: A. Marcus 1.7 key passes per 90 (623 minutes), a key pass in 7 of the last 7 appearances; I. Stoica 1.6 key passes per 90 (491 minutes), a key pass in 7 of the last 7 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Taça de Portugal
- Recent form: Fazendense 2W 0D 3L · Estrela 2W 2D 1L
As of 10 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Fazendense vs Estrela across every major market; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
TACTIX model preview
The TACTIX model has priced Fazendense vs Estrela across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:
Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Fazendense v Estrela — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.