Mafra v Santa Clara prediction
Team pages: Mafra · Santa Clara
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Mafra v Santa Clara, Taça de Portugal on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.
The match
Mafra host Santa Clara in the Taça de Portugal on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Santa Clara, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last eight matches.
Form and the table
11 of Mafra’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Mafra’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Mafra have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches — 1.83 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 1.67.
Six of Santa Clara’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Santa Clara’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Santa Clara have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Santa Clara the stronger side, 222 rating points above Mafra (Santa Clara 2015, Mafra 1794, after at least 26 rated matches each).
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Gonçalo Paciência (5.1 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) and Vinícius Lopes (4.1 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Santa Clara’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Santa Clara (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gonçalo Paciência averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 608 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Vinícius Lopes averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 596 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Taça de Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Mafra
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Mafra 2W 1D 2L · Santa Clara 3W 2D 0L
TACTIX runs Mafra v Santa Clara (Taça de Portugal) through its calibrated model across 19 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 14 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Mafra v Santa Clara — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Mafra v Santa Clara?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Mafra v Santa Clara is Draw or Away.
- What is the recent form of Mafra and Santa Clara?
- Recent form — Mafra 2W 1D 2L; Santa Clara 3W 2D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.